Daniel Negreanu's picks for the Super Bowl

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And so it goes......
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From his blog at Cardplayer:

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Super Bowl Sunday


I went a little nutty the other day at the Bellagio. I had a meeting there, and after the meeting I decided to play a little poker, if you can call it poker: 2-7 Triple Draw, Badugi, and Razz with 2-7 rules. Pretty stupid game, but that's what those dudes in the $400-$800 game play. No hold'em, most of them really suck at that game, no Stud, no 8 or better games, just three goofy games.

There wasn't much of an earn in that game. In fact, I would have happily crossbooked anyone in that game while I played in the $25-$50 no limit hold'em game. After quitting due to absolute boredom, I headed to the sports book to prepare for the Super Bowl.

I was able to bet the Colts -6.5 -1.10 which was a good line so late in the game, and after that decided to add some fun prop bets in case the game is a blowout. I feel like a blowout in the Super Bowl is due, and I don't think the Bears have much of a chance. In fact, if they played in, say, the AFC West, I'm not so sure they would have even qualified for the post season.

Here's what I have:

Colts -6.5 -1.10 $20,000
Marvin Harrison Over 76.5 yards -1.10 $1,000
What Will Manning throw First, TD or INT? I have TD -1.85 $1000
Manning Over 1.5 TD passes -1.55 $1,000
Manning will not throw an INT +1.35 $1,000
Grossman 1st Pass Incomplete +1.20 $1,000
Manning 1st Pass Incomplete +1.70 $1,000
Who Will Throw 1st INT? Grossman -1.30 $1,000
Colts -2.5 First Downs even $1,000
Bears will never lead +1.80 $1,000
Longest FG Over 44 -1.25 $1,000
A Score in Firs 6:30: YES -1.30 $1,000
Total Points will land between 50-56 +3.50 $1,000
Colts to win by exactly 17 +20.00 $1,000
Marvin Harrison to score 1st TD +7.00 $1,000


Looks like an easy scoop, lol.
Daniel Negreanu is the 2004 CardPlayer Magazine and World Poker Tour Player of the Year. He is a regular contributor to CardPlayer Magazine and writes a weekly syndicated newspaper column.
Read all of Daniel Negreanu's poker blog and poker articles at Full Contact Poker.




BLOG 1 O
 

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MY PREDICTION

Colts -6.5 -1.10 $20,000 LOSE
Marvin Harrison Over 76.5 yards -1.10 $1,000 LOSE
What Will Manning throw First, TD or INT? I have TD -1.85 $1000 WIN
Manning Over 1.5 TD passes -1.55 $1,000 WIN
Manning will not throw an INT +1.35 $1,000 LOSE
Grossman 1st Pass Incomplete +1.20 $1,000 LOSE
Manning 1st Pass Incomplete +1.70 $1,000 LOSE
Who Will Throw 1st INT? Grossman -1.30 $1,000 WIN
Colts -2.5 First Downs even $1,000 WIN
Bears will never lead +1.80 $1,000 LOSE
Longest FG Over 44 -1.25 $1,000 WIN
A Score in Firs 6:30: YES -1.30 $1,000 LOSE
Total Points will land between 50-56 +3.50 $1,000 LOSE
Colts to win by exactly 17 +20.00 $1,000 ????HUH????LOSE
Marvin Harrison to score 1st TD +7.00 $1,000 LOSE

I think he goes 5-10
 

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When it comes to sports, he is obviously a square among squares.
 

Rx God
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I didn't look close, just the side.

20k ain't much to Danny.

I need to see where he's a good sports guy, I'll give that he is perhaps the best poker player alive.
 

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lapdance said:
who really cares what he has? anyone. stupid post.
He wins at poker so much it's gay. He wins every hand he has stakes in, its silly.

So to me, saying he has colts, means something. With the golden rule 'gambling always finds the middle'.
 

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Doug said:
I didn't look close, just the side.

20k ain't much to Danny.

I need to see where he's a good sports guy, I'll give that he is perhaps the best poker player alive.[/quote]


I sincerely doubt that.
 

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Fishhead said:
Doug said:
I didn't look close, just the side.

20k ain't much to Danny.

I need to see where he's a good sports guy, I'll give that he is perhaps the best poker player alive.[/quote]


I sincerely doubt that.
Chan would make short work of him
 

There's always next year, like in 75, 90-93, 99 &
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My first impression was - what a square, but seeing how he wins more in a year that I will in a lifetime it's probably not my place to judge.
 

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his game is sick...that cannot be argued...he wins in every aspect of poker...tourneys cashgames...you name it...the guy is a winner...

his bets for this game are peanuts compared to the stakes he plays poker for...
 

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LOL... "i think he goes 5-10" i guess you are playing all 15 and will easily go 15-0! you are the man!!!
 

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Maybe he's not a consenus lock for everybody's #1, but certainly a top ten player, point is I don't follow his SB Props, even if they are his true picks. He has proven nothing to me in sports, don't think he has tried to either, but he's probably a little better than a coin flipper.

I think his bets are akin to Joe Blow betting the game.
 

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RobFunk said:
:nono5: Ivey and Negreanu would both beat up on Chan imo...
Trying to decide if Negreanu is better than Ivey or if Chan is better than Negrauno is like trying to decide if Shakira is hotter than Jessica Alba. Does it really matter? They both make millions a year on their skill alone. They don't need endorsements to survive like some of the shittier players.
 

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