Will update the record after today's game.
Predicted Lines:
Detroit -200, U8.5 -120
Baltimore -130, U8.5 -115
Angels -115, U8 -120
Cleveland -115, 10 Pk
Boston -135, O12 -115
Texas Pk, 9 Pk
Seattle -170, U7.5 -120
Bets:
Baltimore Orioles +105
Pitchers: Bedard/Kazmir
Bedard is the better pitcher of the two and I expect both to deal. What separates these two squads in my eyes is that Baltimore has an okay bullpen but Tampa really has nothing beyond their closer who is a million years old. I think Baltimore leads early but if they don't, they will likely lead late.
Cleveland Indians +120
Pitchers: Sowers/Igawa
Igawa looked horrible in New York Stadium and I don't think he's ready to be a starter against such a studly offense as Cleveland brings. Sowers is pitching very well so far this year and dominated this Yankee lineup last year. I think he can do it again and I doubt Igawa lasts long.
Boston/Toronto Over 10 -105
Pitchers: Wakefield/Ohka
Ohka has been rocked twice this year and Boston hits well in Toronto. It's a park that hitters love and I'd expect them to knock him out after an inning or two with 5 or 6 runs. Wakefield has pitched very well but I can't see it being as humid in Toronto and the humidity so far this year has helped out his knuckler considerably. He's had a pretty bad history pitching in Toronto and I don't think he'll put in a quality outing either.
Texas Rangers +110
Pitchers: Millwood/Buehrle
Who knows what Buehrle will bring. He's up and down and hasn't pitched well against the Rangers in a while. Millwood is consistent and the Sox aren't hitting. This is a 50/50 game at +110 and if you can't figure out how that is profitable over time, stop gambling.
Minnesota Twins +175
Pitchers: Silva/Felix
I had the balls to ride Felix against my homie Dice-K last week but the odds seem too swayed in his favor here. Don't get me wrong, he's a very good bet to dominate the Twins but the way Silva has pitched so far, this could be a close game. He's done very well and although he hasn't gone deep, Seattle isn't the best hitting team in the league by any means. At +175, the odds are too far slanted.
Predicted Lines:
Detroit -200, U8.5 -120
Baltimore -130, U8.5 -115
Angels -115, U8 -120
Cleveland -115, 10 Pk
Boston -135, O12 -115
Texas Pk, 9 Pk
Seattle -170, U7.5 -120
Bets:
Baltimore Orioles +105
Pitchers: Bedard/Kazmir
Bedard is the better pitcher of the two and I expect both to deal. What separates these two squads in my eyes is that Baltimore has an okay bullpen but Tampa really has nothing beyond their closer who is a million years old. I think Baltimore leads early but if they don't, they will likely lead late.
Cleveland Indians +120
Pitchers: Sowers/Igawa
Igawa looked horrible in New York Stadium and I don't think he's ready to be a starter against such a studly offense as Cleveland brings. Sowers is pitching very well so far this year and dominated this Yankee lineup last year. I think he can do it again and I doubt Igawa lasts long.
Boston/Toronto Over 10 -105
Pitchers: Wakefield/Ohka
Ohka has been rocked twice this year and Boston hits well in Toronto. It's a park that hitters love and I'd expect them to knock him out after an inning or two with 5 or 6 runs. Wakefield has pitched very well but I can't see it being as humid in Toronto and the humidity so far this year has helped out his knuckler considerably. He's had a pretty bad history pitching in Toronto and I don't think he'll put in a quality outing either.
Texas Rangers +110
Pitchers: Millwood/Buehrle
Who knows what Buehrle will bring. He's up and down and hasn't pitched well against the Rangers in a while. Millwood is consistent and the Sox aren't hitting. This is a 50/50 game at +110 and if you can't figure out how that is profitable over time, stop gambling.
Minnesota Twins +175
Pitchers: Silva/Felix
I had the balls to ride Felix against my homie Dice-K last week but the odds seem too swayed in his favor here. Don't get me wrong, he's a very good bet to dominate the Twins but the way Silva has pitched so far, this could be a close game. He's done very well and although he hasn't gone deep, Seattle isn't the best hitting team in the league by any means. At +175, the odds are too far slanted.
