Choptalks Tuesday Baseball 25-17 +1013.00 +10.1 Units YTD

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

25-17 +1013.00 +10.1 Units YTD
Assuming the Tigers hold on to 5 run lead late

Had a nice little last 2 days. Things starting to go better after that rough 3 day stretch. Nice card today.

3)TWINS/CLEVELAND UNDER 8 -110 $330 for $300
3)Reds +114 $300 for $342
2)Brewers +142 $200 for $284
2)Toronto -134 $268 for $200
2)Tigers -108 $216 for $200

We are wearing the hell out of the BREWERS this season. Thats the way the system works. I have the BREWERS rated higher than the books do apparently. Almost every night my numbers call for a BREWERS play.

I am also very proud to announce that I am 5-0 this year betting for or against the CUBS. For those of you thats been following me the last 3 years, you know that its normally the other way around.

Good luck everyone, and may we all have another good day today.:money8:

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

Dsethi said:
good luck on the plays, I wanted to hit the Brew Crew as well but with Soriano back I didn't want to touch it. GL

I have no idea why the cubs bat him leadoff, I dont care about the fact that he has spent most of his career batting in that spot, it just does not make sense.

He is an RBI guy. He is being wasted in that lineup.

How many times is he going to go up to bat with the bases empty? Probably more than 60% of the time.

If you stick him in front of LEE at #2. Lee would put up some tremendous number behind Soriono and in front of Ramirez.

He started out at leadoff in NY. It made sense in New York, and it also made sense in Texas.

But in Washington and Chicago, it makes 0 sense.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

I am doing something pretty rare tommorow (besides when my system tells me to fade the braves, LOL)

On the Tampa/NY game tomorrow, my numbers are screeming at me to make a really big play on the D-Rays tommorow. In fact, its a real strong 3 unit pick.

But my mind tells me not to bet against the Yanks after losing 4 straight games. I may regret that tommorow, but this is the only reason that the D-Rays are not on this card. In fact, its the only reason they are not my top play of the day.

Dont do this often, other then when I know I should be betting against the Braves like tommorow. Fading the BRAVES tommrow is a solid play. I just cant bring myself to do that.

Take all that for what its worth.

I dont believe in the due factor or anything like that, but dont see the Yanks losing tommorow somehow. Even though every number in my database is begging me to take the D-Rays.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

Dsethi said:
don't question your system then.

i was already on FLA...hoping it hits.

Its not a matter of questioning.

How in the hell can I pull against my team like that?

I pull for the Braves every night.

Not going to pull against them for a measly $300 bucks.

DRays82 · Apr 24, 2007

Chop...if my memory serves me well without tracking history and stats, Kazmir hasn't faired too well against the Yankees. He owns Boston to a tee, but struggles against Baltimore and NY.

However, Kazmir's last outing was probably one of his worst of his short career and really might come out strong.

The Rays bats, wow. Upton has been Mr. Clutch for them so far this year. Been following your plays Chop, and doing great so far. Parlayed a few of your wins for some big $$ yesterday.

Keep it up.

IBETHUGE · Apr 24, 2007

BOL tomorrow. Nice start to the season.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

DRays82 said:
Chop...if my memory serves me well without tracking history and stats, Kazmir hasn't faired too well against the Yankees. He owns Boston to a tee, but struggles against Baltimore and NY.

However, Kazmir's last outing was probably one of his worst of his short career and really might come out strong.

The Rays bats, wow. Upton has been Mr. Clutch for them so far this year. Been following your plays Chop, and doing great so far. Parlayed a few of your wins for some big $$ yesterday.

Keep it up.

It runs so much deeper than just the starting pitching situation. Although I like KAZMIR over WONG, there are a ton of other things I like about this game.

I have done a much better job of putting the bullpens into the mix this season.

Not only is the Yankees bullpen weak when rested, they are even worse when they have been pitching alot.

The Yanks pen is spent right now. They have nobody who can get anyone out.

Wong is pitching for the 1st time in a long time tommorow. There is no way he is going to pitch deep into the game even with in best case senario.

