You guys all over Kazimir, you act like he's Vida Blue...he's a 500 pitcher, I suppose for Tampa Bay though that is like having Vida Blue.
Eric Bedard is every bit as good as this guy at this point, slight edge, he has much better numbers vs Tampa , Kaz hasn't pitched nearly as well vs Balto in the past, and I like the Orioles bullpen edge.
Eric Bedard is every bit as good as this guy at this point, slight edge, he has much better numbers vs Tampa , Kaz hasn't pitched nearly as well vs Balto in the past, and I like the Orioles bullpen edge.
jman good luck.. i haven't capped the game yet so i don't know what i'll do, but kazmir is a lefty and baltimore has been terrible against lefties.. 12-26 last year and 0-4 this year.. kazmir can probably keep the bullpen out of the game for a little while also.. maybe the value is on baltimore, i haven't made a line yet
He was 0-1 last yr vs Baltimore 13 inn, 11 ER , ERA over 7
Bedard was 4-1 vs TB last year era 2.75. 3-0 at Trop, I know this he's pitched very well in that park, I feel the Orioles are easily a 50% proposition today....not trying to sway ANYONE to play Baltimore....
Not gonna defend my selections all day...these are my reasons...to be told I'm making a homer play lol, is an insult...especially from someone from Tampa Bay .
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journeyman, i'm not asking you to defend your plays.. I'm just giving an opinion or food for thought.. isn't that what forums are all about? You seem to be slightly offended by me or something when i didn't mean to come across that way..
i just made a line for that game.. i have the line at Tampa Bay -127. i'm just a micro bettor who bets kelly criterion so it's just a baby bet for me on tampa -121 @ matchbook..
good luck to you journeyman..
i just made a line for that game.. i have the line at Tampa Bay -127. i'm just a micro bettor who bets kelly criterion so it's just a baby bet for me on tampa -121 @ matchbook..
good luck to you journeyman..
are you from the baltimore area? i live in northern virginia in leesburg so i do get to watch their games on tv quite a bit.. Baltimore's bats are really starting to come alive, ever since that comeback against kansas city it seems when cabrera was pitching. i'd much rather watch the orioles over the nationals, i tend to prefer american league over national league.
tampa's bullpen does scare me a lot in a game like this as i can see bedard holding tampa to a couple runs and then the bullpen will implode and baltimore wins.. i can see it going either way.. the more i learn and watch these games the more i realize that anything can happen.. so i try to just use objective methods to identify value but this early in the season i'm still using data from last season on the pitchers and in another 6 games or so the offensive numbers should start to settle and i'll be able to fully use those
tampa's bullpen does scare me a lot in a game like this as i can see bedard holding tampa to a couple runs and then the bullpen will implode and baltimore wins.. i can see it going either way.. the more i learn and watch these games the more i realize that anything can happen.. so i try to just use objective methods to identify value but this early in the season i'm still using data from last season on the pitchers and in another 6 games or so the offensive numbers should start to settle and i'll be able to fully use those
If you really can see it going either way Baltimore +110 should be a play.
If you're using last yrs data, you would also be on Baltimore, Bedard was 3-0 last year down in Tampa, I recall him pitching great in that park vs Tampa....history tells me the Orioles and Bedard today are at the very least a 50/50 ...again' I'm not trying to sway you , just pointing out what you're explaining as your reasons.
I live in northern Md.
If you're using last yrs data, you would also be on Baltimore, Bedard was 3-0 last year down in Tampa, I recall him pitching great in that park vs Tampa....history tells me the Orioles and Bedard today are at the very least a 50/50 ...again' I'm not trying to sway you , just pointing out what you're explaining as your reasons.
I live in northern Md.
