Bookie Buster Service Plays, SDS Spreadsheet

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
Below is the link to the most recently updated bases service play spreadsheet. But first a few notes and thoughts I would like to share:
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Status Report

<o:p></o:p>
So far it has been really difficult to find a service worth tailing. None of them have been able to separate themselves from the rest of the pack. Some of them (see the last half of the spreadsheet) are absolutely awful. And others faltered after getting off to decent starts.
<o:p></o:p>
Another problem is that it has been difficult to get plays from all the services on a consistent basis. Some days plays are available from a certain services, then on other days plays are not there. A few services started off really, really well, but I have not seen a play from them since.

Please take a look at the spreadsheet and take note of the top ten or fifteen services. If by chance you have access to their plays, please feel free to contribute. I’d love to obtain plays on a consistent basis from the top services that are doing the best on the spreadsheet.
<o:p></o:p>
Top Services
<o:p></o:p>
Although it is still early, a few services are beginning to emerge. ATS Financial and Sebastian have my full attention. I pick them not only for their winning percentages, but because they have both accumulated more than a dozen tracked plays on the spreadsheet (13 plays and 15 plays respectively). This puts them ahead of services with 100% winning percentages like Power Play and Wunderdog. Why? Power Play and Wunderdog only have a total of 4 and 3 tracked plays (respectively). If these two services go 0~1, 0~2 or 0~3 on their next few plays, their winning percentage would fall dramatically. I will be watching their upcoming plays closely.
<o:p></o:p>
Here are the Top Five services from the First Group on the spreadsheet based on winning percentage and number of plays.
<o:p></o:p>
Power Play…....4~0…..100%<o:p></o:p>
Wunderdog…....3~0…..100%<o:p></o:p>
ATS Financial…10~3…..77%<o:p></o:p>
Sebastian….....10~5…..67%<o:p></o:p>
NSA……............6~3…..67%<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
All five services were inactive yesterday with the exception of ATS, who went 1~0 and keepings plugging along at a 77% clip. Impressive.
<o:p></o:p>
Here are the Top Five services from the Second Group on the spreadsheet:
<o:p></o:p>
Tony Onio…..3~1….75%<o:p></o:p>
Bob Balfe...…3~1….75%<o:p></o:p>
Stu Finer...…6~3….67%<o:p></o:p>
M. Cannon….13~8….62%<o:p></o:p>
SG Hotline…..3~2….60%<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
I am sure some of you may ask, why is Tony Onio or Bob Balfe (with 75% winning percentages) not in the first group? It is because they only have a total of 4 tracked plays so far and a single loss puts them at 60%, and two losses would put them at 50%. Not enough tracked plays to deem their percentage as consistent or trustworthy yet.

On a side note, more than one tracked losing day out of four tracked days will also get you temporarily demoted to the Second Group. That is why Stu Finer and M. Cannon are in the Second Group. Examine the spreadsheet and you will see that that Finer has had two tracked losing days out of three and Cannon has had two tracked losing days out of four.
<o:p></o:p>
The Worst Services

<o:p></o:p>
It is still a bit soon, but I will be permanently deleting all services with low winning percentages from the spreadsheet. My criteria will change as the season progresses. The first cut will come in a week or two and I will be eliminating anyone with less than a 40% winning percentage. I may even eliminate some services that we have been unable to obtain their plays. If after a month of baseball we only have 2 or 3 plays total from a given service, it no longer makes sense to track them. Later in the season I will be making cuts and the bar will be raised to 50% and later raised yet again. The goal here is to narrow this list of services on the spreadsheet down to the best of the best. I just don't want to rush things here at the start due the low number tracked plays we've had the opportunity to track so far.
<o:p></o:p>
Here are the worst of the worst so far:
<o:p></o:p>
Tom Freese….....1~2…..33%<o:p></o:p>
ASA...............…2~4…..33%<o:p></o:p>
Doc Sports......…4~8…..33%<o:p></o:p>
Trev Rogers.....…5~11…..31%<o:p></o:p>
Larry Ness….......2~6…..25%<o:p></o:p>
Cappers Access…2~8…..20%<o:p></o:p>
2 Min Warning....0~1….0%<o:p></o:p>
Insider Group...…0~1…..0%
B. Maxwell….......0~4…..0%
<o:p></o:p>
Of course, as with the top services, things could change overnight in regard to winning percentage when you are dealing with a service that has a lower number of tracked plays. A service that is 0~1 can be 2~1 in a heartbeat. But guys like Trev Rogers and Larry Ness are looking like chopping block material for sure.
<o:p></o:p>
Here is the link for the most recently updated spreadsheet:

 
Last edited:

Member
Joined
Nov 15, 2006
Messages
12,176
Tokens
How Do The Get The Selections Of The Top Services? Bookie Buster Used To Post Them In The College Basketball Forum
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
How Do The Get The Selections Of The Top Services? Bookie Buster Used To Post Them In The College Basketball Forum

Bookie posts them in the NBA forum now. I offered to track the bases portion of the service plays. He agreed to let me re-post the plays here in the bases forum. After the NBA season is over, Bookie said he will then begin posting the service plays here. At that point I will merely chime in with spreadsheet updates and a few notes.
 
