Question about Tony Stoffo Underdog System

NightTrain · Mar 25, 2007

I have question about Tony Stoffo underdog system. When should I start to play underdog ; after one week from season start or later?

Thanks for the input!

NT
GLTU

SSI · Mar 26, 2007

im over a week into mine now........

Puccini · Mar 27, 2007

I played this the second half of last year with good results. Very streaky though.

I think you're supposed to start on Day 1, using the pitcher stats from last year. Apparently April is one of the best months for the system, as a lot of dogs come in.

Good luck.

NightTrain · Mar 27, 2007

Thanks Puccini, I thought I read that in another forum, I just wanted to make sure...

SSI, what do you mean by you're already into it?

Looking forward to your reply!

NT

Yankees2007 · Mar 28, 2007

I understand you are supposed to exclude the favorite team's pitcher in the Sag. Top 20. But let's say a team takes some super-duper reliever out of the pen to start a game...but he does not have enough innings pitched to be in the top list. Is their a rule of thumb? Or do you look at all of the lists (regardless of innings pitched) and exclude any pitcher in ANY top 20?

I've never really followed those Sag. USA today lists before. Any idea on how often they are updated?

Puccini · Mar 28, 2007

I personally eliminate a pitcher if he had a rating that would put him in the top 20 but didn't have enough innings.

There were some outstanding pitchers that just didn't have the innings last year and it seemed silly not to eliminate them just because of that.

I'll be playing this system this year. I think it's averaged about 40 units (playing widely available lines) per year for the last two years.

trentmoney · Mar 28, 2007

i've been thinking about a modification on this..

if the opposing pitcher is in the top 20 you don't play and if the game is more than +150 you don't play...

but if the pitcher is not in the top 20 i would think getting more than +150 would be a good thing..!! or maybe top 30..

think about it... if you're facing a team's #3 starter and getting +170 i would think over the long haul that has a very good chance of being profitable... getting those ml odds against a mike pelfrey just bc he plays for the mets seems like value to me...

any thoughts..??

Adam. · Mar 30, 2007

what about unders ?

Should we play since first day . I see 7 games in monday with two pitchers in the TOP 20.

2 games fit dog system : Washington and LA Dodgers ; odds for Tampa is higher than +150 but like trentmoney said maybe it's also worth to take a look in dogs >+150

hiphop22 · Mar 30, 2007

Night Train said:
Thanks Puccini, I thought I read that in another forum, I just wanted to make sure...

SSI, what do you mean by you're already into it?

Looking forward to your reply!

NT

He's been doing his dog system all last week during preseason. He is doing very well in the week, too.