Record: 55-72
Profit: -19.8
Crappy day yesterday to knock my progress of the last few days to the crapper. Baltimore lost the game late and the Dodgers' pen let em down late. "Could have should have" seems to be mantra of my season so far.
I did make a slight adjustment that I've been noticing in my handicapping and that is putting too much emphasis on how a guy has been pitching lately. It should help me get a better handle on the real value instead of letting the line be influenced so much by some fluky stuff. We'll see how it works today.
Predicted Lines:
Philly -140, O9.5 -115
Cleveland -180, O9.5 -120
Pittsburgh -150, U8.5 -120
Detroit -135, 8.5 Pk
Mets -200, O9 -118
NYY -145, U8.5 -120
Toronto Pk, 9.5 Pk
Houston -155, U8 -115
Cards Pk, 9 Pk
ChW -135, 8.5 Pk
Colorado Pk, 10 Pk
SF -140, U8.5 -112
Seattle -140, U9 -115
LAD -130, 8.5 Pk
Oakland -125, U8 -115
Bets:
Cleveland Indians -145
Pitchers: Westbrook/Trachsel
Minnesota Twins +135
Detroit/Minnesota Over 8 -110
Pitchers: Ortiz/Robertson
New York Yankees -130
NyY/Boston Under 9 -105
Pitchers: Pettite/Dice-K
Texas Rangers +115
Pitchers: Tejada/Towers
San Francisco Giants -125
Pitchers: Zito/Davis
Los Angeles Dodgers -106
Pitchers: Hendrickson/Hensley
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +128
Tampa/Oakland Under 8.5 +100
Pitchers: Shields/Gaudin
Profit: -19.8
Crappy day yesterday to knock my progress of the last few days to the crapper. Baltimore lost the game late and the Dodgers' pen let em down late. "Could have should have" seems to be mantra of my season so far.
I did make a slight adjustment that I've been noticing in my handicapping and that is putting too much emphasis on how a guy has been pitching lately. It should help me get a better handle on the real value instead of letting the line be influenced so much by some fluky stuff. We'll see how it works today.
Predicted Lines:
Philly -140, O9.5 -115
Cleveland -180, O9.5 -120
Pittsburgh -150, U8.5 -120
Detroit -135, 8.5 Pk
Mets -200, O9 -118
NYY -145, U8.5 -120
Toronto Pk, 9.5 Pk
Houston -155, U8 -115
Cards Pk, 9 Pk
ChW -135, 8.5 Pk
Colorado Pk, 10 Pk
SF -140, U8.5 -112
Seattle -140, U9 -115
LAD -130, 8.5 Pk
Oakland -125, U8 -115
Bets:
Cleveland Indians -145
Pitchers: Westbrook/Trachsel
Minnesota Twins +135
Detroit/Minnesota Over 8 -110
Pitchers: Ortiz/Robertson
New York Yankees -130
NyY/Boston Under 9 -105
Pitchers: Pettite/Dice-K
Texas Rangers +115
Pitchers: Tejada/Towers
San Francisco Giants -125
Pitchers: Zito/Davis
Los Angeles Dodgers -106
Pitchers: Hendrickson/Hensley
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +128
Tampa/Oakland Under 8.5 +100
Pitchers: Shields/Gaudin