More Service Plays from BB:
More Service Plays from Bookie Buster:
Stan Sharp
Double Dime Play: Arizona
Analysis: Today all 3 of Stan's TOP BASEBALL BETTORS have made a BIG WAGER on the ARIZONA. Stan's contacts all agree that today's Pitching Match up is a mismatch. Stan cashed with Arizona yesterday and will do so again today. Arizona will take the rubber game of the series with a BIG Home Win. TAKE ARIZONA as STAN'S BASEBALL BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY. Note Stan is 37-22 ATS with his last 59 Plays and 4-0 in Baseball this week!!
Big Al (shoots for his 7th Straight MLB Winner)
At 1:35 pm our selection is on the Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles 'under' the total. The Orioles spent a lot of money during the offseason on middle relief pitching, many names which, unless you follow the O's or have a fantasy team, you may not know. It seemed that for most of 2006, Baltimore's only reliable arm coming out of the bullpen was closer Chris Ray, but of course the rest of its relief pitching blew so many leads that the O's didn't get to use Ray that often. So far, the off-season strategy has worked for Baltimore as its relief ERA for 2007 is 3.72, which is about half of what it was last year. And keep in mind that a good chunk of that 3.72 is the walk off grand slam given up by Ray at the hands of the Yankees and Alex Rodriguez. Neither of these teams has produced much offense and even though the O's managed 8 runs the other night, that was in large part due to another grand salami, and until Markakis hit that one, the game had been a low scoring snoozer, which has been somewhat the norm this year for them. Zach Greinke may be one of the best young pitchers that nobody's talking about and he has two very good starts to prove it. In his first start, he was brilliant in defeat against the Red Sox, but nobody noticed that one at all because it happened to be Dice-K's Major League debut. These two teams have a combined batting average of around .232. Take the 'under'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other 2 super winners today on National TV in the NBA and Baseball
ATS Financial
3 units on the Kansas City Royals (-110) over the Baltimore Orioles, 1:30
3 units on the Texas Rangers (-110) over the Seattle Mariners, 4:00
Bob Balfe
Dodgers +110 over Padres (Wolf/Young)
Dr. Ringo
3* Arizona
2* Detroit
1* Milwaukee
Randall the Handle (RTH)
Detroit –1.07 over Toronto
It’s Josh Towers time again for the Blue Jays and what that means is they have nobody else to take his spot in the rotation otherwise that person would be penciled in here. Towers opened the year right where he left off last season, that being with another loss and another ineffective start. What’s even more troublesome is that he was blasted by the Royals (10 hits and six runs in 5.1 innings); a squad that’s scored a total of 36 runs in 12 games, by far the league’s worst run production. Now Towers is being asked to face the potent line-up of the Tigers after getting smoked in his first start and coming off a year in which he went 2-10 with an 8.42 ERA. His confidence is shattered and the truth of the matter is he’s had one good year out of seven in the majors and that came in 2005. Josh Towers is batting practice and the Tigers will tee off against him just like every other team has done against Towers over the past seven seasons. Incidentally, the Tigers have won six of nine on the road and Nate Robertson is only 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA. This is a cheap lay on a complete pitching mismatch. Play: Detroit –1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
Kansas City –1.01 over Baltimore
A couple of things worth noting here with the first one being that like most Sunday’s this is a day game after a night game and the Orioles will have a few second-stringers in the line-up today. Some will argue that the same can be said for the Royals but that’s not true because K.C. has lost the first three games of this series and thus, the Orioles can afford to rest a few bodies. Secondly, Zack Greinke will go for the Royals and what you’re going to get from Grienke is a typical strong start in which he’ll throw strikes, keep the hitters off balance all game and he’ll do it almost effortlessly. Zack Greinke is one of baseball’s best-kept secrets. For the Orioles it’ll be Jeremy Guthrie making his second major league start ever after making one start last season in nine appearances in a Tribe’s uniform. Guthrie has never been able to stay up in the big leagues, as he’s been up and down for the better part of the last three years. His biggest problem is his control, or lack thereof, as he’s walked 24 batters in 42 frames. In his one start he walked six batters in 5.2 innings. Guthrie is getting this start not because he earned it but because Jaret Wright went on the DL and the O’s needed a fill-in. Play: Kansas City –1.01 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).
