can i take advantage of my local ?

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another slight edge i believe i may have with this new local....it goes like This ...He Sets a line out at noon for the late Nba games n sometimes doesn't even change 'em...for instance ..total of the seat/ port was 188 n a half noon time .....now he's gonna leave it there till he comes back at 630 and might not even Change it ...the thing is this...He gives Me permission to place a bet thruout the Course of the day . Right now That seat/ port total is up to 193 n climbing ........Now again , is there value at all whatsoever if i take the OVER 190 before 6 :30 when the actual line is almost 3 points higher n climbing ? if i tried this Thruout the year will I be ahead ? Of course like the other post I ran about This local's totals, U still have to Come out on the Right side....but my god...There has to be Value in this wouldn't ya think ??// responses n thoughts please !
 

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Please tell me that you're kidding with this question as to whether there's value. If you're not, betting on sports probably isn't for you.
 

Rx God
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limit bet on over, take back the under at Matchbook for any portion that is over a unit or two for you.

If he takes $500, but you typically bet $100, then :

$500 on over
$400 on under
 

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Please tell me that you're kidding with this question as to whether there's value. If you're not, betting on sports probably isn't for you.


of course i know there's value labeed....i guess what 'm really askin is CAn I Make Steady money without middling ?:money8:
 

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a line 3 points off will hit at greater than the 52.38% needed to profit, so yes it will win over time. That probably hits over 58%, easily well over 55%.
 

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You can make steady money 1 point off.... It would be close on totals, but stil ok

You'll make your most money if the guy deals halves or quarters.

Sean
 

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example...

Earlier Today....Atl vs. Flor cameout at 9 ....Now i called him at 6 :30 n he says Everythings the same xcept For a few basketball ....Well, what do u know ....Bodog has 9 ov -140 and the greek even has 9 n a half Over-130 ...Shit!!! :drink: ...so i laid 3$ on da over 9 with my lazy local .....Now It doesn't mean i'll win today , but these value bets have To weigh in my favor ...of couurse the right side still has to hit....right now they R in a Delay for sum reason...we'll c what happens fellas...ur thoughts please !
 

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atl rained out

we'll c tomorrow...but interesting....i played over 9 on yanks game flat with him although greek had 9 n a half ....i guess it doesn't always work
 

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My 2 locals put out FB lines on Friday evening and very seldom move them, I middle sometimes with the offshore acct. but haven't ever made much doing it, you have to hit 1 of 20 in the middle to pay off. These guys clean up on 80% of their clientel every yr. Go figure. Toto
 

Rx God
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Football is way different, you need to really know your values of the points, a one point middle can be great value, a 2-point middle can suck.

Points are much more equal in hoops.
 

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fck middling ..i'm talkin value 4 the line !

today my local put out 9 as the total for the clev/whitesox game .....greek had 8n a half under -140 n bodog had 8n a half under -125 ....so i took the under 9 flat from my local for a nickel....i should make out should i not ? the only problem i c is bsaseball is early in the year n these linesmakers might not be as sharp ...........if i lose, i may stick to the totals of the nba movements...if my local don't move it , sometimes there is a 3 pt swing ...now, i'm guessin they r a lot sharper with nba right now than baseball...we'll c how i make out...any opinions welcome !
 

Rx God
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No reason to stop betting it if you lose this one game. You get something for -110, that should be about -150.

You could do a First Bonus Bet of under 9 -110, and over 8.5 +110 ( approx), hope it lands on 9.

These lines are a gift, take them.
 

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