Braves @ Mets
Play: Braves +110
Intrinsic Value: -114
Consider Betting Price: -102
Comment:
Although Glavine has been pitching progressively better against the Braves, there still might not be another team I would want going up against him. There are simply too many hitters spread across the lineup that have dominated him over the years to make me feel that his improved pitching performances against the Braves holds a lot of sustainability. The Braves once again proved already once this year that they could do damage against him, and he has not been pitching as well as his ERA would indicate, as he has been able to get out of a lot of fortunate jams. Renteria, Jones, Francour and McCann have all had success against him. Adding Woodward to the lineup will allow another hitting that is hitting southpaws well to be in the lineup. Glavine has been consistently been slightly easier to pick up during day games, has been more prone to walking hitters this year, and continues to struggle against the right handed hitters he faces, which will more than likely be six or seven today. The Braves bullpen no longer holds a decisive edge over the Braves, and their two backend pitchers prior to the 9th have struggled against the Braves in the past.
Smoltz has consistently been able to curtail the talent of the Mets lineup. Last year, he dominated them, finishing with a 2.33 ERA against them in four starts. He has also already put forth a quality start against them this year. Being one of the smartest pitchers in baseball that adjusts as well as any, he seems better off pitching to lineups that he has a deep past history against. He has had past success against a couple key hitters in today’s lineup, while only two of the dominant Mets hitters have shown to have an edge against him. He is finally backed by a solid bullpen. It is also a bullpen that is more than likely going to get Gonzalez back for this game, a much needed left handed arm to go up against a lineup loaded from the left side.
Play: Braves +110
Intrinsic Value: -114
Consider Betting Price: -102
Comment:
Although Glavine has been pitching progressively better against the Braves, there still might not be another team I would want going up against him. There are simply too many hitters spread across the lineup that have dominated him over the years to make me feel that his improved pitching performances against the Braves holds a lot of sustainability. The Braves once again proved already once this year that they could do damage against him, and he has not been pitching as well as his ERA would indicate, as he has been able to get out of a lot of fortunate jams. Renteria, Jones, Francour and McCann have all had success against him. Adding Woodward to the lineup will allow another hitting that is hitting southpaws well to be in the lineup. Glavine has been consistently been slightly easier to pick up during day games, has been more prone to walking hitters this year, and continues to struggle against the right handed hitters he faces, which will more than likely be six or seven today. The Braves bullpen no longer holds a decisive edge over the Braves, and their two backend pitchers prior to the 9th have struggled against the Braves in the past.
Smoltz has consistently been able to curtail the talent of the Mets lineup. Last year, he dominated them, finishing with a 2.33 ERA against them in four starts. He has also already put forth a quality start against them this year. Being one of the smartest pitchers in baseball that adjusts as well as any, he seems better off pitching to lineups that he has a deep past history against. He has had past success against a couple key hitters in today’s lineup, while only two of the dominant Mets hitters have shown to have an edge against him. He is finally backed by a solid bullpen. It is also a bullpen that is more than likely going to get Gonzalez back for this game, a much needed left handed arm to go up against a lineup loaded from the left side.