ATP Picks 4-24-07 (28-18-2) +$1508

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

1. LA Angels +102

The halos got blitzed last night by these tigers, dont see it happening again today. Escobar is unblemished vs the tigers going 8-0 career while bonderman is only 2-2. Escobar has given two solid performances thus far splitting each winning 8-3 and losing 2-1 when the angels would score for nobody. The angels have had their strugles this season but those were on the road going 1-7, at home they are 8-3. While Detroit did win last night the are only 6-19 over their last 25 playing on the road at the halos. The angels really struggled to score early in the season but have put together 5,6,7, and 8 runs over their last 4, with Escobar on the mound today any of those offensive performances would be enough to win this game. 8-0 vs the opponent and they open as the dog, the kind of game to take a long look at.

100/102 Halos

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

2. Mariners +118

Neither of these pitchers have been anything to brag about thus far this season; however, i noticed that washburn had the twins and santana on the ropes in his last start and the bullpen blewup on the M's while Padilla juast hasnt had the stuff he is capable of going 0-3 with a ERA of 6.0 The thing that stands out to me the most is that Washburn is a crafty lefty and the last lefty that the Rangers faced was mr Burhle who held them hittless over 9 innings, if this lack of hitting occurs against the M's they will lose again. Washburn is a modest 7-7 vs the rangers while padilla has struggled going 1-4, and the rangers have yet to win a game that he has started. Though Texas beat Washburn this season he pitched solid going 6 innings and allowing only 3ER, i think Seattle can muster together enough against Padilla to offset that and win this game.

100/118 Mariners :103631605

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

Mariners got cancelled..

2. Phillies -220

The team that jimmy rollins said the phillies had is starting to come to form after that dreadful start philly has won four of its last five thanks in great part from its improved batting with runners in scoring position. The ball is starting to fly for the phills which is bad news for Bergmann and the Nats tonight. Moyer was spot on in his last start which was against these same Nats when he went 8 Strong innings allowing only 4 hits and 2 runs, and he got the win when the lineup wasnt hitting for anyone, imagine what may happen with the increased run support. The Nats come in losers of 3 of their last 4 and 10 of their last 16. Bergmann would need to be amazingly good tonight for them to survive the storm in philly.

220/200

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

3. NYY/TB OVER 9.5 -135

I understand that it is a high line for an over under but its just ridiculous to expect anything less than a barrage of runs once again between these two teams. Wang starts for NY, his first start of the season coming off the DL, if any lingering affects are still there expect Torre to play it safe and have a quick hook to protect his young star. Kazmir is definitly TB's best pitcher; however, he is beatable and was beat up a bit in his first start of the season vs the bombers going only 5 innings and allowing 5 runs due to a high pitch count. The Yanks are great at working the count, which could mean a whole lot of bullpen action tonight, while TB probably has the worst bullpen in baseball and the Yanks is right there with them currently thanks to the horrid starting pitching putting them in a bind. Were Wang not just coming off the DL I would load up on NY given the 4 game losing streak, but Ill give him a start or two before I trust him. These two teams have combined to go over the total this season at a 25-9-3 mark including 8 of the last ten played in this series. The yanks are the highest scoring team in the league and the drays are the second highest scoring team so dont expect any 3-2 or 4-3 game, the runs will accumulate like snow in december in the great northeast. The fact that its only 9.5 and not 10.5 like it has been of late for these teams makes it that much easier.

270/200

theDonger · Apr 24, 2007

ATP said:
Mariners got cancelled..

2. Phillies -220

The team that jimmy rollins said the phillies had is starting to come to form after that dreadful start philly has won four of its last five thanks in great part from its improved batting with runners in scoring position. The ball is starting to fly for the phills which is bad news for Bergmann and the Nats tonight. Moyer was spot on in his last start which was against these same Nats when he went 8 Strong innings allowing only 4 hits and 2 runs, and he got the win when the lineup wasnt hitting for anyone, imagine what may happen with the increased run support. The Nats come in losers of 3 of their last 4 and 10 of their last 16. Bergmann would need to be amazingly good tonight for them to survive the storm in philly.

220/200

You mean to say, 220 to win 100. Unless you're playing RL

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

4. LA Dodgers -155

The giants have at least four things going against them tonight at the Dodgers. They dont score runs, they dont win games on the road, they are facing a pitcher in Lowe that has had great success against SF, and the starting pitcher for the Giants has not led his team to victory against the Dodgers in at least the last 5 starts vs the Dodgers. The should be higher in this matchup, were it not for Morris' good start it would be higher. The giants are 4-11 over their last 15 games on the road and have lost 5 games in a row to the Dodgers. Lowe sparkled against the G-men earlier this season winning 4-1 going 7 innings and allowing only the one run. In fact of Lowe's last 5 starts against the Giants he has held them to no more than 1 run in 4 of those 5 games. The gianst just simply arent scoring enough runs right now to beat a team like the dodgers. Were this not a rival and were Morris not pitching above himself this line should be in the -200s.

248/160

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

yup, my bad, 220/100 phills

ATP · Apr 24, 2007

5. Cincy/St Louis OVER 8.5 +105

Like this bet especially since it is +105, neither pitcher has been good vs the opponent in fact they have been lousy. Harang is 3-6 and Wells 2-8 vs the opposing team lifetime. Harangs last two vs the Cards resulted in 11 innings and 10 ER, While Wells went 8+2/3 allowing 10 ER. I understand that the offense hasnt been there for the cards this season and cincy has been anemic at times but St Louis gained some confidence in that game vs the cubs and got rolen and pujols on track for this series, while Cincy's 9-10 record is nothing staggering but their biggest problem has been against lefties, they are 7-4 vs righties and score many more runs vs them. Take a small play and root for the runs.

100/105 :103631605

ATP Picks 4-24-07 (28-18-2) +$1508

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