Boxslayer's MLB Saturday (7-4, +4.26)

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UF. Champion U.
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7-4, +4.26

From yesterday, but a better number today:

2* Chicago White Sox -1.5 +165

After a hard fought series with the Indians, the WhiteSox face another central rival as <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State> comes to town. I’m playing the run line here because of the way I think this game will go. One, if not both of these pitchers will get lit up today, and I'm putting my money that it is Silva. If they both get lit, and the game becomes a high scoring affair, 1-run shouldn't make the difference here. Good odds at +160.
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Javier Vasquez has made a name for himself in this league, not because he is anything special, but by stepping up in big games. He’s a solid 3 guy that comes to pitch when a good team or good game rolls into town, and that’s what he has here. A <st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State> team, off a sweep, will get out of the friendly confines and friendly temperatures of their dome, and head down to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City> in the 45-degree weather. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State> should remember quickly in this game that bat to ball contact in cool weather doesn’t feel good on the hands. The White Sox have been playing in this weather for the past 3 games, and are no stranger to it so far this season.
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Vasquez has had a bad history vs. the Twinkies, but it is really skewed because he is a poor dome pitcher, and struggles against the Twins in <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State>. When he has faced them in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>, he has performed admirably. His last outing was 6.2 IP, 5 hits, 2 runs. He has also induced the Twins into groundballs more than any other team with a GB:FB ratio of about 2:1, which is very impressive. Vasquez has performed much better at home, as his ERA sits about a half run better when he pitches at home. He is also a fast starter, as his April ERA of 3.99 over the past 3 seasons is more than a run and a half better than almost any other month of the season.
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Carlos Silva comes into this game in the complete opposite boat. His road ERA sits 1 run higher at 5.00 on road starts. And his ERA gets almost 1 full run higher when he gets outdoors. How will he respond to the early season shivers? The White Sox swept the Twins early in the season last year, in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>. Finally, Silva’s ugly April ERA of 6.04 is a full run to 1.5 runs worse than any other month. Tells me Silva is a slow starter, who probably doesn’t pitch well in colder conditions, as his ERA gets better as the months go by, and temperatures increase.
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City> 8
<st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State> 4
 

UF. Champion U.
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2* Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +115

Simply put: Give me one of the best pitchers in the game (Webb), vs. one of the worst teams in baseball (Wash) at a + price.

Webb's typically a very fast starter: 9-1, and an ERA in the 2's in April - another pitcher who starts fast. Pitched at Colorado last game in the thin air and got off to a bad start, but I look for good pitcher's to bounce back, especially vs. a team like Washington. If it weren't for Washington's 3-run bottom of the 9th vs. Florida, this team could be 0-5. Washington is not playing good baseball, they are young, and the D-Backs in nice position for the sweep here. After losing their series at Colorado, this would be a nice game for them to pick-up and move to 4-2. Patterson also off a poor performance, one of these two guys should bounce back, my money is on the better team, better pitcher, better price.

A split between this game and the Whitesox is a winning bet overall, although I expect 2-0.
 

UF. Champion U.
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2* Orioles/Yankees over 10.5 -115

Orioles and Yankees played a 6-4 game last night. And in my experience watching this Yankee team, when they start off series' with a double digit scoring affair, they set the tone for the series. Aside from that little personal observation, I love when veteran hitters face a veteran pitcher. And I really like the Yankees to beat up on Trachsel today.
Trachsel has had his struggles in Yankee stadium, and on a Saturday day game, and with a 1-2 record, expect the Yankees to come out today with something to prove to the home crowd.
On the other side, Igawa makes his MLB debut from Japan. Igawa was an All-Star 3 straight years in Japan in the early 2000's, but he has had struggles with control in spring training, particularly with his changeup. You really need to be able to control your off-speed stuff to be effective, because if it doesn't look good out of the hand, the hitter immediately discards it as a ball. The Orioles may be able to take advantage od some inaccuracy from a nervous Igawa today, and sit dead red on the fastball and drive in some runs.
Johnny Damon could make his return today, and Jeter is probable with the ankle.

Yankees 11
Orioles 5
 

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I like New York to pile it on today too...almost played the over as well, Trachsel is one of those nibblers who usually get exposed by a veteran team like NY who will make him throw strikes and eventually they get to him...

Just not sure what to expect from Igawa yet...

GL today in the Box
 

Luck is when Preparation meets Opportunity
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NYY team total over 5.5????? :money8:
 

Murder is like a workout plan gotta keep a fat bur
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bump Boxslayer shouldnt be on the second page with pending plays :WTF:

1 more run in this Yankee game we got 3 more innings to get it :drink:
 

Buried Alive after week 2 of the NFL
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I was getting nervous there...Thanks Giambi, keep juicing bro!
 

Murder is like a workout plan gotta keep a fat bur
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your boy Kory Casto is batting in the 2 spot again and his 1st at bat vs Webb strikes out looking on 3 pitches :puppy:
 

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I tailed you on the Arizona play . I would have missed it otherwise. :pope:
And when your college plays come out I will hop aboard the the train. :bunnies: :bunnies: :bunnies:
 

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Tailed all 3 plays, fucking money in the bank. Good day today box, keep it up man!:money8:
 

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