playing philadelphia (+117)
the better pitcher is catching a near 6/5 return. ill take my chances. its probably a little early too start talking about a regression to the mean but its fairly applicable here; the phillies are certainly not as bad as theyve played so far and im not convinced the mets are going to be a buzzsaw in the national league either. the phillies are going to hit the ball at some point. and the mets pitching staff is going to get hit (and hard) at some point too. the fact that hamels doesnt walk a lot of hitters is a bonus as well. he isnt likely to unnecessarily load up the bases with metropolitans to make things more difficult on himself today. and it certainly doesnt hurt that the one time the mets saw him last year, he was dominant (9 strikeouts, 0 walks).
the better pitcher is catching a near 6/5 return. ill take my chances. its probably a little early too start talking about a regression to the mean but its fairly applicable here; the phillies are certainly not as bad as theyve played so far and im not convinced the mets are going to be a buzzsaw in the national league either. the phillies are going to hit the ball at some point. and the mets pitching staff is going to get hit (and hard) at some point too. the fact that hamels doesnt walk a lot of hitters is a bonus as well. he isnt likely to unnecessarily load up the bases with metropolitans to make things more difficult on himself today. and it certainly doesnt hurt that the one time the mets saw him last year, he was dominant (9 strikeouts, 0 walks).