Last edited:

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
I will post BB's service plays (the bases portion) from the NBA forum as soon as I see them. He usually posts in the afternoon. In between working, I make a point to check back regularily and will re-post the plays ASAP.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
Service Plays 4/10 (from Bookie Buster – thanks BB!)

Paul Leiner

5 Star: Over 9.5 Bos/Sea

Accu Picks

4* St Louis (keisler +120) 7:05
3* Detroit (robertson -130) 7:05
3* Florida (vanden hurk -115) 7:05

Norm Hitzges

Pittsburgh -135 vs St. Louis
Atlanta -245 vs Washington
Arizona/Cincy Under 9.5
Cleveland -145 vs LAAofA
Toronto -150 vs Kansas City
Oakland +105 vs Chicago White Sox
Oakland/Chicago Under 9

Stu Feiner

500 Dime MLB No Brainer: Cincinnati Reds
200 Dime MLB No Brainer: Toronto Blue Jays

The Wunderdog

Game: Seattle at Boston (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -1.5 +115

Everyone is wondering about the Red Sox bats, as they have produced just 19 runs in six games. The Sox have always been tailored for Fenway Park, and their numbers on the road early, are not a surprise. The last six times the Sox opened on the road, they produced very similar numbers. There are 6 years and 28 road games that produced just 108 runs or 3.86 per game, and some high-octane offenses within the mix. What happened to these struggling offenses when they hit Fenway for the home opener? They scored 51 runs over 6 games, or 8.5 runs per game! Beckett was back being Beckett in the opener allowing just 1 run on 2 hits. Jeff Weaver will get the nod for the Mariners. He hasn't pitched since March, as the Mariners were snowed out all four games in Cleveland. Last year he pitched to a 5.68 ERA in the NL, allowing 34 HR's in just 170+ innings. The strikeout numbers are down and the HR's are up and that is not conducive to winning at hitter-friendly Fenway. His spring gave no !
indication of a turnaround as he was 5.68 ERA and a .303 AVG against him. His last AL stint saw him post a 6 ERA. Seattle has been sitting around for four days and at this early stage when hitters’ timing is still a work in progress that layoff can't help.

Jim Feist

Comp Pick: SF Giants

San Diego starter Clay Hensley is a bit too liberal with free passes, walking 76 in 187 innings last season. That's a poor 76-to-122 BB/K ratio. He continued that in the opener against these same Giants, walking 3 in less than 5 innings of a loss. Hensley allowed 10 base runners in 4.2 innings. Giants starter Matt Morris is a veteran who doesn't walk anyone, and he went 6 strong innings (1 run) in that game. You also need speed in a big park like San Diego and the Giants have it atop the order with Dave Roberts and Omar Vizquel. Play the Giants!

Larry Ness

GOW: Detroit Tigers

Professor Wins

2* Houston
2* Seattle
2* Arizona
2* San Diego

Michael Cannon

30 Dime: Brewers
10 Dime: Yankees
5 Dime: Blue Jays

Brandon Lang

15 Dime: Tigers - Please Specify Pitchers - Roberstons vs Wright
10 Dime: Braves -1 1/2 runs
5 Dime: Blue Jays

Big Al

Take Arizona Diamondbacks

How confusing is it that Arizona has potentially 2 starters on the team who go by the name of E. Gonzalez? If you have a fantasy team and want to pick up the good one as a free agent, make sure it's Edgar Gonzalez and not Enrique. Fortunately, right before the start of the season, the D-Backs optioned Enrique Gonzalez to the minors, so until he is brought up, you shouldn't have a problem keeping these two straight. Their names might be almost the same, but the gap in their skill levels appears to be widening, as Edgar Gonzalez -- tonight's starter against the Reds -- is showing signs of being a major player in the rotation. He has locked down the 4th starting spot, and at only 24 years old, appears to perhaps have a bright future as a major league hurler. Arizona is off to the type of start that the Reds had last year, although it is probably too early to dub them the surprise team of the season yet. But with a young and talented roster that so far has not included a seemingly healthier-by-the-day Randy Johnson (who is rehabbing to rave reviews right now), the D-Backs may be a force this season in the NL West, if not the NL itself. Despite also getting off to a pretty good start (thanks in large part to the bat of Adam Dunn), the Reds are a bit of a mess right now with a total of 9 players either day-to-day or on the DL with injuries, especially their bullpen which has been decimated. Arizona has owned the Reds lately, especially at home where they are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. Take the D-Backs.

