Iceman said:
You really believe that!?!?
Even with the number down to -6.5??
Surprised you think strongly on that.
AS I HAVE STATED FOR TWO WEEKS, IF I WERE BOOKING THIS GAME, I WOULD NOT HAVE MOVED OFF THE NUMBER SEVEN THE ENTIRE TIME...........believed then, as I do know, that -7 using small price changes with the number WAS/IS the way to go.
Again, just my philisophy on this one...........
-FH-
Fishhead said:
I agree about the whole 7 thing but the bottom line is the books don't want to be caught the ONLY number on town on a team than it could get ugly for them. I thought you meant since Friday or so the late money has been on the Bears is what I am saying. didn't it get up to 7 at most places late this week (I haven't paid any attention to it as I am betting Colts ML). Really late late money for sure is Colts but I meant late in the week/this morning. Once it gets to 6.5 it will obviously go back towards 7 then bounce down to 6.5, it isn't coming off those 2 numbers. In the big scope of things it will all work out to 50/50 or so as it has seen the classic sharp versus square bets on the Bears versus Colts.
Normally the public late $$ would come in on the favorite Colts. However I believe that since "Da Bears" are such a popular National team..... The late $$ could easily stay fairly neutral. - 6 1/2 and +7 is of course a dangerous place for the Sportsbooks to be sitting on. However I really think that regardless of which side you are on, it is only prudent for gamblers to have some $$ riding on the game finishing on 7 as both 6 1/2 and 7 are easily available.
Sharp money (guy who bets alot) probably has alot of AFC -2.5 tickets and now will combat that with Bears +7. Pct of people today will be on Colts by far but the overall money I would assume is the Bears (esp if 7's appear).
All in all it still will work itself out to be you better have -6.5 Colts or +7 Bears if you bet this game and these teams or you did a bad job of betting this.
All in all it still will work itself out to be you better have -6.5 Colts or +7 Bears if you bet this game and these teams or you did a bad job of betting this.
