Is this a worthwhile CBB middle? Available now

X-Files · Mar 19, 2007

Florida/Butler under 125.5 -110

Florida/Butler over 124 -105

winbet · Mar 19, 2007

Punters have been playing the overs so there's a good chance it will go higher. Take the over 124 and wait for the exchanges to quote, then lay the over at -105. GL :drink:

X-Files · Mar 19, 2007

Interesting. So take a lead on the over expecting it will go to at least
125.5 -105 by Friday & then "lay the over" = play the under. I see the
opener was 124 so you are spot on re the direction this is heading.
My concern is it will cum back the other way & screw me, but trust
your judgement here.

winbet · Mar 19, 2007

X-Files said:
Interesting. So take a lead on the over expecting it will go to at least
125.5 -105 by Friday & then "lay the over" = play the under. I see the
opener was 124 so you are spot on re the direction this is heading.
My concern is it will cum back the other way & screw me, but trust
your judgement here.

Matchbook will have any market change so at worse a loss of vig and by lay, I mean at plus vig so you will be getting +105 on the under:drink:

X-Files · Mar 19, 2007

winbet said:
Matchbook will have any market change so at worse a loss of vig and by lay, I mean at plus vig so you will be getting +105 on the under:drink:

Ah, i see. Though MB is lacking from my Arsenal perhaps the Piny
dropdown or the equivalent will suffice for a +105 if the upward
move is enough? Will monitor the itchy ballsack for confirmation.

:toast:

X-Files · Mar 19, 2007

BTW, what's with all the hyping of MB. Have you quit BetunFair{y},
PaddyWanker & PaddyWagon? :drink:

winbet · Mar 19, 2007

More liquidity on Matchbook for US Sports so more chance of getting the price you want, however still more chance of catching a dope in-play on Betfair like getting -140 UNLV when they were up 12 with a minute to go in the 1st half :drink:

Iceman · Mar 19, 2007

You should pay around 5 cents a half point with NCAA totals, so to anwer your question that is OK. Not great but doable for me. In the long run I would bet the 1 number that is off and screw the other bet. The off number will win more than 53% of the time and make you money. That is is if the consensus total is 1.5 point different from the off number.

X-Files · Mar 19, 2007

Iceman said:
You should pay around 5 cents a half point with NCAA totals, so to anwer your question that is OK. Not great but doable for me. In the long run I would bet the 1 number that is off and screw the other bet. The off number will win more than 53% of the time and make you money. That is is if the consensus total is 1.5 point different from the off number.

In this case Piny has 124 & Oly had 125.5 {now 125} & a couple others
that i looked at had 125. Live lines is showing mostly 124.5's presently.

Iceman · Mar 19, 2007

To tell you the truth in this above scenairo I would have did the middle because there is so many days before the game tips off.

Would be almost impossible to try and figure out which line was off so I would have grabbed the middle. Nice find, wish I would have seen it.