Simple System

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I plan on playing the same system I did last year, so I thought I'd test it out in the preseason. What I'm testing is a simplified version of the system I'll be playing: play any dog +110 or better if they won their previous game. It seems to be working well so far:

3/1: 0-1, -100
3/2: 4-2, +255
3/3: 6-2, +495
3/4: 2-1, +125
3/5: 5-3, +300
3/6: 3-2, +160
3/7: 1-2, -75
3/8: 3-2, +145
3/9: 2-2, +30
3/10: 2-3, -75
3/11: 1-3, -185
3/12: 4-2, +250
3/13: 3-4, -5
3/14: 3-2, +195
3/15: 2-2, +50
3/16: 4-2, +275
3/17: 6-3, +385
3/18: 0-2, -200
3/19: 1-2, -90
3/20: 3-2, +165
3/21: 4-3, +210
3/22: 5-2, +440
3/23: 4-2, +285
3/24: 5-2, +470

So overall we have 73-53, or 58% and +35.05 units. Not bad considering my target is ~47%! Hopefully it keeps up as long as possible, but I know it won't last. It's on a nice run in the last 5 days...21-11, 66%, +15.7


Sunday's plays look like CIN, HOU, SEA
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Goodcall,

Don't take this the wrong way, but I show this as an overall loser from 99-06 using Pinny lines. What do your results show? It sounded intriguing so I went back and quickly ran the numbers. Maybe I am misunderstanding the plays, but you are saying if a team is a dog on say Tuesday and won (regardless of line) on Monday, play them, correct?

Here is what mine show, 99-06, 99 on the top in $100 units

-1616
2271
-3519
-3196
-275
2930
2210
-451
 

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Goodcall,

I'm very interested in this system. Sounds like a simple way to play the bases. If I understand the system ...I play any dog +110 or better if they won their last game. Houston lost last time out so it should not be a play today. Is that right? Cin and Sea would be today (Sunday). Thanks for any info.:aktion033
 

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Have yo got last year results of this system ?


http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=383548

A lot of it is documented in here...I'll do things a bit differently this season, like not playing after the break lol and not trying to get too fancy with alternate runlines and all that.

I'll be able to start right at the beginning of the season this year which is nice

Anyway, it started off real well and did OK until the break and then fell apart.
 

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Goodcall,

Don't take this the wrong way, but I show this as an overall loser from 99-06 using Pinny lines. What do your results show? It sounded intriguing so I went back and quickly ran the numbers. Maybe I am misunderstanding the plays, but you are saying if a team is a dog on say Tuesday and won (regardless of line) on Monday, play them, correct?

Here is what mine show, 99-06, 99 on the top in $100 units

-1616
2271
-3519
-3196
-275
2930
2210
-451


I got similar results when I ran those seasons last year I think, except I think 01-02 were the only losing seasons. Any dog +110 or better that won their previous game, regardless of line. That's the simplified version anyway, which accounts for about 75-80% of the plays and is all that I'm tracking in the preseason. The full version is described in the thread I posted above, but again, most of the plays fit that simple system as well.
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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I got similar results when I ran those seasons last year I think, except I think 01-02 were the only losing seasons. Any dog +110 or better that won their previous game, regardless of line. That's the simplified version anyway, which accounts for about 75-80% of the plays and is all that I'm tracking in the preseason. The full version is described in the thread I posted above, but again, most of the plays fit that simple system as well.

Got it, I actually forgot to use +110 and higher so +100 to +109 are mixed in.

Where in NY?
 

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Goodcall,

I'm very interested in this system. Sounds like a simple way to play the bases. If I understand the system ...I play any dog +110 or better if they won their last game. Houston lost last time out so it should not be a play today. Is that right? Cin and Sea would be today (Sunday). Thanks for any info.:aktion033

Yeah, not sure where I got Houston...it was late lol.

I'm actually going to have to recalculate all those numbers, I think my mental math was off on more than a few occasions going through there...what I come up with will probably be less impressive, but still at least +20 units...we'll see
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Rochester:thumbsup:

Any easy place to look up Pinny histories? Thanks

covers.com, email me and I will send you the spreadsheet with the 99-06 data.

fhmesq at yahoo dot com
 

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Plays for Monday 3/36

Atl +125
Balt +115 All from cris
T.Bay +140
Phillies +155
Milw +110
Sea +115
:smoking:
 

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I'm trying to run the actual system to get the plays...are home games in preseason all at the home team's spring training home? Or are they all completely neutral fields? Thanks for any help
 

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Atl +125
Balt +115 All from cris
T.Bay +140
Phillies +155
Milw +110
Sea +115
:smoking:

Alright, I went through the actual system and looks like the plays today were/are:

ATL +123 (W)
TB +143 (L)
SEA +119 (9:05PM)
BAL +111 (W)
PHI +172 (L)

2-2, +0.34 so far
 

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would every season had been profitable if you stopped playing at the break and excluded the IL games?do you know how mnay units you had made by the break last year? thanks for sharing the system.
 
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I Played This System last Year And Won Alot Of Money. I'll Vouche For The System!!!
 

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Actually Milwaukee didn't fit the more complicated system, since Arizona also won their last game and the system thinks the Arizona win was more impressive.

Under the simplified system, yes it was a play.
Nice hit if you played it! :)

I'm not putting any money on these preseason games...just using them to get a feel for the system this year. I'll start putting money on them once the teams have played 3 regular-season games.

RDC, I'll check on that (post 15)

gl guys
 

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