YTD: 15-16-2 -$180
1. KC +102
Greinke had a long week to think about what went wrong in Detroit only retiring one batter, he goes back to KC with his ERA of 3.95 and 1-2 record. His stuff is so much better than what he showed in his last start, while I dont believe in boof bonser yet, especially on the road as a favorite against anyone, particularly a team that is starting to plate runs with a regularity. Gotta like KC as a dog with Minn continuing their road trip.
1. KC +102
Greinke had a long week to think about what went wrong in Detroit only retiring one batter, he goes back to KC with his ERA of 3.95 and 1-2 record. His stuff is so much better than what he showed in his last start, while I dont believe in boof bonser yet, especially on the road as a favorite against anyone, particularly a team that is starting to plate runs with a regularity. Gotta like KC as a dog with Minn continuing their road trip.
2. NYY/BOS OVER 10.5 -115
I understand that the moneyline on boston looks incredibly low for the way Beckett has pitched this year and the fact that they are playing a Yankee team without a quality pitcher, getting Karstens in his first start off the DL. For that reason i would expect there to be many runs scored for Boston, not knowing how deep or how effective Karstens can be in such a hostile atmosphere. Boston must be riding a very high high after beating up on MO last night. On the other hand the Yanks come into this game a little pissed off with the end result of last night, coupled with ARods being absolutly rediculous right now on offense and that the Yankees Know how to hit beckett. If there is any lineup in baseball that could bring beckett down to earth its the yanks. Id like to point out his first three starts were against the Angels, Seattle, and KC, not your prototypical teams that can put a ton of runs on the board. His last start vs they yanks was a good 6 inning performance giving up only 2, but his two prior starts were 5.3 and 1.3 giving up 9ER and 7ER. We might just see a lot of bullpen action, dont know the status of Posada, but if hes out it could take away from the pitching aspect for the yanks. I just dont like Karstens coming into Boston for his first start of the season.:toast: RUNS RUNS RUNS.
Going to make my biggest play of the year here:
345/300
I understand that the moneyline on boston looks incredibly low for the way Beckett has pitched this year and the fact that they are playing a Yankee team without a quality pitcher, getting Karstens in his first start off the DL. For that reason i would expect there to be many runs scored for Boston, not knowing how deep or how effective Karstens can be in such a hostile atmosphere. Boston must be riding a very high high after beating up on MO last night. On the other hand the Yanks come into this game a little pissed off with the end result of last night, coupled with ARods being absolutly rediculous right now on offense and that the Yankees Know how to hit beckett. If there is any lineup in baseball that could bring beckett down to earth its the yanks. Id like to point out his first three starts were against the Angels, Seattle, and KC, not your prototypical teams that can put a ton of runs on the board. His last start vs they yanks was a good 6 inning performance giving up only 2, but his two prior starts were 5.3 and 1.3 giving up 9ER and 7ER. We might just see a lot of bullpen action, dont know the status of Posada, but if hes out it could take away from the pitching aspect for the yanks. I just dont like Karstens coming into Boston for his first start of the season.:toast: RUNS RUNS RUNS.
Going to make my biggest play of the year here:
345/300
3. SF -157
Barry Zito finally got his act together back in Colorodo and the giants may be starting to turn the table on what looked like one of the worst teams in the game. This is the type of lineup that Zito could have tremendous success with if he can get his off-speed stuff over the plate, a good young impatient arizona team. Zito's only two starts vs the DBacks were 8.3 and 6 Inning performances allowing 1 ER in each appearance. Edgar Gonzolaz has had two starts vs SF winning one in a fine performance and getting blistered for ten ER while hurling only one inning. He may have nightmares of playing at SF. SF has owned this series when played at home going 5-2 over their last 7. SF finally one a game last night as a favorite, should do the same today.
157/100 SF
Barry Zito finally got his act together back in Colorodo and the giants may be starting to turn the table on what looked like one of the worst teams in the game. This is the type of lineup that Zito could have tremendous success with if he can get his off-speed stuff over the plate, a good young impatient arizona team. Zito's only two starts vs the DBacks were 8.3 and 6 Inning performances allowing 1 ER in each appearance. Edgar Gonzolaz has had two starts vs SF winning one in a fine performance and getting blistered for ten ER while hurling only one inning. He may have nightmares of playing at SF. SF has owned this series when played at home going 5-2 over their last 7. SF finally one a game last night as a favorite, should do the same today.
