5-2 on today with Florida (1 unit) and LA (1.5 units) remaining. Florida needs some help in the bottom of the 9th, but LA is looking pretty good. I believe I'm up about 1.67 not counting those last two games.
Wanted to get an early game posted as well as some leans. I'd love to get some feedback on the leans. BOL to everyone.
Boston -145: I think part of the reason we're getting this line, even though Dice-K is hyped beyond belief, is because some people out there are going to look at Chacin's 5-0 career record against the Sox and think he owns them. The exact opposite is the truth. Chacin is indeed 5-0 against the Red Sox, but that record goes along with a 4.29 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, and 11 Ks againts 15 BBs. To top it off, Boston is batting .292 against Chacin (Ortiz is 5-for-16 with 2 HRs against Chacin).
The only reason for Chacin's record is the 9.59 runs per game he's received in his 7 starts against the Sox. I feel confident that's not going to be the case tomorrow. I think being away from the pressure of Boston is going to be great for Dice K. Fenway was a madhouse in his last start. Now he'll be taking the hill in the far away confines of the Skydome. I think the Sox are a steal at this price. Yes . . . 2 days in a row on the Sox. But this won't become a habit. I just know this team better than any other team and feel like I can pick and choose some great spots. This is one of them. 1.45 units to win 1.
Pittsburgh +150: 1 unit to win 1.5 (official play - will do writeup tomorrow)
Cleveland +127: 1 unit to win 1.27 (lean)
Arizona -116: 1.16 units to win 1 (lean)
LA Angels +100: 1 unit to win 1 (lean, but I think I can get a better number if/when Vlad is officially out)
Milwaukee +116: 1 unit to win 1.16 (lean)
Chicago (AL) -138: 1.38 units to win 1 (lean)
Wanted to get an early game posted as well as some leans. I'd love to get some feedback on the leans. BOL to everyone.
Boston -145: I think part of the reason we're getting this line, even though Dice-K is hyped beyond belief, is because some people out there are going to look at Chacin's 5-0 career record against the Sox and think he owns them. The exact opposite is the truth. Chacin is indeed 5-0 against the Red Sox, but that record goes along with a 4.29 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, and 11 Ks againts 15 BBs. To top it off, Boston is batting .292 against Chacin (Ortiz is 5-for-16 with 2 HRs against Chacin).
The only reason for Chacin's record is the 9.59 runs per game he's received in his 7 starts against the Sox. I feel confident that's not going to be the case tomorrow. I think being away from the pressure of Boston is going to be great for Dice K. Fenway was a madhouse in his last start. Now he'll be taking the hill in the far away confines of the Skydome. I think the Sox are a steal at this price. Yes . . . 2 days in a row on the Sox. But this won't become a habit. I just know this team better than any other team and feel like I can pick and choose some great spots. This is one of them. 1.45 units to win 1.
Pittsburgh +150: 1 unit to win 1.5 (official play - will do writeup tomorrow)
Cleveland +127: 1 unit to win 1.27 (lean)
Arizona -116: 1.16 units to win 1 (lean)
LA Angels +100: 1 unit to win 1 (lean, but I think I can get a better number if/when Vlad is officially out)
Milwaukee +116: 1 unit to win 1.16 (lean)
Chicago (AL) -138: 1.38 units to win 1 (lean)
