I may add a couple of plays throughout the day.
Phillies @ Mets
Play: Mets -124
Intrinsic Value: -157
Consider Betting Price: -144
Comment:
One of the streakiest teams in baseball the lat couple of years were the Phillies. Their propensity to be cyclical in nature forced them to be dead money fro prolonged periods of time. last year, they started the season slow out of the gates, playing well below their potential, and it looks like the same thing is happening once again this year, having one just one of their first six games. I am not sure if Maine can replicate last season, but if his first start was any indication, he has a chance to do such. His nice movement on all his pitches makes him really hard to hit, as opponents barely batted over .200 against him last year. The Phillies are loaded from the left side, giving them a good chance to wear down any right handed starter, but Maine has actually been really effective so far in his career against left handed hitters. This has allowed him to dominate the Phillies in the past, as he comes into today’s game with a 1.96 ERA against them. The Phillies have a potent lineup, but not terribly effective in manufacturing runs. Their style of hitting is not complimented by the Mets ballpark. The Mets still have a solid bullpen, giving them the advantage in the later innings.
Hammels is one of the more promising young southpaws in baseball. The disparity between his fastball and changeup can be overwhelming for hitters. He is really difficult to hit for left handed bats, which may give him a good chance to pitch a solid game against this left handed heavy lineup. However, this is a game in which I feel that the Mets will not have to score a lot of runs to win. There exist a few favorable variables as well. Hammels does not seem as comfortable pitching on the road, which is common for a lot of young pitchers. His pitches have also been known to be easier to pick up during the day, allowing hitters to better time him. It is no surprise that he comes into today’s game with a career 6.00 day game ERA, a far cry from his sub three night ERA. The Mets have seen him in the past, allowing them to know what to expect from this tough lefty. He lacks the ideal stamina to go deep into games, and the Mets lineup is designed to take a lot of pitches. He is backed by a suspect bullpen that has struggled against the Mets in the past. The Mets have the advantage in the later innings.
Phillies @ Mets
Play: Mets -124
Intrinsic Value: -157
Consider Betting Price: -144
Comment:
One of the streakiest teams in baseball the lat couple of years were the Phillies. Their propensity to be cyclical in nature forced them to be dead money fro prolonged periods of time. last year, they started the season slow out of the gates, playing well below their potential, and it looks like the same thing is happening once again this year, having one just one of their first six games. I am not sure if Maine can replicate last season, but if his first start was any indication, he has a chance to do such. His nice movement on all his pitches makes him really hard to hit, as opponents barely batted over .200 against him last year. The Phillies are loaded from the left side, giving them a good chance to wear down any right handed starter, but Maine has actually been really effective so far in his career against left handed hitters. This has allowed him to dominate the Phillies in the past, as he comes into today’s game with a 1.96 ERA against them. The Phillies have a potent lineup, but not terribly effective in manufacturing runs. Their style of hitting is not complimented by the Mets ballpark. The Mets still have a solid bullpen, giving them the advantage in the later innings.
Hammels is one of the more promising young southpaws in baseball. The disparity between his fastball and changeup can be overwhelming for hitters. He is really difficult to hit for left handed bats, which may give him a good chance to pitch a solid game against this left handed heavy lineup. However, this is a game in which I feel that the Mets will not have to score a lot of runs to win. There exist a few favorable variables as well. Hammels does not seem as comfortable pitching on the road, which is common for a lot of young pitchers. His pitches have also been known to be easier to pick up during the day, allowing hitters to better time him. It is no surprise that he comes into today’s game with a career 6.00 day game ERA, a far cry from his sub three night ERA. The Mets have seen him in the past, allowing them to know what to expect from this tough lefty. He lacks the ideal stamina to go deep into games, and the Mets lineup is designed to take a lot of pitches. He is backed by a suspect bullpen that has struggled against the Mets in the past. The Mets have the advantage in the later innings.
