More Service Plays from BB:
Stan Sharp - Double Dime Play
956 CIN (-115) vs 955 PIT
Analysis: All 3 of Stan's TOP BASEBALL BETTORS have made a BIG WAGER on the CINCINNATI. Stan's contacts all agree that CINCINNATI has huge advantages over PITTSBURGH at almost every position and will get the SWEEP today as the Pirates looks forward to their HOME OPENER Monday in Pittsburgh. TAKE the CINCINNATI as STAN'S NL MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY. Note Stan is 33-19 ATS with his last 52 Plays!!
Sunday Comps:
Winner Line-Detroit Tigers
OTM-San Francisco
Computer Boys-Toronto
MTI Sports
Game: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Apr 8 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: The Mets are 14-1 as a road favorite after a loss and it is the last game of the series and a perfect 12-0 as a favorite after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series. Take New York.
BR
Apr 08: MLB: Florida - Philadelphia
Pitchers: List Olsen & Zegovia
Pick: Florida -1.5 Odd: 2.78
Risk: 6 units. Return:
Apr 08: MLB: Pittsburgh - Cincinatti
Pitchers: List Duke & Milton
Pick: Pittsburgh win Odd: 2.06
Risk: 7 units. Return:
Larry Ness
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Apr 8 2007 4:05PM
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
Reason: The Giants lost the first two games of a three-game series to the Padres earlier this week but salvaged the final game, 5-3. Can they get a "repeat performance" here, with their "$126 million man" on the hill. Barry Zito was not sharp in a 7-0 Tuesday loss to the Padres but I'll give him a shot here vs the Dodgers. LA counters with Randy Wolf and he wasn't all that good in his Dodger debut at Milwaukee (Tuesday). Wolf's had trouble staying healthy in recent years, making 23 starts in 2004 and just a combined 25 starts in '05 and '06. The Phils went 16-9 in those 25 starts but Wolf 's ERA was 4.87. Also note his road ERA these last two years. Ignore the fact that Philly went 6-1 in his road starts last year, because his road ERA was 6.28. In six road starts in 2005, his ERA was 5.60 (team was 3-3). Look for the Giants to get to Wolf and for Zito to pitch well enough for the Giants to end a seven-game home losing streak to the hated Dodgers. Go with San Fran.
FPBE Free Picks
Marco D'Angelo - MIN -200 (MLB)
Matty O'Shea - BOS -140 (MLB)
Ben Burns - TOR/TB under 8 (MLB)
JB Sports - NYM -145 (MLB)
Jeff Alexander
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
1 Unit on Colorado +180
Peavy is just 7-15 against the money line versus NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs per game over the last 2 seasons and 2-8 against the money line versus teams outscoring opponents be .5 or more runs per game on the seasons over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are just 4-12 against the ML in home games in April over the last 2 seasons while the Rockies are 19-11 against the ML in April over the last 2 seasons. The Rocks are showing great value with their ace on the hill. Take Colorado here
Trev Rogers
Brewers -122 (I believe this game is PPD)
Dave Cokin
CHI Cubs
Everyone expects the Cubs to produce plenty of offense this season. I see them as a juggernaut against lefties. Soriano, Lee and Ramirez are tough enough. Add in DeRosa, who lit up southpaws last season, along with Matt Murton and it gets even better. Nice move by Piniella in resting Michael Barrett Saturday, so he can go Sunday against Capuano, who he's dominated. Wade Miller is the unknown quantity here, but he gets his first start at his favorite locale (6-0, 1.08 lifetime at Miller). I have to take the Cubs as dogs in this spot
BEN BURNS
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays Apr 8 2007 1:40PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The first two games of this series have both snuck "over" the total. However, this figures to be a much lower scoring affair. The UNDER is 61-50 the past 2+ seasons when the Jays have played an afternoon game. During the same stretch, the Devil Rays have seen the UNDER go 52-40 in their "day" games. The Jays are 13-5 when Halladay started against the Devil Rays with the UNDER going a solid 11-6-1. Note that in three starts at Tropicana Field last season, Halladay posted a 1.88 ERA. Although the Rays are just 2-6 when he has started against the Jays, Kazmir has recorded a solid 2.87 ERA with the UNDER going 5-2-1. Look for a well-pitched affair and consider a play on the UNDER
Jim Feist
HOU Astros
St. Louis starter Kip Wells has never pitched well against Houston, at 3-6 with a 5.03 ERA in his career against them. Houston has an excellent home field edge and new starter Jason Jennings is happy to be out of Colorado. Jennings pitched well in his first start, with one walk, 7 Ks and 1 run allowed in 6 IP. Despite pitching with a bad Colorado team, he has a 3.52 career ERA against the Cardinals in 46 innings. Play the Astros
MATT RIVERS
For Sunday take the Reds at this cheap price.
