NY Mets +110: I think Hudson is a very good pitcher, but I love this line. On its face it looks like a huge pitching mismatch, but there's more to it than that. We may very well be seeing the return of the Hudson from his Oakland days, but it's possible the public is overhyping his hot start. We can't forget that he put up a 5.38 ERA in 17 road starts last year, along with a 5.67 ERA in 4 starts against the Mets. We also can't ignore how well some members of this hot Mets offense have hit Hudson in the past. Beltran is batting .349 in 43 ABs against Hudson, with 3 HRs, 10 RBI, a .429 OBP and .581 SLG. Carlos Delgado is batting .326 against Hudson, with 5 HRs, a .453 OBP, and a .744 SLG. Lo Duca has also hit Hudson well in the past, with 6 hits in 11 ABs.
I understand that Pelfrey is only a rookie. I don't want to overestimate this kid, but he's one of the best young pitchers that will get the call up this year, if not the best. He'll be pitching at home again tomorrow and will likely start to feel a little more comfortable. And this will be more so if, as I expect, the Mets are able to get to Hudson for a few runs. Overall, I think getting a + line on this offense in this situation is great value. 1 unit to win 1.10. I may add to this tomorrow but I'm going to give it more thought before doing so.
I also like Cleveland for tomorrow, even after today's blowup. Haven't pulled the trigger yet, but will have to get it in early. CC has absolutely owned TB and Edwin Jackson is going to get eaten alive by this angry offense.
I understand that Pelfrey is only a rookie. I don't want to overestimate this kid, but he's one of the best young pitchers that will get the call up this year, if not the best. He'll be pitching at home again tomorrow and will likely start to feel a little more comfortable. And this will be more so if, as I expect, the Mets are able to get to Hudson for a few runs. Overall, I think getting a + line on this offense in this situation is great value. 1 unit to win 1.10. I may add to this tomorrow but I'm going to give it more thought before doing so.
I also like Cleveland for tomorrow, even after today's blowup. Haven't pulled the trigger yet, but will have to get it in early. CC has absolutely owned TB and Edwin Jackson is going to get eaten alive by this angry offense.
