Wanker's Record UFC 67 - (6 - 9) -6.37 UNITS

Wanker · Feb 2, 2007

Anderson Silva Vs. Travis Lutter
John Halverson Vs. Roger Huerta
Mirko Cro Cop Vs. Eddie Sanchez
Quinton Jackson Vs. Marvin Eastman
Patrick Cote Vs. Scott Smith
Sam Hoger Vs. Lyoto Machida
Terry Martin Vs. Jorge Rivera
Frankie Edgar Vs. Tyson Griffin
Diego Saraieva Vs. Dustin Hazelett

My Picks

Silva
Huerta
Crocop
Jackson
Cote
Machida
Martin
Griffin
Saraiva

My Bets
30.4 units to win 4 units - Jackson
1 unit to win 1.85 units - Martin
1 unit to win 1.65 units - Saraiva

---- Might add some more bets on the heavy favorites later.

Wanker · Feb 2, 2007

Adding 20 units to win 5 units - Silva over Lutter.

Wanker · Feb 2, 2007

Adding 15 units to win 1 unit. - Crocop over Sanchez.

By all means, please post your thoughts and ideas. I'd be more than willing to explain why I don't mind putting so much juice on these fighters to win.

WCBias · Feb 2, 2007

Hard to give up that much juice. I'd think about a small play on Lutter, I think he has the best shot of all the big dogs...Cote and Smith should be a good one, any thoughts.

Wanker · Feb 2, 2007

1) In all of Lutter's fights, he's had a problem with his gas tank. Silva will not have this problem.
2) Don't underestimate Silva's BJJ skills. He's been working on this for a while now. People can point to Takase and Chonan as examples, but since then he's handled himself very well. Okami fight shouldn't even be considered a loss. For Lutter, great BJJ guy? He has been subbed by Lindland. No one on that TUF 4 show can hold a torch to Anderson Silva.
3) Lutter got this sloppy wrestling clinch that is used to take people down. Silva knows how to create space and throw knees.
4) If it ever reaches the ground, Silva has this good guard that can defend against people. Lutter's only chance is if he can get into a mounted position on Silva. Easier said than done.
5) Silva's chin is good.

I don't think Lutter has a chance in this one.

Cote vs Smith - if you want to place an underdog bet on Smith, by all means. I pick Cote solely because I think Cote has a better chin than Smith, but an underdog bet on Smith is your choice. I don't care much for this fight bet wise.

WCBias · Feb 2, 2007

Wanker said:
1) In all of Lutter's fights, he's had a problem with his gas tank. Silva will not have this problem.
2) Don't underestimate Silva's BJJ skills. He's been working on this for a while now. People can point to Takase and Chonan as examples, but since then he's handled himself very well. Okami fight shouldn't even be considered a loss. For Lutter, great BJJ guy? He has been subbed by Lindland. No one on that TUF 4 show can hold a torch to Anderson Silva.
3) Lutter got this sloppy wrestling clinch that is used to take people down. Silva knows how to create space and throw knees.
4) If it ever reaches the ground, Silva has this good guard that can defend against people. Lutter's only chance is if he can get into a mounted position on Silva. Easier said than done.
5) Silva's chin is good.

I don't think Lutter has a chance in this one.

Cote vs Smith - if you want to place an underdog bet on Smith, by all means. I pick Cote solely because I think Cote has a better chin than Smith, but an underdog bet on Smith is your choice. I don't care much for this fight bet wise.

Sherdoggers exploding that Lutter didn't make weight and has (had) two hours to cut two lbs.....Lordy what a fuck-up.

Good luck tomorrow.

Wanker · Feb 2, 2007

He didn't make weight and it's a non title fight, 3 rnds now. Silva needs to destroy him and send him back to the TUF show.

WCBias · Feb 2, 2007

Wanker said:
He didn't make weight and it's a non title fight, 3 rnds now. Silva needs to destroy him and send him back to the TUF show.

He's done in the UFC, unless of course, he wins. I can't imagine DW giving him another shot again....ever. He makes everything look shitty...the entire premise of having the TUF 4 was so the winner could fight for the championship...PPV's already sold...this basically becomes an exhibition. Just a bad bad deal. I also read that Silva was pissed off as all hell too. At least he gets a cut of Lutters purse now. Lutter better lose all % of PPV too.

I get it that the guy walks around at 210, but he's had months to get his weight down, months to prepare for the biggest fight of his career. And he blew it.

Wanker · Feb 3, 2007

30-27 for the winner by unanimous decision, Dustin Hazelett.

I lose one unit, lots more matches to go.

Wanker · Feb 3, 2007

Thank you Mr. Martin for making it seem so easy.

Wanker · Feb 4, 2007

Saravia lost, but the rest are wins despite the heavy juice. Upgrade record later. Hope you cashed some.

Wanker · Feb 4, 2007

This EVENT: 7 - 2 on My Picks, 4 - 1 on betting picks - 10.85 units win.
New Record = (10 - 10) +4.48 units.

Back in Black. :aktion033

We'll see if there are lines for TKO 28 or Elite XC.

trixtrix · Feb 5, 2007

if your bets lost this week, do you plan on going on wagering 100+ units to win 8 units to gsp next, just so you can have a winning record?

Wanker · Feb 5, 2007

Can you give me some constructive criticism instead of implying that I'm chasing my losses. If you paid any attention to my picks and my reasoning then you might understand.

For what it's worth, if you can't handle wagering more than 10+ units on one fight for MMA when you know one fighter is better than the other, please don't bet MMA. There will continue to be huge favorites. That's how MMA is.

For UFC 67, if you bet 1 unit for Martin and Saravia, you would be up. Saravia would lose, while Martin would still put you .85 units up.

Thank you and have a nice day.

trixtrix · Feb 6, 2007

this is highly amusing, my constructive criticism is to define units as a percentage of your bankroll and not as some arbitrarily value set at the last min as your losses accumulate. you wagered 70+ units in one event and 26 units on THREE events on nye, you are indeed chasing. it's painfully obvious, but whatever, it's no better no worse than most of the mma advice on this forum

Wanker's Record UFC 67 - (6 - 9) -6.37 UNITS

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