I have no play on that game...
But I like the M's...
Can get 'em at +127...WSEX
Harden is nasty...but there are not too many A's other than Kendall and Piazza with a good sample size of AB's and decent #'s vs Batista...
M's have started the season red hot...and considering how bad they struggled vs Oakland last season (beat 'em twice all season I think)...
Just smells like a sweep tonight...and at this point I would rather take the +27 cents vs laying the .37
But I like the M's...
Can get 'em at +127...WSEX
Harden is nasty...but there are not too many A's other than Kendall and Piazza with a good sample size of AB's and decent #'s vs Batista...
M's have started the season red hot...and considering how bad they struggled vs Oakland last season (beat 'em twice all season I think)...
Just smells like a sweep tonight...and at this point I would rather take the +27 cents vs laying the .37
You are wrong. The public was way off last year. This year the public has already been their normal square selves. The public has been all over Oakland the past two games, Seattle wins, the public was on Florida today 93% to 7%, Washington wins. Over 70% of people were on the White Sox, Indians win. Just like basketball and football it is not 100% but it works just the same in every sport.
What does that have to do with anything? If those teams are that bad they will make all the games -300 and higher. Most people are scared to lay that much juice. The fact is that anti public bets are just as reliable here than any other sport. They work, but you can't just follow them blindly.
this whole anti-public thing has been totally stretched to the point where guys are trying to apply it where its really not applicable.
harden and oakland are either going to win the game for their bettors, or they are going to lose for their bettors.
whether the price is +100,-130,-170,-230, it doesnt matter.
there is nothing the books can do about it except tax you on your bet.
its not even close to basketball or football where they can adjust the pointspread.
if oakland loses tonight, its not because of some silly reason like 'the public was all over them'
its because harden will have turned in a poor performance.
you can get every person in this forum to place a bet on oakland tonight and its not going to change anything about the game.
harden is either going to pitch well and win, or the a's are going to lose.
there is nothing the books can do except make you pay a few more cents on the dollar. they cant say 'well, we're getting a lot of oakland action. we'll make the rest of the oakland bettors have to win by 2 or 3 runs'.
in basketball and football, they can do that.
moreover, florida didnt lose today because 'the public was all over them'.
they lost because their bullpen imploded. the public doesnt put a uniform on and head out to the mound to close games.
harden is either going to pitch well and win, or the a's are going to lose.
there is nothing the books can do except make you pay a few more cents on the dollar. they cant say 'well, we're getting a lot of oakland action. we'll make the rest of the oakland bettors have to win by 2 or 3 runs'.
in basketball and football, they can do that.
moreover, florida didnt lose today because 'the public was all over them'.
they lost because their bullpen imploded. the public doesnt put a uniform on and head out to the mound to close games.
