Something that I have long felt I didn't agree with was when a poster says that to slow down when you are cold or up your bets when you are hot. Doing something like that is death (IMO).
Now don't get me wrong if your bankroll hits a predetermined spot than sure you should up or down your regular bet size accordingly but trying to handicap your yourself based on how well you have done the past day or so will kill you longterm. Trying to forecast when you are going to get hot and going to get cold based on the past few days will cut into your profits . Going about your betting this way will leave you falling short of normal rate of return for your win pct in the long run, I can absoluetly guarantee it.
I can't tell you how many great days were followed by poor ones and vice versa for me. Gambling has no memory and if you are a proven bettor who has won at a certain rate then you should still be thinking or betting that way. I like to think that 90% of my bets are "beat the vig in the long run" type bets, now maybe they are not but at least I am going about it that way and overthinking things.
Now if you are betting too much and it is effecting your judgement and causing discomfort at all for you then yes you should slow down but trying to accurately predict streaks is impossibile. How do you expect to handicap your handicapping if you can't accuratley handicap the games right now:ughhh: .
I made $1,131 on 1-31 and proceeded to lose -490 on 2-1 and thankfully I bet the same standard bet that I did the day before because I knew that what I did yesterday should have zero effect on how I would do that day and this is the way you should be if you have a bankroll and follow the standard rules of betting a predetermined pct of it per bet.
My advice for guys with gambling bankrolls is to up your bets when your bankroll increases 25%, that is what most players will tell you is the right way to do this.
Now don't get me wrong if your bankroll hits a predetermined spot than sure you should up or down your regular bet size accordingly but trying to handicap your yourself based on how well you have done the past day or so will kill you longterm. Trying to forecast when you are going to get hot and going to get cold based on the past few days will cut into your profits . Going about your betting this way will leave you falling short of normal rate of return for your win pct in the long run, I can absoluetly guarantee it.
I can't tell you how many great days were followed by poor ones and vice versa for me. Gambling has no memory and if you are a proven bettor who has won at a certain rate then you should still be thinking or betting that way. I like to think that 90% of my bets are "beat the vig in the long run" type bets, now maybe they are not but at least I am going about it that way and overthinking things.
Now if you are betting too much and it is effecting your judgement and causing discomfort at all for you then yes you should slow down but trying to accurately predict streaks is impossibile. How do you expect to handicap your handicapping if you can't accuratley handicap the games right now:ughhh: .
I made $1,131 on 1-31 and proceeded to lose -490 on 2-1 and thankfully I bet the same standard bet that I did the day before because I knew that what I did yesterday should have zero effect on how I would do that day and this is the way you should be if you have a bankroll and follow the standard rules of betting a predetermined pct of it per bet.
My advice for guys with gambling bankrolls is to up your bets when your bankroll increases 25%, that is what most players will tell you is the right way to do this.
