Boxslayer's MLB Monday (43-32, +23.82 units)

43-32, +23.82 units

Last few days have been pretty uneventful. Winning or losing less than a unit. Trying to get a roll going as I hover around the mid-20 mark on the season. Let's start it off today:

2* Florida Marlins -138
1* Florida Marlins -1.5 +150

Dontrelle Willis faces off vs. the young 23-year old right hander Kyle Davies. While Willis has established himself as a big game pitcher in this league, Davies is still trying to feel his way into the bigs and trying to figure out how to get Major League hitters out consistently. It's been a struggle for him thus far in his career, and it won't get any easier today. Big series win for the Barves over the Mets this past weekend, and they will now travel to their house of horrors in Florida. Braves are 4-10 in their last 14 meetings in Florida. They will face a pitcher that they know very well, but they can't see to beat as Willis has won his last 4 decisions vs. the Braves.

With Willis, you are guaranteed an outing in which he will attack hitters, and keep the score reasonable and give his team a chance to win, and thats all you can ask for. He also provides another bat in the Marlin lineup that is quietly the 3rd best hitting team in baseball right behind the Yankees and Mets. With Dan Uggla, the Marlins 2-hole hitter, finally breaking out of his slump last game with 2 HR's, and Miguel Cabrera returning to the starting lineup tonight, the Marlins will put their dangerous lineup back on display and even bat Willis in the 9th hole vs. a struggling young Kyle Davies. The Marlins as a team are batting over .400 vs. Davies in their limited at-bats against him.

Willis lost his last decision vs. the Mets, and now has a chance to bounceback at home vs. a team he is familiar with and had success against. The Braves rely on the long ball, and the Marlins park can be unfriendly to hit homeruns in at times with it's strange and deep dimensions in center field, and the "Teal Monster" in left. Braves have hit 24 homeruns this year and just 9 vs. left handed pitching. Much bigger pitching advantage for the Marlins than the line indicates.

Marlins 7
Braves 4

hope you predicting score is right as I have over for that game...GL box

I think I'm just going to take the over. It stated on ESPN that Dontrelle's soon to be baby is due soon. I know they stated that he will start tonight but this morning it wasn't for sure because his wife is in the hospital and he wanted to be with her. I guess he'll be pitching, but it's sure going to be hard to concentrate on the game wondering the whole time whether or not she gave birth.

1* Bluejays/Redsox under 10 EVEN

No juice here. Little letdown spot here for the Redsox lineup that had to battle from behind and keep hammering away with the sticks to out-race the Yankees to the finish line. Ohko just held the Redsox to 4 runs over 6 innings last week, and Tim Wakefield has had a lot of success vs. the members of this Bluejay lineup.

Redsox 5
Bluejays 3

good point aj. he'll either be juiced up or ready to get the hell to the hopital. hope he's on fire as i will be on this one as well.
gl box.

Good stuff Box...good luck today.

1* Houston Astros +112

Don't see why the Astros are underdogs here. They have been playing good ball, they have a nice bullpen, and Sampson has come out on fire, all great starts on the road. Philly is at a crossroads, struggling a bit, they've never seen much of Sampson before, and they start a very shaky and inconsistent Adam Eaton.

Astros 6
Philadelphia 2

1* Chicago White sox -1.5 +120

I don't like betting against the Royals at home because that's when they usually have value, but still, can't lay off this line. Buehrle is obviously hot right now, and so is Meche, but I think the Whitesox bats will be excited to come out to the yard today to support Buehrle. Royals have been stranding quite a few men on base as it has taken them awhile to have Gordon and Shealy get going to drive in runs. Shealy now is on the bench and Gordon may not be far behind. Dejesus continues to be the only consistent offensive threat for the Royals. Whitesox also with the better pen.

I dont really want to play -130 on a road favorite here, so I will play the run line and put myself in + money.

Whitesox 6
Royals 3

Good luck Box...Quick response to my message before the games start if you get to it. Thanks

Hey Box, is that all for the day or are you going to be posting as the night progresses?

willis wife will be induced at 7 pm on monday. he is still going to pitch.

Thats all for tonight.

Willis doesn't need to be dominant tonight folks. He has NEVER really been dominant vs. the Braves. He just needs to give the Marlins a chance tonight. If Willis gives up 3 runs, the Marlins will win this game. Marlins put Jorge Julio on the DL suspiciously, no worries about him coming in tonight. I think you will see Messenger, and Tankersely out of the pen tonight, and I have a lot of confidence in both of them.

If you arent comfortable with the Marlins, the over is a definite alternative play in this scenario. Really think the Fish hit tonight. Davies has struggled. Hanley Ramirez is a superstar. Uggla might have gotten back on track. Miguel returns tonight. Those 3 should do damage.

had to be 7 am. think reporter messed up

fucking peice of shit owens blows big money for us

Shifty Mac said:

fucking peice of shit owens blows big money for us

Click to expand...

Tell me about it man. Why bring that guy in and get cute.

In my writeup I said:

"Willis doesn't need to be dominant tonight folks. He has NEVER really been dominant vs. the Braves. He just needs to give the Marlins a chance tonight. If Willis gives up 3 runs, the Marlins will win this game. Marlins put Jorge Julio on the DL suspiciously, no worries about him coming in tonight. I think you will see Messenger, and Tankersely out of the pen tonight, and I have a lot of confidence in both of them."

Of course Messenger throws to one batter and gets them out of a jam, and Tankersley follows up with a 1,2,3 inning.

Then they bring that clown in.

Instead of a +3.50 units, it turns into a shit little 1 unit win.

It's just the way it is going right now. Not to mention, the Boston/Toroton under also got screwed with 2 runs in the 9th for the push. A monster day turned to shit. :realtongu