A conservative stock market method to following forum cappers

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Let's say your starting total bankroll {STBR} is 100 units {e.g. $100,000}.

{1} You will divide this STBR into 20 equal amounts or 5% each, that is
5 units of the STBR {e.g. $5,000 each}.

{2} Each of those 5%'s will be exclusively for the plays of a single capper.
That {e.g. $5,000} will constitute 100% of the BR for each individual
capper {ICBR}. In the example i am using the ICBR is $5,000 and an IC
unit is $50.

{3} So you will follow the plays of 20 different people {proven cappers}.

{4} This is much safer than putting all your eggs in one basket {e.g. a
Nortel}. Individual cappers, even ones who have been very successful
in the past, have had seasons where they've lost a large % of their
BR, if not all of it.

{5} If any of the BR's {e.g. $5000} for any single capper of the 20 is
lost for the season that may be recovered by the other 19 who may gain
that back and several times more.

{6} For example if the other 19 average only +10 units {$500} ICBR
each then that is a profit of 19 X $500 = $9500. Minus the $5,000 lost
on the one capper makes overall profit = +$4500.

{7} Additionally bonuses from all this rollover is extra and could easily
double that amount.
 

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What if one capper's plays conflict with another's? Do you play both and give the juice away or simply lay off the game entirely. If you're following 20 cappers, there's bound to be a lot of opposite plays...
 
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What if one capper's plays conflict with another's? Do you play both and give the juice away or simply lay off the game entirely. If you're following 20 cappers, there's bound to be a lot of opposite plays...

In my experience this happens sometimes & i lose the juice because
i've already played one side when i see the other is a play. If i haven't
made any bets yet when seeing cappers i'm following on opposite sides
then i'll lay off if the strength of each side is equal. If one side is a
strong opinion then i may still make a wager though for not as much as
i would if there was no contrary opinion.

BTW, of the 20 cappers the breakdown could be, at the present time
{pre MLB, NFL, NCAAF, CFL} 4 each in NHL & NBA and 8 for CBB, with
the remaining 4 for other things like Boxing, Tennis, Golf & Soccer.
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
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putting a hundred grand in play based on 20 internet blowhards opinions ???

you gotta be kidding me .

better odds buying 100,000 lotto tickets.
 

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LOL
totally agree world number one
who even has 100G to "play" with?
besides the typical poster on this site who makes 100,000 a yr at a great job, wins money weekly gambling and life revolves around posting on a message board to strangers about how great their life is..
 
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LOL
totally agree world number one
who even has 100G to "play" with?

The 100G was merely an example to illustrate the method.
One could do the same thing with any amount and be safer.
If you practice safe sex, here is how to put a condom on
your gambling. :missingte

The books may not like it, but that's too bad. I am a member
of the player's union.
 
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Learn to handicap your own plays, or you will fail. Good Luck

I do cap but don't have the time to look at hundreds of games
a week like successful forum contributers do. Why would it fail?
Do you have the time to cap every game every day? Or even
10% of them.
 

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I wouldn't trust any forum capper, winning guys are rare enough as it is, just look at Joeflex's body of work at Fezzik's etc..

I don't disagree with combining people's plays to reduce variance, I just wouldn't do it without a substantial proven +EV record, and those who have that, don't post for free on forums as a rule.
 

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Look back to last season's baseball. "Mutual Fund" picks I believe it was called; it didn't do so well...
 

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Learn to handicap your own plays, or you will fail. Good Luck


The best handicappers only do a little less than 60% long term but some cappers hit extended stretches of 75% or so.

It would appear to me that your time would be better spent handicapping the handicappers.
 

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Show me a capper who has an extended stretch of 75%, or for that matter one who is a "little" less than 59%. 55% is great.
 

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Guess I got too much whiskey on the keyboard .
gtc08 is at 62.7 for the season in CBB.

It is my understanding that some legendary guys are at close to 58% lifetime.

My point being, you can follow good handicappers who are streaking a lot easier than you can become a legend class handicapper.
 

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My point being, you can follow good handicappers who are streaking a lot easier than you can become a legend class handicapper.

That much we agree on, though I disregard streaking completely. Long term results are all that matters.
 

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