Favorites: 28-10 for +13.87 units (73.7%)
Underdogs: 7-4 for +4.67 units (63.6%)
Total: 35-14 for +19.8 units (71.4%)
Well I lost a little over a unit yesterday I believe. Day didn't turn out as I had hoped after a 2-0 start in the early games. Regarding yesterday's games, I was very impressed with Toronton and Chacin. It was a great game to watch but unfortunately turned on an error by Lugo (although scored a hit). Props to Jays backers though. I also was off base on how Oakland and NY would react to the emotional game Monday night. Live and learn. I like the card today and hope to get back on track.
Cincinatti -134: To me, this play is largely about the pitching. Harang does not get enough credit in the eyes of the public IMO, and he pitched great against Houston last season. In 4 starts against the Astros, he went 4-0 with a 2.76 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, a .208 BAA, and 23 strikeouts against only 5 walks. He pitched better on the road last year and was prone to the HR at home, but I think he can take it to the next level this year. I'm only hoping that he can stop Berkman, who's always hit him well.
On the other side, Chris Sampson takes the Hill for Houston. Sampson looked decent in 5 innings against the Cubs in his first start last week (started season a reliever), but left the game with a tightened calf muscle. He'll have a somewhat hot Reds offense to deal with, which has scored 17 runs in their last 2 games. 1.34 units to win 1.
Chicago (NL) -103: I love this spot. We have a current public favorite in Atlanta going up against a Cubs team that couldn't have looked much worse over the past week and a half. But I don't think we'll get many shots with Zambrano at basically even money against a mediocre team like the Braves. I also like this spot for Zambrano because he was a better pitcher on the road last year. In 14 starts on the road, he went 9-1 with an ERA under 3. He's also looked great in 2 career starts in Turner Field, going 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and a .105 BAA. Zambrano is one of the best pitchers in the league and should not be getting virtually even money with the Braves.
The biggest argument you're likely to see for taking the Braves today is that the Cubs are awful. Sure . . . they've played awful lately. But they're not as bad as they've looked. I think getting away from Wrigley might even be good for them and help with some of the pressure. I know Atlanta owned the Cubs last year, and that makes me slightly weary of this one, but I can't pass up Zambrano at this price. 1.03 units to win 1.
Will post more in a bit. I currently have leans on Arizona, NYM and KC. Looking hard at a bunch of other games, as there are a lot of good ones on the card today.
Underdogs: 7-4 for +4.67 units (63.6%)
Total: 35-14 for +19.8 units (71.4%)
Well I lost a little over a unit yesterday I believe. Day didn't turn out as I had hoped after a 2-0 start in the early games. Regarding yesterday's games, I was very impressed with Toronton and Chacin. It was a great game to watch but unfortunately turned on an error by Lugo (although scored a hit). Props to Jays backers though. I also was off base on how Oakland and NY would react to the emotional game Monday night. Live and learn. I like the card today and hope to get back on track.
Cincinatti -134: To me, this play is largely about the pitching. Harang does not get enough credit in the eyes of the public IMO, and he pitched great against Houston last season. In 4 starts against the Astros, he went 4-0 with a 2.76 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, a .208 BAA, and 23 strikeouts against only 5 walks. He pitched better on the road last year and was prone to the HR at home, but I think he can take it to the next level this year. I'm only hoping that he can stop Berkman, who's always hit him well.
On the other side, Chris Sampson takes the Hill for Houston. Sampson looked decent in 5 innings against the Cubs in his first start last week (started season a reliever), but left the game with a tightened calf muscle. He'll have a somewhat hot Reds offense to deal with, which has scored 17 runs in their last 2 games. 1.34 units to win 1.
Chicago (NL) -103: I love this spot. We have a current public favorite in Atlanta going up against a Cubs team that couldn't have looked much worse over the past week and a half. But I don't think we'll get many shots with Zambrano at basically even money against a mediocre team like the Braves. I also like this spot for Zambrano because he was a better pitcher on the road last year. In 14 starts on the road, he went 9-1 with an ERA under 3. He's also looked great in 2 career starts in Turner Field, going 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and a .105 BAA. Zambrano is one of the best pitchers in the league and should not be getting virtually even money with the Braves.
The biggest argument you're likely to see for taking the Braves today is that the Cubs are awful. Sure . . . they've played awful lately. But they're not as bad as they've looked. I think getting away from Wrigley might even be good for them and help with some of the pressure. I know Atlanta owned the Cubs last year, and that makes me slightly weary of this one, but I can't pass up Zambrano at this price. 1.03 units to win 1.
Will post more in a bit. I currently have leans on Arizona, NYM and KC. Looking hard at a bunch of other games, as there are a lot of good ones on the card today.
