Anti-Public Dogs +1.5 RL 11-3 YTD 78.6% Two Plays Today

spo-vegas · Apr 10, 2007

Ok I posted this yesterday

I have a strategy on big public favs....play the +1.5RL and you'll come out ahead over time....I've tracked for about 2 years and found it's around a 72% winning ratio....I track Carbisports and Wagerline, find the largest public play for the day (sometimes two) and play them on the RL...yesterday we had one of them (Rockies) who won Straight Up.

So far this year: Played team score first (assume to $100 per pay)
4/9 Rockies -165 (6-3) (+100)
4/8 Rockies -155 (1-2), Royals -145 (2-3) 2-0 (+200)
4/7 Baltimore -115 (7-10) Texas -165 (8-4) 1-1 (-15)
4/6 Rockies -150 (4-3) Royals -140 (3-1) 2-0 (+200)
4/5 Devil Rays +140 (7-6) Royals -110 (1-4) 1-1 (+30)
4/4 Pittsburg -115 (5-4) Royals -125 1-1(-25)
4/3 Pittsburg -115 (3-2) (+100) 1-0
4/2 Pittsburg -125 (4-2) Royals -110 (7-1) 2-0 (+200)

Week One = 10-3 record 77% = $690 Profit for a $100/game player.:thumbsup:
Week Two = 1-0 100% = $100 Profit

YTD Profit: $790 ($100/game player)

Today Seattle Mariners +1.5 RL -120 (Wagerline 81%, 94% Caribsports)
Washington Nationals +1.5 RL -110 (Wagerline 78%, 92% Caribsports)

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

love to see this kinda stuff please keep posting or tell me where you get your percentages and whats percentages you look for?

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

So far this year: Played team score first (assume to $100 per pay)

what does that mean you played team to score first also?

as far as carib goes what kinda bet percentages do you look for versus the number of bets cause i see cubs high also so wouldn't houston be a play?

mike0187 · Apr 10, 2007

no that means that when he listed the scores after the games, the team he played has their score listed first....so Rockies (6-3) means rockies won 6-3

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

mike0187 said:
no that means that when he listed the scores after the games, the team he played has their score listed first....so Rockies (6-3) means rockies won 6-3

Thanks just makin sure. :103631605

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

Looks Like The Numbers Are Balancing Out On The Atlanta Game At Carib Does That Change Things On The Play If It Does By Gametime?

spo-vegas · Apr 10, 2007

trains40 said:
Looks Like The Numbers Are Balancing Out On The Atlanta Game At Carib Does That Change Things On The Play If It Does By Gametime?

YES - I would pull The Nats off and play Seattle....So officially Seattle....as the day goes on the play may change....right now Baltimore +1.5 is looking better and better than the Nats...

Official Play
Seattle +1.5RL -120

2nd Play
Baltimore or Washington TBD...

DrChen · Apr 10, 2007

Seattle is not starting off well in the 1st inning...let's hope this game doesn't get out of hand already

pj.sports · Apr 10, 2007

oh well at least i got seattle rl for -109 :nohead:

DrChen · Apr 10, 2007

weaver sucks nuts....he had a chance to get out of it, but he completely blew it

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

Jeff Weaver Is A Piece Of Wasted Human Flesh Why The F*** Is He Still In Baseball. Doesnt Anyone Every Take Note Of His Past(mr. Gopher Ball). Or Is The League That Diluted With Pitching?

pj.sports · Apr 10, 2007

trains40 said:
Jeff Weaver Is A Piece Of Wasted Human Flesh Why The F*** Is He Still In Baseball. Doesnt Anyone Every Take Note Of His Past(mr. Gopher Ball). Or Is The League That Diluted With Pitching?

my thoughts exactly

sdf · Apr 10, 2007

trains40 said:
Jeff Weaver Is A Piece Of Wasted Human Flesh Why The F*** Is He Still In Baseball. Doesnt Anyone Every Take Note Of His Past(mr. Gopher Ball). Or Is The League That Diluted With Pitching?

because Dave Duncan (stl pitching coach) made him look better than he actually was....

props to Duncan..he's good

Bookie Buster · Apr 10, 2007

This looks very interesting.

I will be watching.

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

truely what percentages are good to look for at both?

Bookie Buster · Apr 10, 2007

Wagerline.com Consensus

<TABLE class=format id=_ctl0__ctl0_tblConsensus cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>Washington</TD><TD class=datacellc>456-1824</TD><TD class=datacellr>20.00%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Atlanta</TD><TD class=datacellc>1824-456</TD><TD class=datacellr>80.00%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Is Washington a play?

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

looks to be cause carib is in and around the same also. believe they both have to be similiar.

trains40 · Apr 10, 2007

looks like baltimore is a good play also

Bookie Buster · Apr 10, 2007

where do you find % at carib?

AJPantano · Apr 10, 2007

Bookie Buster said:
Wagerline.com Consensus

<table class="format" id="_ctl0__ctl0_tblConsensus" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="datacell">Washington</td><td class="datacellc">456-1824</td><td class="datacellr">20.00%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Atlanta</td><td class="datacellc">1824-456</td><td class="datacellr">80.00%</td></tr></tbody></table>

Is Washington a play?

I don't think you should base your plays from Wagerline. I say this because anyone can just go and click on who they like to win. A lot of ppl do this for fun and stuff. Those numbers are not accurate is what I mean. 80% of the bets WILL NOT be on the Braves for REAL money. Wagerline uses like PLAY money for their consensus.