Murray, an admirer of the legendary Sabermetrics genius Bill James, says about betting baseball, "... it can be the most profitable game out there."
He understands the important of analyzing statistics and explains it well. He looks at the money line; follows with the run line. The section on totals looks at two seasons and what the key numbers were and how often they were landed on.
He answers questions such as:
• How does one measure offense?
• How much weight do we give to pitching and what three categories does a pitcher have complete control over (strikeouts, walks and home runs allowed)?
• Can one measure consistency in starters and what about injuries? How does a bettor factor items like number of innings pitched?
And he dissects and examines unique areas like wind, temperature, humidity and overall individual ballpark effects to help totals bettors be more disciplined.
Explains how to create your own baseball line. For those who believe umpires play a key role in determining number of runs scored in a game because of individual quirks or interpretation of the strike zone, Murray also explains Ques-Tec (a computerized technique to help "standardize the strike zone").
A special section on umpires discusses Umpire Rotation; Adjusting Your Totals; Home Umpires; Rating Umpires by name and performance; and Over-Under Results for Each Umpire.
Revised to include the 2006 season's information. 104 pages, Paperback, February 2007.
