Comparing Regular Season Wins futures

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Raising 4 girls!
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I see that more and more sites have the futures out for division leaders, conference champions, and WS champions. Still not many (yet) have shown their lines for Regular Season Wins... Greek & Bodog having them--- I admit, I didn't check too many sites yet.

(Note, I don't have a Greek account yet so I'm just comparing some wacky potential middles, not that it's worth it as some math experts would tell us.)

I compared Greek & Bodog and saw 2 teams with AT LEAST TWO FULL GAMES difference as well as 2 more teams with a ONE AND ONE-HALF FULL GAMES difference.

I had quickly noticed my Orioles as the largest difference and wondered if others were the same, but not really. I know the juice eats up a *LOT* of the value here. Though, can someone tell me whether any of them in a hypothetical situation are worthy to bet the potential middles on?

Baltimore Orioles

Bodog
O 73.5 -115
U 73.5 -115
Greek
O 70.5 -170
U 70.5 +145

Chicago Cubs

Bodog
O 84.5 -120
U 84.5 -110
Greek
O 82.5 -140
U 82.5 +115

Pittsburgh Pirates

Bodog
O 72.0 -115
U 72.0 -115
Greek
O 70.5 -110
U 70.5 -110

Washington Nationals

Greek
O 68.5 +115
U 68.5 -140
Bodog
O 67.0 -115
U 67.0 -115

Aside from the fact that Greek has -170 on the Orioles Over 70.5, I actually think my Orioles will under-perform again this year but yet surprise some by not being too many games out of .500, like being 10 games out of .500, something like that. That'd fall on exactly 71.

Not only that, we have 71, 72, and 73 wins to have a winning middle on both future bets. Would you take it? Just curious.

Cheers,

* CalvinTy
 

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I see that more and more sites have the futures out for division leaders, conference champions, and WS champions. Still not many (yet) have shown their lines for Regular Season Wins... Greek & Bodog having them--- I admit, I didn't check too many sites yet.

(Note, I don't have a Greek account yet so I'm just comparing some wacky potential middles, not that it's worth it as some math experts would tell us.)

I compared Greek & Bodog and saw 2 teams with AT LEAST TWO FULL GAMES difference as well as 2 more teams with a ONE AND ONE-HALF FULL GAMES difference.

I had quickly noticed my Orioles as the largest difference and wondered if others were the same, but not really. I know the juice eats up a *LOT* of the value here. Though, can someone tell me whether any of them in a hypothetical situation are worthy to bet the potential middles on?

Baltimore Orioles

Bodog
O 73.5 -115
U 73.5 -115
Greek
O 70.5 -170
U 70.5 +145

Chicago Cubs

Bodog
O 84.5 -120
U 84.5 -110
Greek
O 82.5 -140
U 82.5 +115

Pittsburgh Pirates

Bodog
O 72.0 -115
U 72.0 -115
Greek
O 70.5 -110
U 70.5 -110

Washington Nationals

Greek
O 68.5 +115
U 68.5 -140
Bodog
O 67.0 -115
U 67.0 -115

Aside from the fact that Greek has -170 on the Orioles Over 70.5, I actually think my Orioles will under-perform again this year but yet surprise some by not being too many games out of .500, like being 10 games out of .500, something like that. That'd fall on exactly 71.

Not only that, we have 71, 72, and 73 wins to have a winning middle on both future bets. Would you take it? Just curious.

Cheers,

* CalvinTy


10 games under wouldn't be 71, that would be 20 under.
 

Raising 4 girls!
Joined
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Thanks for the replies, RF & JMan. I knew that the -170 juice really ate into a lot of the value, if not completely erasing any value left.... just was very surprised to see a 3-game differential involved here, then again, I have to remind myself that the juice was masking the 3-game differential.

I kinda liked the range of wins for Orioles anyway... I didn't see them repeating a lousy 70-win season last year (only 30 road wins & not even .500 at home!). At the same token, I didn't see them improving all the way to .500 so I figured 73-75 wins would be a good range.

* CalvinTy
 

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