Jake's Picks - MLB Tuesday April 10th

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Record: 19-28
Profit: -10.13

Dogs: 8-12 -.6
Favs: 4-7 -4.1
Unders: 3-7 -5.7
Overs: 4-4 +.27

Predicted AL Lines:

Boston -280, 9 Pk
Detroit -120, O10 -110
Cleveland -115, O9.5 -115
Toronto -140, 9.5 Pk
Texas Pk, O11 -115
Yankees -115, O9 -120
Oakland -120, U9 -112

Bets:

Boston Red Sox -1.5 +115
Pitchers: Beckett/Weaver

Beckett dominated in game one and Seattle isn't hitting close to their potential in their games so far this season. Weaver hasn't pitched well in years over the course of a season and Boston's lineup should be able to knock him out fairly early and get enough runs to win by 3 or 4. Gotta like the home team with the dominant pitcher.

Anaheim Angels +130
Angels/Indians Over 8.5 -120

Pitchers: Santana/Sabathia

I don't expect either pitcher to do that well since they are in a hitters' park and both teams can put up a ton of runs. Sabathia didn't look that impressive his first time and can definitely be out of this game early if he pitches similar to how he did against the White Sox. If both guys get hit, the Angels have a big edge in bullpen guys and at +130, Anaheim is too juicy not too play.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays +130
Tampa Bay/Texas Over 10.5 -115

Pitchers: Seo/Wright

The DRays are looking like they will have one of the better offenses in the league this year and they should kill Mr. Wright in Texas' hitters' park. Seo is kinda iffy but he pitched well in Texas a few years back. He'll give up some runs to a nice offense but I expect him to pitch better than Wright. If the Ray's pen blows it, which they like to do, then the over will be cash money. This seems like a situation where I either win both or go 1-1 and come out even. I like my chances.

Minnesota Twins +125
Pitchers: Bonser/Pettite

Andy Pettite did not have anything in his first start of the year and the Twins hit very well at home last year and should do so again in this one. Bonser has had a little bit of success against the Yankees and NYY has done most of their damage this year against lesser pitchers. Bonser will provide a little bit more of a challenge and there is value on the dog.

Oakland Athletics -105

Pitchers: Gaudin/Garland

Garland looked lost last year and he looked even worse in his start this year. I really think the guy is a below average pitcher right now and Oakland's offense should put up a few runs here and there. Gaudin looked great in his first start and his command seems to be on point which is good news for him. The White Sox aren't hitting that great to start the year and the home team at a pickem with the better starter on the mound is what I call value.
 

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Predicted NL Lines:

Florida -120, O9 -115
Pittsburgh -135, O9 -120
Atlanta -260, 9 Pk
Arizona -115, O10 -130
SF -115, 8 Pk
LAD -130, O9 -112

Bets:

Cardinals/Pirates Over 9 +105
Pitchers: Keisler/Gorzellany

Keisler is a retread who has never shown he can pitch effectively in the majors and although Gorzellany did well in his first start, the Cards hit lefties well and this slump they are in cannot last for long. I also do not think either bullpen is at full strength just yet which will only help.

Cincinnati Reds +120
Reds/Diamondbacks Over 9.5 -110

Pitchers: Lohse/Gonzalez

Gonzo gives up alot of HRs and is in a homer park. Cincy hits alot of homers. See where I'm going with this? Lohse is a can as well and both starters should get it. Over is comin in with a 50/50 shot at the dog.

SF Giants +115
Pitchers: Morris/Hensley

Hensley looked like crap against this Giant team last time out and it's obvious he's too proud to let the blister that has bugged him make him miss any time. Morris has a very nice history of pitching in SD and should put in the better performance. Tons of value.

Rockies/Dodgers Over 8 -115
Pitchers: Lopez/Tomko

Does anyone really think Lopez and Tomko are any good? Rodrigo had a freak outing in his first game. Other than that, it's been years since these guys have done anything and even in a pitchers' park, I have this one as an over.
 

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you might very well be on the right side as the BoSox are strong at home, but Beckett wasn't that dominant IMO in the first game against the lowly Royals. Threw almost 100 pitches in 5 innings, walked 4. Don't think he'll be able to get away with something like that against Seattle...

Weaver's typically been a good fade at times though. GL on the rest of the plays.

He used alot of pitches but the Royals hit really well at home and he limited them badly. Boston hits really well at home and Weaver doesn't exactly have a good history. I like it. Either way, best of luck on your plays tomorrow. Be wary about going against me though... hell, I have to hit some of these eventually. :drink:
 

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-1.95. Getting really tired of coming so close.
 

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keep them coming..you are doing great work and your write ups are one of my top sources for selecting picks.
You will turn it around this week.
 

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