MLB TUESDAY PICK(5-4-0 YTD +1.15 Units) With Writeup

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2007 Record: 5-4-0 +1.15 Units<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:date Month="4" Day="17" Year="2007">TUESDAY 4/17/2007</st1:date>: <st1:State><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:State> Rangers (Robinson Tejeda) @ <st1:City><st1:place>Chicago</st1:place></st1:City> Whitesox (Jon Garland)<o:p></o:p>

PLAY ON: <st1:State><st1:place>TEXAS</st1:place></st1:State> RANGERS (MoneyLine, +135) To Win 1 Unit <o:p></o:p>
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Lets cut to the chase and start off with my thoughts on the X-factor today, Robinson Tejeda. As one of my leans earlier this season, Tejeda was able to throw a 2-hitter through seven innings @ <st1:City><st1:place>Boston</st1:place></st1:City> in his opening start. How's that for a season opener? In that <st1:City><st1:place>Boston</st1:place></st1:City> game, <st1:State><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:State><SCRIPT><!--D(["mb"," had trouble with Tim Wakefields knuckleball early in the season, but still came out with a 2-0 victory over \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\nBoston\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>. Today Tejeda faces a similar situation at the Chicago White Sox. In his only other start this season, Tejeda gave up 6 runs to the Devil-Rays. However, the Devil-Rays were "Locked In" in that game, so one could expect they were going to hit a young, inexperienced pitcher. Nevertheless, with a road ERA of \n3.10 last year, Tejeda should pitch well against the White Sox tonight, a team that has never seen him before. In five out of six times during his career, Tejeda has given up less than 2 earned runs in games following an outing where he gave up 4+ runs. While this stat may not be supremely important, it does tell us that Tejeda has enough confidence and ability to bounce back well from a poor start. \n\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Tejeda is a young pitcher who lives and dies with his fastball. He throws it all over the plate, from 94 to 97 MPH. This is absolutely his go-to pitch, and it is solely what has kept him in the Major Leagues. I don't doubt that Tejeda could carve through an entire lineup just throwing his fastball, which has some of the sharpest movement I have seen in the all of baseball. However, aside from his deadly heater, Tejeda does have a decent changeup and a below-average slider. As long as he gets the changeup over about once every five pitches, he will be fine. There is no doubt in my mind that Tejeda has the stuff to tame the White Sox lineup. His nemesis, bases on balls, has slowly been eradicated as he managed to walk over 2 batters just once in the entire second half of last year. \n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>",1]);//--></SCRIPT> had trouble with Tim Wakefields knuckleball early in the season, but still came out with a 2-0 victory over <st1:City><st1:place>Boston</st1:place></st1:City>. Today Tejeda faces a similar situation at the Chicago White Sox. In his only other start this season, Tejeda gave up 6 runs to the Devil-Rays. However, the Devil-Rays were "Locked In" in that game, so one could expect they were going to hit a young, inexperienced pitcher. Nevertheless, with a road ERA of 3.10 last year, Tejeda should pitch well against the White Sox tonight, a team that has never seen him before. In five out of six times during his career, Tejeda has given up less than 2 earned runs in games following an outing where he gave up 4+ runs. While this stat may not be supremely important, it does tell us that Tejeda has enough confidence and ability to bounce back well from a poor start. <o:p></o:p>
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Tejeda is a young pitcher who lives and dies with his fastball. He throws it all over the plate, from 94 to 97 MPH. This is absolutely his go-to pitch, and it is solely what has kept him in the Major Leagues. I don't doubt that Tejeda could carve through an entire lineup just throwing his fastball, which has some of the sharpest movement I have seen in the all of baseball. However, aside from his deadly heater, Tejeda does have a decent changeup and a below-average slider. As long as he gets the changeup over about once every five pitches, he will be fine. There is no doubt in my mind that Tejeda has the stuff to tame the White Sox lineup. His nemesis, bases on balls, has slowly been eradicated as he managed to walk over 2 batters just once in the entire second half of last year. <o:p></o:p>
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<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Tejedas fastball will look juicy to a lot of the Chisox hitters, and this is exactly how he will get them out tonight. They Chicago should show up extremely antsy after putting up just 1 run in their last two games combined. They have also had a day off to think about how hard they're going to hit Tejeda, and I can't wait to see some of the enormous hacks this Chisox team takes at his pitches. This anxiousness to produce at the plate tonight will also help to keep Tejeda from walking batters.\n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Jon Garland takes the hill tonight for \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Chicago\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>. He is a guy who has reaped enormous benefits from being surrounded by highly notorious arms like Mark Buehrle, Javier Vazquez, Jose Contreras, and Freddie Garcia. In my opinion, \n\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Garland\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> is no better than average, if that. He has an 89 MPH fastball, and some marginal off-speed stuff. He has shown no ability to retain his control this season (something very key to his success) as he has walked 7 batters in his first two games. \n\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Garland\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> had a horrible September last year, a time when he was faced with playoff-hungry lineups and pressure to