I am the first to talk up Zach Duke as the Pirates lefthander is extremely talented and showed in his rookie campaign a few seasons ago how good he can be. The Reds also do perenially have some issues with southpaws as they can neutralize the power of Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey, Jr. and others but to still be able to get Cincinnati at the Great American Ballpark at this number is a semi steal.
Eric Milton is definitely capable of allowing his share of home runs and especially so in this launching pad of a stadium but Milton is a capable professional who even has thrown a few no-hitters in his career. The Cincinnati hurler should be able to somewhat limit the Bucos. Sure Pittsburgh may be a little improved this season as evidenced by sweeping Houston at MinuteMaid in the opening series but they are still one of the weaker teams in the National League and on the road just should not win this game.
The bottom line is that Cincinnati wins this game many more times than they lose it against these inferior visitors. Duke may be very good and could help his team pull out a win but not at the price that the oddsmakers deem and that is enough of a value for me.
Brandon Lang
15 DIME
Mets - Please Specify Pitchers - Hernandez vs Davies
Red Sox - Please Specify Pitchers - Schilling vs Padilla
10 DIME
Astros - Please Specify Pitchers - Well vs Jennings
5 DIME
Orioles - Please Specify Pitchers - Bedard vs Rasner
PLATINUM PLAYS
MLB: the LOS ANGELES ANGELS - 150 Over the Oakland A's
Billy Coleman
3* NY Mets w/Hernandez
3* St Louis action
Paul Leiner
Sunday, April 8, 2007
Sport: Pro Baseball Pick
Game: Arizona/Washington
Prediction: 5 Star Over 8.5 Wash/AZ
Drew Gordon
Let me makes one thing clear: Atlanta's Kyle Davies is nothing more than a liability as far as I'm concerned. He wouldn't even be in this spot if not for an injury to Lance Cormier's tricep,but since he is pitching, there's no reason not to capitalize! After a relatively decent rookie season, Davies hit the wall his sophomore effort, going just 3-7 with an 8.38 ERA in 14 starts last season.
Opposing Davies will be the veteran Orlando Hernandez, who was not only impressive in his win against the Cardinals Tuesday, but was outstanding against the Braves last season - winning both starts, surrendering 4 unearned runs! He looked fresh against St. Louis, throwing 104 pitches, and I see no reason for his 3-0 career record at Turner Field not to improve after today's game.
Bottom line, while both teams have started the season playing well, the Mets have the clear edge in this match up. Mets batting order is licking their chops at the sound of Davies, while El Duque has made a living shutting down the Braves at Turner (3-0 record, 1 earned run in 20 innings there).
Take the NY Mets behind Hernandez over Atlanta in afternoon NL East action.
4♦ NY METS
Michael Cannon
Take the Mets behind Orlando Hernandez today over the Braves.
El Duque has quite a resume against Atlanta, going 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in five career starts against the Braves.
At Turner Field he's been even more impressive, going 4-0 with a 0.67 ERA in four starts, including a game 1 victory in the 1999 World Series when he was a member of the Yankees.
The Braves will send Kyle Davies to the hill and he was just recalled from Triple-A to replace injured starter Lance Cormier. The right-hander struggled last season, going 3-7 with an 8.38 ERA in 14 starts.
The Mets lineup is dangerous from 1 through 8, so Davies couldn't have asked for a worse scenario to make his first start.
I'm taking the Mets as they put in a total team effort and grab the series win.
4♦ NEW YORK METS
Karl Garrett
When you get a ball hit the outfielders glove on the warning track and sail over the wall for a 2-run homer, you know you are living right!
That is exactly what happened on Adam Dunn's first inning 2-run shot, as Xavier Nady had it, then watched it sail over the wall for Dunn's third home of the season.
That kind of karma is something you can't go against, as Cincy has won their last 3 and look for the weekend sweep of the Pirates.
Cincy has had the the Pirates number at the Great American Ballpark, as they won 8 of the last 11, and 13 of the last 20 overall in the Queen City.
Duke and Milton will be on the hill today, and while Cincinnati has had past trouble against southpaw starters, they did rough up Maholm on Friday night.
At a near pick, I will side with the Reds to break the broom out before they hit the road this Monday.
3♦ CINCINNATI
Bobby Maxwell
Texas beat Boston 8-4 Saturday and the Rangers are 6-2 in their last eight Sunday games. Boston is just 8-22 in its last 30 games as a favorite.
Today it's Vicente Padilla going for Texas against Curt Schilling. Padilla (0-1, 11.57 ERA) got roughed up in his opener against the Angels, giving up six runs on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings in the 8-3 loss.
