I may add later.
Brewers @ Cubs
Play: Cubs -149
Intrinsic Value: -189
Consider Betting Price: -172
Comment:
Not only is Zambrano a much better pitcher than the one that has been on the mound so far this season, he has also been pitching better than his numbers indicate. He actually pitched decently against the Braves in his last start, and could have left the game allowing just one run. If an inning ending strike three was called in the first, Zambrano would not have allowed those four runs. He also dominated the Reds in the start prior until he mentally fell apart in that one inning. It is only a matter of time until he gets things back on track, and what better time to start tonight, as he is facing a team that he called out a couple of weeks ago. Zambrano’s best start so far this season has come against this Brewers lineup. He is a pitcher whose past results lack sustainability, as his performances are mainly dependent on whether he has his stuff that particular day. A good indicator of this would be the high standard deviation of performances off his career averages against this team. Although he has struggled in the past against a couple of the Brewers hitters, he has dominated their hottest one, Hall. The Brewers are a much less potent lineup away from home, and have a free swinging mentality, a potential deficiency primed to show up as they are eager to make Zambrano eat his words. He is also backed by a solid bullpen eager to redeem themselves after a horrific team performance in last nights game.
The Cubs lineup finally showed what they are capable of in yesterday’s game, as they got production and timely hitting across the lineup. Today they have a good chance of to continue that trend as they are up against an overachieving pitcher that is primed for a reality check, as he doesn’t fundamentally match up well against this Cubs lineup. Vargas is heavily dependent on his fastball, something not ideal against a Cubs lineup that is hard to overpower. The Cubs already roughed him up once in his relief appearance against them earlier this year. His lack of movement and location mistakes has made this fastball a prime home run pitch for opponents throughout his career, also a deficiency you don’t want in this game. The Cubs are also more than likely going to get Soriano back in the lineup, a premier fastball hitter. Vargas also lacks the ideal stamina to go deep into games. Although the Brewers bullpen has been pitching well of late, they have a few backend pitchers that have struggled against the Cubs in the past, and their closer has pitched four of the last five games.
Brewers @ Cubs
Play: Cubs -149
Intrinsic Value: -189
Consider Betting Price: -172
Comment:
Not only is Zambrano a much better pitcher than the one that has been on the mound so far this season, he has also been pitching better than his numbers indicate. He actually pitched decently against the Braves in his last start, and could have left the game allowing just one run. If an inning ending strike three was called in the first, Zambrano would not have allowed those four runs. He also dominated the Reds in the start prior until he mentally fell apart in that one inning. It is only a matter of time until he gets things back on track, and what better time to start tonight, as he is facing a team that he called out a couple of weeks ago. Zambrano’s best start so far this season has come against this Brewers lineup. He is a pitcher whose past results lack sustainability, as his performances are mainly dependent on whether he has his stuff that particular day. A good indicator of this would be the high standard deviation of performances off his career averages against this team. Although he has struggled in the past against a couple of the Brewers hitters, he has dominated their hottest one, Hall. The Brewers are a much less potent lineup away from home, and have a free swinging mentality, a potential deficiency primed to show up as they are eager to make Zambrano eat his words. He is also backed by a solid bullpen eager to redeem themselves after a horrific team performance in last nights game.
The Cubs lineup finally showed what they are capable of in yesterday’s game, as they got production and timely hitting across the lineup. Today they have a good chance of to continue that trend as they are up against an overachieving pitcher that is primed for a reality check, as he doesn’t fundamentally match up well against this Cubs lineup. Vargas is heavily dependent on his fastball, something not ideal against a Cubs lineup that is hard to overpower. The Cubs already roughed him up once in his relief appearance against them earlier this year. His lack of movement and location mistakes has made this fastball a prime home run pitch for opponents throughout his career, also a deficiency you don’t want in this game. The Cubs are also more than likely going to get Soriano back in the lineup, a premier fastball hitter. Vargas also lacks the ideal stamina to go deep into games. Although the Brewers bullpen has been pitching well of late, they have a few backend pitchers that have struggled against the Cubs in the past, and their closer has pitched four of the last five games.
