sunday bases

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Sep 20, 2004
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Finally, MLB regular season is here. I don’t understand how people bet the exhibition season. To me it is truly as guessing game.

I usually at the end of the year end up on the plus side in baseball. The key for me is to try and take mostly underdogs. It is the only sport that you can win 50% and come out on top. I am going to try and make my biggest single bet favorite no higher than -150. I will throw in some runline plays as well. Another thing that I am going to do this year is play some parlays. I did very well last year playing moneyline parlays with large favs. You can bet two -200 favs, lay one unit to win 1.25 units.

In the past I have tried to rate my plays best bets, strong plays and regular plays, not any more. I am convinced that no one play is better than another one, so all my plays are equal for just one unit. Another thing that I will not do is play totals, another guessing game in my opinion.

I am not going to have 5, 10 or 15 unit plays, so my record will never be up there at plus 2500 units like you may see others have. I am a fairly small bettor. I may not win a ton of money, but I won’t lose a ton of money either.

My write-ups, time permitting will be brief. How much can you really say about a baseball pick anyway?

With a ton of day games this early in the season, I will most likely be taking a pass on those games. Just not enough time when you work first trick. But got to work to make the money to gamble with.



OPENING DAY….got to love it. I am not crazy about this game, but I am going to play it just because it is the first of the season. Most of my lines are going to come from World Sports Exchange. I cannot believe how many sportsbooks are using 20¢ lines….makes me kind of sick.




Mets +130 vs St Louis……….Mets only weakness is their hurting and aging starting pitching. Might be a factor later on in the year, but not this early. Glavine has pitched well vs the Cards in this career and the Mets have the better lineup, so I will take a shot at them as a dog here.


Back sometime Sunday afternoon or evening with my Monday plays.


Good Luck Everybody!!
 

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