data needed for series sweeps

auggiedawg · Mar 30, 2007

I was just curious if someone could point me in the right direction or figure this out on their own....as i have a system that i tried last year and had pretty good success with.

1. Could someone backtrack how often a home team gets swept in a 3 or 4 game series. Maybe backtrack at least 5 or so years. This would be greatly appreciated.

2. The system is simply this.....for instance

houston/atlanta (3 game series @ ATL)
Bet on atlanta (home team) to win at least 1 game of the 3 game series. Object is to win 1 unit. Once the home team has won a game in that series, you stop betting.

Also, another option that i would like to explore, as i think u have a potential for better value.

houston/atl (3 game series @ATL)
Bet on houston to win at least 1 game of the 3 game series ON THE ROAD. Same object as above....to win 1 unit.

Let me know what u think.

thanks:modemman:

WorldNumberOne · Mar 30, 2007

i would love to see someone bring up a martingale system in which you use underdogs...

its much easier on the stress and bankroll...

to play a 150 fav. for all 3 games in a series hoping to win 1 would be:

150/100 if lose :
375/250 if lose :
937/625 if win you make 100 . if lose, you lost 1462 ..

playing a + 130 dog all 3 games .

77/100 if lose
136/177 if lose
240/313 if win make 100 , if lose , you lost 453

dogs win sometimes too ....

auggiedawg · Mar 30, 2007

World Number One said:
i would love to see someone bring up a martingale system in which you use underdogs...

its much easier on the stress and bankroll...

to play a 150 fav. for all 3 games in a series hoping to win 1 would be:

150/100 if lose :
375/250 if lose :
937/625 if win you make 100 . if lose, you lost 1462 ..

playing a + 130 dog all 3 games .

77/100 if lose
136/177 if lose
240/313 if win make 100 , if lose , you lost 453

dogs win sometimes too ....

thanks for that man. I am seriously considering taking the dog on all away 3 game series. Object would be for the dog to win at least 1 game of a 3 game series. damn, i need some data for this.....help
:smoking:

WorldNumberOne · Mar 30, 2007

auggiedawg said:
thanks for that man. I am seriously considering taking the dog on all away 3 game series. Object would be for the dog to win at least 1 game of a 3 game series. damn, i need some data for this.....help
:smoking:

i didnt say take them in every series .

their are probably some decent spots though .

covers.com has previous seasons with lines listed .

go to baseball , then to teams , then past seasons.

auggiedawg · Mar 30, 2007

World Number One said:
i didnt say take them in every series .

their are probably some decent spots though .

covers.com has previous seasons with lines listed .

go to baseball , then to teams , then past seasons.

hey , work with me here..... i think take any dog at +110 to +130 at the opening of a series and roll from there......

what would u consider a good spot.....i want to take the "handicapping" out as much as possible.

thanks

METFAN · Mar 30, 2007

:think2:

There are soooo many series. You could get crushed in week one. Why not try to get the sweep stats for the last 3 yrs. Then see:

1) what happens if home team wins first 2

2) what happens if rd teams wins the first 2

3) what is the difference (if any) if you eliminate the real shit teams.

ie pittsburgh,kc,wash and tampa bay

then you only have to look at games where the first 2 weren't split.

what is the stats on 4 game series if the first 3 go one way????:lol:

WorldNumberOne · Mar 30, 2007

auggiedawg said:
hey , work with me here..... i think take any dog at +110 to +130 at the opening of a series and roll from there......

what would u consider a good spot.....i want to take the "handicapping" out as much as possible.

thanks

figure out who the best 8 teams are .

figure out who the worst 8 teams are

everybody else is the middle.

play any middle team on the road vs another middle team .

play any best team on the road vs any other best teams.

never play the worst teams in any situation.

now you figure it out from there . do your own homework.

auggiedawg · Mar 30, 2007

World Number One said:
figure out who the best 8 teams are .

figure out who the worst 8 teams are

everybody else is the middle.

play any middle team on the road vs another middle team .

play any best team on the road vs any other best teams.

never play the worst teams in any situation.

now you figure it out from there . do your own homework.

good info bud.....would u consider this or am i trying in vain here.....something seems pretty good with this....

actually, i like the idea of this....let me look more.

auggiedawg · Apr 1, 2007

METFAN said:
:think2:

There are soooo many series. You could get crushed in week one. Why not try to get the sweep stats for the last 3 yrs. Then see:

1) what happens if home team wins first 2

2) what happens if rd teams wins the first 2

3) what is the difference (if any) if you eliminate the real shit teams.

ie pittsburgh,kc,wash and tampa bay

then you only have to look at games where the first 2 weren't split.

what is the stats on 4 game series if the first 3 go one way????:lol:

interesting...would like to get the info on this....so, u are saying dont play any games until either the first 2 or won or lost in a series? then place wager depending on previous years outcome?