Schilling (0-1, 11.25 ERA) got roughed up on Opening Day in Kansas City, giving up five runs on eight hits in four innings of work in a 7-1 loss to the Royals. Last year against Texas, Schilling pitched twice, giving up six runs on 15 hits in 14 innings.
Padilla faced the Red Sox twice last season and gave up four runs on 13 hits in 13 innings of work. At home last year he led the Rangers to a 10-4 win, giving up just one run on four hits over six innings.
Texas has taken the first two games of this series and look for the Rangers to make it a sweep tonight. The Red Sox have only scored seven runs over their last three games and Padilla will give them fits tonight.
Play Texas.
2♦ TEXAS
LARRY NESS
20* NL Game of the Month
Sun, 04/08/07 - 2:05 PMLarry Ness | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet960 MIL (-120) vs 959 CHC
Analysis: The Cubs lost two of three at Cincy to open the year, scoring just seven runs and getting just five extra-base hits. That was no surprise, as Chicago had gone 30-51 on the road LY. However, the Chicago bats have come alive at Milwaukee, winning 9-3 and 6-3, while getting 25 hits, 12 of them for extra bases! On the other hand, the Brewers, 46-33 at home LY as opposed to just 27-54 on the road, opened '07 by taking two of three from the Dodgers (scoring 15 runs on 30 hits). Chicago has shut down Milwaukee so far in this series but look for the Brewers to bounce back vs Wade Miller today and for Chris Capuano to continue his mastery of the Cubs. Miller made 91 starts for the Astros between 2001-03, going 45-24 (3.61). However, over the last three years, he's made just 36 starts, including only five last year, after recovering from arthroscopic surgery following the '05 season. As for Capuano, the lefty made three starts vs Chicago LY, winning all three while not allowing a single run in 26 innings (16 Ks and just two walks). He's 7-2 vs the Cubs in 10 career starts, with the Brewers going 8-2. NL Game of the Month 20* Mil Brewers (Triple Dime).
Sebastian
4-0 in baseball yeterday and has hit last 4 50* plays
7* Braves
10* Red Sox
20* Brewers
10* Toronto/Tampa Bay Under
Boxer Sports
St Louis Cardinals - K. Wells @ Houston Astros - J. Jennings
Play the Total Under 9 -110 ( 2* )
Toronto Blue Jays - R. Halladay @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays - S. Kazmir
971 Blue Jays -150 ( 2* )
Minnesota Twins - Jo. Santana @ Chicago White Sox - J. Danks
974 White Sox +174 ( 2* )
Boston Red Sox - C. Schilling @ Texas Rangers - V. Padilla
979 Red Sox -127 ( 4* )
Dave Malinski
Tamba Bay DRays (Run Line)
Arizona Dbacks
Gator Report (confirmed- paid)
MLB Technical Game of the Week Selection:
Game 1: Oakland vs LA Angels
Technical Set: Oakland is "Under" 10-1 their last 11 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 8-2 UNDER in Athletics last 10 games as a road underdog, 38-18-2 UNDER in Athletics last 58 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 9-3 UNDER in Blanton's last 12 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 25-10-1 UNDER in Blanton's last 36 starts with 4 days of rest, 22-9 UNDER in Blanton's last 31 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 12-5 UNDER in Blanton's last 17 starts vs. American League West, 7-3 UNDER in Blanton's last 10 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 18-8 UNDER in Blanton's last 26 starts as an underdog, 9-4 UNDER in Blanton's last 13 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 33-16-2 UNDER in Blanton's last 51 starts on Grass, 4-1 UNDER in Blanton's last 5 starts vs. Angels, 49-35 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, 72-50 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons, 32-16 UNDER vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons, 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. LA Angels are 6-1 "UNDER" their last 7 games as a home favorite, 10-2-1 UNDER in Angels last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 4-1 UNDER in last 5 vs. American League West, 11-3 UNDER in their last 14 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 19-7-1 UNDER in their last 27 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 17-7-1 UNDER in their last 25 games vs. a right-handed starter, 11-5-1 UNDER in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 35-17-4 UNDER in their last 56 overall, 5-0 UNDER in Escobar's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 10-1-1 UNDER in Escobar's last 12 starts overall, 5-1 in Escobar's last 6 starts vs. American League West, 21-6 UNDER in Escobar's last 27 starts with 4 days of rest, 9-3-1 UNDER in Escobar's last 13 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150, Angels are 103-70 UNDER vs. a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse since 1997, Angels are 70-50 UNDER in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 3 seasons. SERIES: 27 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons, 16 of 20 games (at LAA) in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.
Selection: Oakland A's / LA Angels UNDER 8.5 (-115)
Gold Key
Over 9 Total Runs, Philadelphia at FLORIDA (MLB, 10:05 et)