Minnesota –1½ +1.25 over Tampa Bay
Boof Bonser can pitch and while his numbers don’t look great we can’t put too much weight on it because the Yankees torched him in his second start of the year. In Bonser’s first start he was brilliant against the Orioles and that’s the Boof Bonser we fully expect to see here. However, that’s not what this choice is all about. You see, Jae Seo will start for the Devil Rays and Sao has one foot in the gutter, meaning his major league days are numbered. He came into camp out of shape and for a guy that’s never been that effective to begin with that spells disaster. In two starts covering just 9.1 innings, Sao has surrendered 19 hits, three jacks, 15 runs and a 9.42 ERA after the opposition hit .422 off him. The Twins hung a 12 on the Devil Rays yesterday and a similar result is very likely today. Play: Minnesota –1½ +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
GridIron (FREE Picks)
Take Detroit (Robertson) -110 at Toronto (Towers)
Take Kansas City (Greinke) -110 at Baltimore (Guthrie)
Take San Diego (Young) -115 at LA Dodgers (Wolf)
Beating the Book
Take Kansas City -105 @ Baltimore
The Fishman
5 unit Det
4 unit Arz
3 unit under 8 LA/SD
Charlie
Oakland-110 (10*)
Detroit-110 (10*) Bonus Play
(Note from sds23: Charlie’s Bonus Plays have been SMOKING HOT! I know this game already started...but keep an eye on Charlie's Bonus Plays.)
Accupicks
3* Toronto
3* Texas
Fixerwins
2* NYY
2* San Diego
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 15 2007 4:40PM
Prediction: over
Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play OVER Colorado/Arizona - AiS shows an 85% probability that there will be 10 or more runs scored in this game and a 58% probability that one of these teams may score the posted total of 9 on their own merit. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 54-25 OVER since 1997. Play over with all teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 marginal losing team from last season (46% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record, after a loss. ARIZONA is 95-63 OVER (+25.3 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game since 1997. ARIZONA is 44-28 OVER (+13.3 Units) after 2 straight games without a stolen base over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 70-42 OVER (+23.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1997. LOPEZ is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.432. Arizona has batted 282 with an OPS of 766 against Lopez in their respective careers. Doug Davis has allowed a BA of 302 and OPS of 826 against the current members of the Rockies in their respective careers.
Russ Culver
Sides
Marlins +160
Giants Game #2 -137
Rockies +142
Devil Rays +160
A's -112
Totals
SF-Pittsburgh Game #1 UNDER 8 -115 (Zito-Snell
Curry Bagwell
San Diego -115
6'10" Padre RH Young is going to look pretty intimidating pitching in the twilight shadows with the 5:00 start in L.A. Padre line up appears to be the type of line up that sprays the ball all around the park and that is not the type of line up that Dodger lefty Wolf will be successful against.
Milwaukee -110
Cardinals have scored over 3 runs only twice this year. Their 4-5 hitters are not hitting and can't catch up with the type of stuff Brewer RH Sheets has. Pujols is paying the price for this. Brewers match up well with Cards RH Looper.
Oakland -110
A's RH Harden is capable of pitching a shutout anytime. He is the dominant starter over Yankee's LH Petitte. Both bullpens are worn thin after two consecutive extra inning games. A's not only have the better pen, but also the deeper pen. Yankee closer Rivera status questionable.
Vegassi Consensus Plays
10* MLB Dodgers +105
10* MLB Florida under 8.5
10* MLB Oakland -110
SUNDAY PICKS
SUNDAY PICKS (CAMPONE)
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* MLB Seattle under 9
WISEGUY ACTION: MLB Texas under 9
SUNDAY PICKS (CALLAHAN)
15* MLB Colorado +140
15* MLB San Diego -110
15* MLB Seattle under 9
SUNDAY PICKS (SOUTH BEACH)
ZEBRA CLUB: 20* MLB Seattle -105
BIG ACTION: MLB Twins over 10
HILTON: MLB Pittsburgh under 8
SUNDAY PICKS (HOLLYWOOD)
INSIDE ACTION: 20* MLB Twins under 10
WISEGUY EDGE: MLB Pittsburgh under 8
SUNDAY PICKS (MICHIGAN)
BIG HOUSE: 20* MLB Baltimore over 9
LOCKERROOM: 10* MLB Reds +150
LOCKERROOM: 10* MLB Cleveland over 8.5
SUNDAY PICKS (NEW YORK)
DATA: MLB Twins under 10
SUNDAY PICKS (PIOLI)
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* MLB Cubs under 7
LINE VALUE: 5* MLB St Louis under 8.5
SATURDAY PICKS (VIP ACTION)
VIP CLUB: 20* MLB St Louis under 8.5