Ben Eckstein

Boston Red Sox

Marc Lawrence

Game: New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Apr 10 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: Minnesota w/Bonser over NY Yankees w/Pettite:
Twins return home to host the Pinstripes knowing Andy Pettite has dropped 10 of his last 14 team starts during the opening month of April. With Biff Bonser off a solid spring camp and a good outing in his first start this season, we'll back Minnesota at home in the dome here tonight.

I will post more if and when Bookie Buster posts more in the NBA forum.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
David Molinsky 4* (unconfirmed)

Cleveland Indians

Cappers Access

MLB Cubs
MLB W. Sox

Hondo

Detroit Tigers
(Hondo lists their record as 9-1 in MLB)

Comps (Bonus Plays)

NSA MLB - Cleveland over 8.5
VegasSI.com MLB - San Diego -125
Tony Campone MLB - San Diego under 8
Vincent Pioli MLB - Arizona over 9.5
Gerry "Big Cat" Andino MLB - Texas over 10.5
Chicago Sports Group MLB - Kansas City +130

Gamblers Choice

2- Det -20
2- Oak +05
(Gamblers Choice listed their record as 17-7 + 17.55)

Michael Cannon's Money Train

30 Dimes: Brewers (With Vargas and Vanden Hurk as listed pitchers)
10 Dimes: Yankees (With Pettitte and Bonser as listed pitchers)
5 Dimes: Blue Jays (With Towers as listed pitcher)

Rob Ferringo

1 unit Seattle

Steve Merrill

MLB Seattle vs. Boston
Pick: Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox offense has started slowly this season, but they should receive a spark in their home opener today, especially against Jeff Weaver who was very inconsistent last season. Seattle is in a tough scheduling spot as they have not played for five full days and might be a bit flat after four straight games were postponed due to snow in Cleveland. The Mariners are also likely to struggle against Josh Beckett who allowed just one run and two hits in an easy 7-1 win last week. Beckett was also strong in spring training this season with a solid 3.04 ERA and 1.099 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched) and a powerful 24-4 strikeout/walk ratio

Brian James

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB)
Play: Money Line: -146 Chicago Cubs

Tuesday Comps

Sebastian - OVER Red Sox
Computer Boys - Texas

C's. Corner

SF/SD Under 8
CWS -115

Gator Report for Tuesday (confirmed- paid)

MLB: (Tuesday) Play Against MLB home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 in a game involving teams with a win percentage of 38% to 46% during the month of April.
(37-13 since 1997.) (74%) PLAY: Chicago White Sox -118

The Godfather of Vegas

1 unit RL Braves -1.5 -110 (Hudson/Chico)
1 unit Giants +120 (Morris/Hensly)
1 unit Angels +125 (Santana/Sabathia)
1 unit Tigers -125 (Bonderman/Wright)
(The Godfather reports his record as 4-4)

Gold Key Games

Silver Key (Bonus Play): OVER 8.5 Runs Angels/Cleveland
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
More Service Plays from BB's NBA Forum Thread

More Service Plays from BB:

Rob Veno (freebie)

Recommendation: Pittsburgh Pirates
Backing the Pirates young, talented left handed starter Tom Gorzelanny and the rested bullpen here against St. Louis's patchwork pitching approach in this one. Cards reliever RandyKeisler will start the piece meal pitching effort tonight and Pittsburgh's lineup is likely to get to them just enough at some point. Pittsburgh has preferred to face lefties early on hitting a lofty .297 as a team against them. The funk that the St. Louis offense is in (.223 batting average and .287 on base percentage) won't help them here either. Their lineup has shown vulnerability to lefties as indicated by the mere 4 runs and 11 base runners they've produced against southpaw starters thus far. Cards have been tough on Pitt in recent times but this host has defended their home turf pretty well the past couple of years. Bucs strong pitching capitalizes on the current St. Louis offensive deficiencies in this one en-route to their fifth victory.