pitch well. Tonight he faces a very hungry Rangers team who has lost two in a row, and just got blown out by the Mariners despite putting up 6 runs. \n\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Garland\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> did throw a good game last time out against a sleeping \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Oakland\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> team. Considering a focused \n\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>",1]);//--></SCRIPT>Tejedas fastball will look juicy to a lot of the Chisox hitters, and this is exactly how he will get them out tonight. They Chicago should show up extremely antsy after putting up just 1 run in their last two games combined. They have also had a day off to think about how hard they're going to hit Tejeda, and I can't wait to see some of the enormous hacks this Chisox team takes at his pitches. This anxiousness to produce at the plate tonight will also help to keep Tejeda from walking batters. <o:p></o:p>
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Jon Garland takes the hill tonight for <st1:City><st1:place>Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>. He is a guy who has reaped enormous benefits from being surrounded by highly notorious arms like Mark Buehrle, Javier Vazquez, Jose Contreras, and Freddie Garcia. In my opinion, <st1:City><st1:place>Garland</st1:place></st1:City> is no better than average, if that. He has an 89 MPH fastball, and some marginal off-speed stuff. He has shown no ability to retain his control this season (something very key to his success) as he has walked 7 batters in his first two games. <st1:City><st1:place>Garland</st1:place></st1:City> had a horrible September last year, a time when he was faced with playoff-hungry lineups and pressure to pitch well. Tonight he faces a very hungry Rangers team who has lost two in a row, and just got blown out by the Mariners despite putting up 6 runs. <st1:City><st1:place>Garland</st1:place></st1:City> did throw a good game last time out against a sleeping <st1:City><st1:place>Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> team. Considering a focused<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","Oakland\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> team can barely score three runs, that was no surprise. \u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>The \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Texas\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> offense is one of my favorites. They have a fantastic balance of contact hitters and power hitters. Young sophomore Ian Kinsler is also second in the majors with six homeruns. While they have gotten off to a somewhat slow start, so have the White Sox. Without career years from guys like Crede or Ozuna, the Sox may lose some of their offensive supremacy in the central.\n\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>In the bullpen, \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Texas\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> has three very solid arms in Joaquin Benoit, Akinori Otsuka, and Eric Gagne. White Sox closer Bobby Jenks has gotten off to a slow start, and finds himself surrounded by a pretty marginal bullpen. I wouldn't be surprised if this team missed the playoffs this year once again. \n\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>All in all, this spot represents a fantastic opportunity for \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>Texas\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\n to bear down hard against Jon Garland, while the White Sox show up asleep at the wheel. The line has actually moved 5 cents in our favor, which looks to be a result of over 67% of the public betting on \u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\nChicago\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\> tonight. I definitely like the value.\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>",1]);//--></SCRIPT> <st1:City><st1:place>Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> team can barely score three runs, that was no surprise. <o:p></o:p>
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The <st1:State><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:State> offense is one of my favorites. They have a fantastic balance of contact hitters and power hitters. Young sophomore Ian Kinsler is also second in the majors with six homeruns. While they have gotten off to a somewhat slow start, so have the White Sox. Without career years from guys like Crede or Ozuna, the Sox may lose some of their offensive supremacy in the central. <o:p></o:p>
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In the bullpen, <st1:State><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:State> has three very solid arms in Joaquin Benoit, Akinori Otsuka, and Eric Gagne. White Sox closer Bobby Jenks has gotten off to a slow start, and finds himself surrounded by a pretty marginal bullpen. I wouldn't be surprised if this team missed the playoffs this year once again.
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All in all, this spot represents a fantastic opportunity for <st1:State><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:State> to bear down hard against Jon Garland, while the White Sox show up asleep at the wheel. The line has actually moved 5 cents in our favor, which looks to be a result of over 67% of the public betting on <st1:City><st1:place>Chicago</st1:place></st1:City> tonight. I definitely like the value.<o:p></o:p>
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<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Good Luck\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>",1]);D(["mb","\u003cspan class\u003dsg\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Chase\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cspan\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003c/span\>",0]);D(["ce"]);//--></SCRIPT>Good Luck<o:p></o:p>
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Chase<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
 

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