All of a sudden you have a hot lineup feasting on a pathetic bullpen as early as the 5th or 6th inning.

All Kaz has to do is bring his B game, and the drays will be right there the whole time.

The DRays also have simaliar bullpen issues, but I think Kaz pitches at least 2 inning more then the Yanks starter.

DRays82 · Apr 24, 2007

Great points. Im in the same boat as you. Very very hard to bet with or against my team. I want them to win every night. Kazmir pitches much better at home then away.

Kazmir's Line: 1-3 4.18 ERA in 6 games, 5 starts vs the Bombers. 5 of 6 starts have been on the road.

Again, great job Chop. Keep it up.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

OK, the Tigers are officially in the books.

Record up top is now official and correct.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

DRays82 said:
Great points. Im in the same boat as you. Very very hard to bet with or against my team. I want them to win every night. Kazmir pitches much better at home then away.

Kazmir's Line: 1-3 4.18 ERA in 6 games, 5 starts vs the Bombers. 5 of 6 starts have been on the road.

Again, great job Chop. Keep it up.

Thanks DRAY.

Looks like your team has some smart people upstairs. If they only had the budget.

Its a shame that the Tampas cant keep there talent.

Kaz will probably be in NY or Boston in 4 years. That just sucks is you ask me.

DRays82 · Apr 24, 2007

Possibly yes. They are working on a deal with Kazmir right now to buy him out for the next 5 years, just like they did with Rocco and CC.

Shields pitched magnifanctly yesterday with 1 BB and 12 K's. If he keeps it up, could be a good #2 or #3 for us.

Ill be following you all year, if you need any insight, Ill be around.

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

DRays82 said:
Possibly yes. They are working on a deal with Kazmir right now to buy him out for the next 5 years, just like they did with Rocco and CC.

Shields pitched magnifanctly yesterday with 1 BB and 12 K's. If he keeps it up, could be a good #2 or #3 for us.

Ill be following you all year, if you need any insight, Ill be around.

Sounds good.

BigPIG19 · Apr 24, 2007

CHOPTALK said:
Its not a matter of questioning.

How in the hell can I pull against my team like that?

I pull for the Braves every night.

Not going to pull against them for a measly $300 bucks.

chop, you heart must be a hell of a lot closer to your wallet than mine is!!

silver7 · Apr 24, 2007

I Have NO Prob Whatsoever

going against my Twins. Even when Johann is up sometimes, not 2 nite tho. 4-3 Twinkies. I like the Rays here, also another over.

kid44 · Apr 24, 2007

Chop,

Please keep your opinions about my Crew to yourself. Been getting great numbers and you are exposing them.

Kidding, they are my team and have been padding the wallet this year with them. Love this team.

DRays82 · Apr 24, 2007

Wow, might need to add a small play on my team. I know its the Yanks, but with Wang coming back for the first time against Kazmir, +147 seems great value.

BigCat · Apr 24, 2007

Chop do you think the NYY-T.Bay game is a solid over play?

Grozy · Apr 24, 2007

Thanks for the tip on the Yankees and the Sox yesterday Chop, it paid off nicely!

CHOPTALK · Apr 24, 2007

OK, it looks like the sportsbooks are forcing me to make a small play on the DRAYS. I can overlook +125, but not going to pass up on +148.

This play is bordering on 4 unit material right now on pure numbers only. My gut tell me the Yanks are going to pull this off somehow, but I have to at least put a 1 unit play on the DRAYs as a compromise.

My system screems DRAYS, and my gut Screems YANKS.

This is my compromise.

Instead of the 3.5 to 4 unit play that my system is calling for, going to make a small 1 unit selection on TAMPA.

TAMPA +148 $100 for $148

CarolinaKid · Apr 24, 2007

chop the yanks imo is the side it hard to go against this money play imo.either it yanks or no play at all........ck ps if you are between gut and system why force a play as you not getting that much plus money back......oh well one of us with get this one .bol on the rest of the plays......

Choptalks Tuesday Baseball 25-17 +1013.00 +10.1 Units YTD

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