FPBE Free Picks

Marc Lawrence - MIN +123 (MLB)
Matty O'Shea - LAA +125 MLB

Trev Rogers

Astros vs. Cubs OVER
Cardinals +120

(Note: In addition, NBA, Horses and NHL service plays usually can be found in BB's daily NBA forum thread.)
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
More from BB:

Service Plays from BB - Adding:

TOTALS 4 U

Best Bets:
LA Angels Over 8.5
White Sox Over 9

Russel Davis

Florida Marlins
WAS/ATL Under 8.5
Arizona D-Backs
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
From BB:

BB keeps the service plays rolling in:

Russ Culver

Mariners +180
Indians -135
Orioles +125
Devil rays +126
Twins +126

Billy Coleman

3* Tigers w/Robertson
3* St Louis
3* San Fran w/Morris

Rocketman (Premium Member Pick)

MLB - San Francisco @ San Diego 10:05 PM ET
Play On: 2* San Diego -125 (Morris/Hensley) Listed
San Francisco is 1-6 in all games this year. San Francisco is 1-5 this year after a loss. San Francisco is 1-6 in April this year, 1-6 against division opponents this year and 1-6 in games played on grass this year. San Francisco is 1-5 this year against right handed starters. San Francisco is scoring only 2 rpg overall this year, 0 rpg on the road and only 1.7 rpg against Right Handed Starters. The San Diego bullpen has an ERA of 0.00 in all games this year. Giants are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Giants are 5-21 in their last 26 games on Grass. Giants are 5-21 in their last 26 overall. Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. National League West. Giants are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Giants are 3-15 in their last 18 games following a loss. Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 road games. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 3-7 in Morris' last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. Giants are 2-5 in Morris' last 7 starts as a road underdog. Giants are 2-7 in Morris' last 9 road starts. Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Padres are 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West. Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Padres are 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Padres are 17-5 in their last 22 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Padres are 13-4 in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 Tuesday games. Padres are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 2 of a series. Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games on Grass. Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 overall. Padres are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 5-1 in Hensley's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 5-1 in Hensley's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Padres are 4-1 in Hensley's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Padres are 6-2 in Hensley's last 8 home starts. Padres are 5-2 in Hensley's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Padres are 5-2 in Hensley's last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. We'll play San Diego tonight for 2 units! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Doc Sports

2* Fla.
3* L.A. Dodgers
2* Kansas City
2* Texas

Strike Point Sports

3* Atlanta ( -1.5 Run Line )
2* NYY
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
More From BB:

BB Strikes Again:

Stallion Sports

5* Florida -115 (vargas vs vandenhurk )
5* Kansas City +135 (greinke vs towers)
5* Arizona -125 (lohse vs gonzales)

BR

Apr 10: MLB: NY Yankees - Minnesota
Pitchers: List Pettite & Bonser
Pick: Minnesota win Odd: 2.27
Risk: 7 units

Apr 10: MLB Alternate Runline: Texas - Tampa Bay
Pitchers: Seo & Wright
Pick: Alternate Runline: Tampa Bay -1.5 Odd: 2.92
Risk: 6 units
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
From BB:

From BB:

3GSPORTS

5 Pitt
5 NYY
4 Brew Crew

DREW GORDON's 500,000

Tonight’s play is on the Detroit Tigers (confirmed)
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
Service Play From Schouest

Schouest contributed this service play over in BB’s NBA forum thread. And Schouest granted permission to add it to our list over here:

KIKI SPORTS- MLB (straight from the horse's mouth)
18-8 +15.15 units on the year

1 unit Atlanta Braves -1.5 runs -1.20
1 unit San Diego -1.25
1 unit Toronto -1.45

Thank you Schouest!
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
From BB:

Stan Sharp - Double Dime Play

978 OAK (+100) vs 977 CWS
Analysis: Today 2 of Stan's TOP 3 BASEBALL BETTORS have made a BIG WAGER on OAKLAND. Stan's contacts all agree that OAKLAND will bounce back tonight in Game 2 of their series with Chicago. TAKE OAKLAND as STAN'S AMERICAN LEAGUE BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Note: Stan is 33-21 ATS with his last 54 Plays
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
From BB:

Frank Rosenthal

954 Marlins-120
959 Reds+115
964 Dodgers-130
967 Angels-130
978 A's-105
 

New member
Joined
Apr 7, 2007
Messages
93
Tokens
Ok newb question, all these names your posting - with their picks. Who are they and where are you getting them from?

THanks:icon_conf
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
Valid question if you missed some of the very first threads. Bookie Buster (BB) has been posting service plays (plays that touts sell) over in the NBA forum. Those service plays include NBA, MLB, NHL and Horse racing plays. With BB’s permission, I have been reposting the baseball related service plays here daily.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
I have been tracking the service plays and charting them on an Excel spreadsheet, for which there is a link at the beginning of this thread. The spreadsheet includes daily records, season records and winning percentages. It gets updated every 24 hours.
<o:p></o:p>
Others have contributed as well. TheRookie and Schouest come immediately to mind. Everyone is encouraged to contribute if they happen across (or even pay for) any service plays that have not been obtained or provided.
<o:p></o:p>
Read my very first posting on this thread for my notes and thoughts about the most up to date spreadsheet and my plans on using it into the future.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,145
Messages
13,433,435
Members
99,283
Latest member
reviewscasinoonline
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com