157/100 SF
4. Phillies -134
Neither team in this matchup hits lefties worth a lick, which inclines me to go with the under but i just think eric milton is so bad i would never trust an under with him involved. The Phills are only 1-4 vs lefties and may be without howard today but ive seen a few of the reds games against lefties and they are an entirely different team. They actually beat Lilly 1-0 on a bs bleeder last week then had trouble with capuano, making them 2-5 vs lefties could easily be 1-6 if the cubs didnt suck that week. Both bullpens were used in that extra inning game, thinking that Hamels could go deeper than Milton leans me to the phils side in this one. Hamels went 5 innings against them last year surrendering 0 runs and 1 hit. Milton is 0-2 this yr with a 5+ era, though philly has struggled mightily this is a matchup they should win.
134/100
Neither team in this matchup hits lefties worth a lick, which inclines me to go with the under but i just think eric milton is so bad i would never trust an under with him involved. The Phills are only 1-4 vs lefties and may be without howard today but ive seen a few of the reds games against lefties and they are an entirely different team. They actually beat Lilly 1-0 on a bs bleeder last week then had trouble with capuano, making them 2-5 vs lefties could easily be 1-6 if the cubs didnt suck that week. Both bullpens were used in that extra inning game, thinking that Hamels could go deeper than Milton leans me to the phils side in this one. Hamels went 5 innings against them last year surrendering 0 runs and 1 hit. Milton is 0-2 this yr with a 5+ era, though philly has struggled mightily this is a matchup they should win.
134/100
5. Florida -1.5 +130
Florida has lost a slew of games in a row, but showed some life being down 5-0 last night rallying back losing 6-5 in extras. While their 1-3 record vs lefties is poor, one of those was between these same two pitchers where Florida lit up Chico, then they got the jorge julio treatment in the 9th. Chico went 4 innings allowing 8 hits and 6 runs against florida to start the year then came back to play atlanta twice, bad in one and acceptable in the other. He hasnt gone deeper than 5 innings thus far this season and the bullpen for wash has got to be spent with all of these extra inning games. Sanchez is going to have to be florida's stopper with this losing streak. He has typically pitched well against the Nats with the exception of his one start this year where he left with a lead. While the Nats have been scoring more of late, it seems that they will need to score several to cover the amount florida will produce vs chico.
100/130
Florida has lost a slew of games in a row, but showed some life being down 5-0 last night rallying back losing 6-5 in extras. While their 1-3 record vs lefties is poor, one of those was between these same two pitchers where Florida lit up Chico, then they got the jorge julio treatment in the 9th. Chico went 4 innings allowing 8 hits and 6 runs against florida to start the year then came back to play atlanta twice, bad in one and acceptable in the other. He hasnt gone deeper than 5 innings thus far this season and the bullpen for wash has got to be spent with all of these extra inning games. Sanchez is going to have to be florida's stopper with this losing streak. He has typically pitched well against the Nats with the exception of his one start this year where he left with a lead. While the Nats have been scoring more of late, it seems that they will need to score several to cover the amount florida will produce vs chico.
100/130
6. Padres +120
No doubt Hensley has been horrible this season at 0-3 with an era over 12, but he could be pitching for his job and Colorodo should be a happy sight for him with his success vs them in the past. He has pitched 30 innings giving up only 6 runs to them. He will be aided by the red hot SD offense who has put together back to back 11 run outbursts. Francis may be the staff's ace, but his era is approaching 6 and was blitzed last time vs SF. His stats vs SD are dreadful going 1-4 and allowing 18 runs in only 29 innings. Ill ride the team that is hot over the team that is not rather than dwell on how poorly hensley has been.
100/120
No doubt Hensley has been horrible this season at 0-3 with an era over 12, but he could be pitching for his job and Colorodo should be a happy sight for him with his success vs them in the past. He has pitched 30 innings giving up only 6 runs to them. He will be aided by the red hot SD offense who has put together back to back 11 run outbursts. Francis may be the staff's ace, but his era is approaching 6 and was blitzed last time vs SF. His stats vs SD are dreadful going 1-4 and allowing 18 runs in only 29 innings. Ill ride the team that is hot over the team that is not rather than dwell on how poorly hensley has been.
100/120
