Jake's "Bankroll Busting" Plays - MLB Monday April 16th

Record: 34-48
Profit: -14.86

Predicted Lines:

Boston -190, O9 -112
Atlanta -140, U9 -115
Philly -110, 9.5 Pk
Detroit -190, U8 -115

Bets:

Washington Nationals +1.5 +105
Pitchers: James/Chico

Washington can't hit anyone lately but they've hit better at home than on the road and this is the second time they've seen James' stuff this season, which should help their offense. The Braves put up some runs on Chico last time out but what really did him in was errors. If you look back, he only gave up 1 earned run and there were alot of times the Nats could have gotten him out of the inning and failed too. At home, in a better pitchers' park, I expect him to have a better outing. Not sure if the Nats have enough to win this outright but it should be close and at +105, I'll take a shot.

Predicted Lines:

Cincy Pk, O9 -125
Tampa -110, 9.5 Pk
Florida -115, O10 -110

Bets:

Tampa Bay/Baltimore Under 10 -105
Pitchers: Shields/Loewen

Kind of an iffy bet but it's worth it. Shields has pitched well this year and Baltimore hasn't hit well on the road this year. Loewen has pitched very well against two good offenses and although I expect him to give up some runs to a hot Tampa team, he shouldn't get rocked and could put in a good outing if the DRays are confused like the first two teams he's faced have been. Tampa's bullpen scares me but I see both starters putting in solid outings and at 10 in a pitchers' park, I'm on it.

Florida Marlins +100
Florida/Houston Over 9 -120
Pitchers: Sanchez/Rodriguez

Florida has just beat up every single lefty they've seen this year and Wandy has a long way to go before he becomes a quality pitcher. Sanchez has been letting way too many guys get on base and if Houston hits like they have the last four days, some of those baserunners are going to get to home. I think Florida has the better chance for offense although both teams should get runs on.

BOL with your picks.I really like the fish tomorrow.

IBETHUGE said:

BOL with your picks.I really like the fish tomorrow.

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Thanks bud. I appreciate all the support I can get at this point. Good luck tomorrow and go Florida!

Predicted Lines:

St Louis -130, U9 -110
Colorado -160, 9 Pk
LAD -120, U9.5 -122

Bets:

St Louis/Pittsburgh Over 8 +100
Pitchers: Reyes/Snell

Reyes has an iffy history and can go from dominate to crap in no time flat. He was only average his first time out and Pittsburgh should get some runs here and there. He won't get hammered but he should give up a few. St Louis finally showed glimpses of the offense they are capable of in the last few days and Snell, as great as he's pitched so far, had two horrible starts in Pitt last year where he was hit pretty hard. At even money and an 8, it's once again worth a bet.

Colorado Rockies -133
2 Unit Play
Pitchers: Francis/Zito

Barry Zito has not looked good this year and doesn't seem to be in top form just yet. Last year, he had a decent outing at Coors despite letting a million guys reach base and this year, with an improved Rockie offense, I don't think he's going to be so lucky if he pitches so sloppy. Francis has dominated this SF club numerous times in the past two years and has always pitched very well in Coors; one of the only guys to do so. The Rockies kill lefties whereas the Giants only hit them averagely. I like this line alot.

BOL..i like the marlins play and STL over

chriscol said:

BOL..i like the marlins play and STL over

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Thanks bud. Unfortunately, it's looking like another disastrous night for me. Florida is in it but that Colorado play is getting hammered. Francis, after years of dominating this SF squad and dominating so far this year, has a horrible outing. Zito, who can't pitch against anyone and has issues with Colorado is now dominating them. Colorado, who hits like .400 against lefties, can't touch him. There's no way to explain that really...

Well Florida screws themselves in the bottom of the ninth by running into eachother on a play that lead to the game winning hit. What a cap on the day.

-5.86

Record: 35-53
Profit: -20.72