Mlb Saturday Pick (11-12-0 Ytd -1.25 Units) With Writeup

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2007 RECORD: 11-12-0 -1.25 Units

SATURDAY 4/28/2007: TWO PLAYS

Texas Rangers (K. Millwood) @ Toronto Bluejays (G. Chacin)
PLAY ON: TORONTO BLUEJAYS (Moneyline, -115) <SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\u003c/b\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>To Win 1 Unit\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Arial\"\>\n\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>*\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Arial\"\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>LA Angels (Jer. Weaver) @ Chicago White Sox (J. Garland)\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Arial\"\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/p\>\n\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>PLAY ON: \u003cb\>LA ANGELS (Moneyline, +115) \u003c/b\>To Win 1 Unit\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Arial\"\> \u003c/span\>\n\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Arial\"\>*\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cb\>\u003ci\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Bluejays Writeup\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/i\>\n\u003c/b\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cb\>\u003ci\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/i\>\u003c/b\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>I'm not sure what sort of witty pseudonyms Gustavo Chacin has for himself, but I'm going to call him the Sandman. Much like this deceptive villain from Spiderman, hitters seem to swing right through the actual ball when facing Chacin. No, I'm not kidding. I don't know how he does it, but I suppose it starts with an unconventional windup, a fastball that tops out at 87, a changeup that runs at 73, and some very intimidating mound-vibes. In any case, Chacin has owned the Texas Rangers, throwing 14 innings of shut-out ball in 2005. Now, as a maturing pitcher assuming the number three spot in the Toronto rotation, Chacin has some extra incentive to be consistent in 2007 following the traditional "sophomore slump" in '06. \n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n",1]);//--></SCRIPT>To Win 1 Unit

LA Angels (Jer. Weaver) @ Chicago White Sox (J. Garland)
PLAY ON: LA ANGELS (Moneyline, +115) To Win 1 Unit

Bluejays Writeup

I'm not sure what sort of witty pseudonyms Gustavo Chacin has for himself, but I'm going to call him the Sandman. Much like this deceptive villain from Spiderman, hitters seem to swing right through the actual ball when facing Chacin. No, I'm not kidding. I don't know how he does it, but I suppose it starts with an unconventional windup, a fastball that tops out at 87, a changeup that runs at 73, and some very intimidating mound-vibes. In any case, Chacin has owned the Texas Rangers, throwing 14 innings of shut-out ball in 2005. Now, as a maturing pitcher assuming the number three spot in the Toronto rotation, Chacin has some extra incentive to be consistent in 2007 following the traditional "sophomore slump" in '06.

<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>After defeating Josh Towers yesterday, it's going to be hard for Texas to take todays game seriously. After all, they're facing a guy with a \n5.32 ERA, they've got Millwood on the mound, and two more games to play against Toronto. Despite their dismal road record, Texas does expect to cruise today, and I'm sure they can't wait to tee off on Chacins slow roller. Little do they know, it's quite difficult to hit up the Sandman if you're swingin' for the fences.\n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>The Jays get to tee off today against the perennial disappointment that is Kevin Millwood. Aside from a few stellar years with \nAtlanta, Millwood has really struggled to put things together, especially wins. While his ERA was 2.86 in 2005, he compiled only a 9-11 record. To me, Millwood has eluded the coveted label of "ace," at least over the past 5 years. With a sub-par year in \nTexas last season, Millwood has once again started off poorly. He has a high WHIP, low strikeout numbers, and a lofty 5.46 ERA. After allowing 5 earned runs in two consecutive games, Millwoods confidence has got to be in the gutter right now. He has a \n6.11 ERA against the Jays, and should find himself in a world of trouble today against a team that has hammered the ball in 3 of their last 4 games. \u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cb\>\u003ci\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Angels Writeup\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/i\>\u003c/b\>\n\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cb\>\u003ci\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/i\>\u003c/b\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>",1]);//--></SCRIPT>After defeating Josh Towers yesterday, it's going to be hard for Texas to take todays game seriously. After all, they're facing a guy with a 5.32 ERA, they've got Millwood on the mound, and two more games to play against Toronto. Despite their dismal road record, Texas does expect to cruise today, and I'm sure they can't wait to tee off on Chacins slow roller. Little do they know, it's quite difficult to hit up the Sandman if you're swingin' for the fences.

The Jays get to tee off today against the perennial disappointment that is Kevin Millwood. Aside from a few stellar years with Atlanta, Millwood has really struggled to put things together, especially wins. While his ERA was 2.86 in 2005, he compiled only a 9-11 record. To me, Millwood has eluded the coveted label of "ace," at least over the past 5 years. With a sub-par year in Texas last season, Millwood has once again started off poorly. He has a high WHIP, low strikeout numbers, and a lofty 5.46 ERA. After allowing 5 earned runs in two consecutive games, Millwoods confidence has got to be in the gutter right now. He has a 6.11 ERA against the Jays, and should find himself in a world of trouble today against a team that has hammered the ball in 3 of their last 4 games.

Angels Writeup

<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","This is probably the last time you will see Jered Weaver with a +115 line and an ERA over 9.00. This guy is a pure stud. Though he does have Weaver blood in him, he throws nothing like his brother. However, he was hammered in his last start. What I saw during this start was Jered getting ahead of a lot of hitters, and then making bad pitches. I can tell you that he still looked dominant, even while giving up seven runs. \n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>Today I expect the White Sox to overlook Weaver as a result of his poor start to this season. From their standpoint, they see a rookie with a \n9.34 ERA that they've never faced before…Big deal. For a team of the White Sox's caliber, tonights game represents an opportunity to up their batting averages and swing for the fences. This is certainly not a productive mindset when facing a very talented rookie with some fantastic stuff. \n\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>On the other side of the ball, the Angels will look to continue their hot streak against Jon Garland. As you know, my respect for \nGarland is minimal. I just don't think this guy has the stuff to put together another productive year. That being said, the Angels will be locked in and ready to go tonight against the 2005 Champs. With a 3-5 record and a \n4.19 ERA against the Angels in 11 starts, I don't see Garland as much of a threat to shut down the LA offense. While they are 1-8 on the road this season (yikes!), the Angels were a very strong road team last year. The offense actually scored \n5.1 RPG on the road in '06, and not much has changed since then. Though it's been a slow start, the Angels have won 6 of their last 8 games, and I am confident they will right the ship on the road, starting tonight. ",1]);//--></SCRIPT>This is probably the last time you will see Jered Weaver with a +115 line and an ERA over 9.00. This guy is a pure stud. Though he does have Weaver blood in him, he throws nothing like his brother. However, he was hammered in his last start. What I saw during this start was Jered getting ahead of a lot of hitters, and then making bad pitches. I can tell you that he still looked dominant, even while giving up seven runs.

Today I expect the White Sox to overlook Weaver as a result of his poor start to this season. From their standpoint, they see a rookie with a 9.34 ERA that they've never faced before…Big deal. For a team of the White Sox's caliber, tonights game represents an opportunity to up their batting averages and swing for the fences. This is certainly not a productive mindset when facing a very talented rookie with some fantastic stuff.

On the other side of the ball, the Angels will look to continue their hot streak against Jon Garland. As you know, my respect for Garland is minimal. I just don't think this guy has the stuff to put together another productive year. That being said, the Angels will be locked in and ready to go tonight against the 2005 Champs. With a 3-5 record and a 4.19 ERA against the Angels in 11 starts, I don't see Garland as much of a threat to shut down the LA offense. While they are 1-8 on the road this season (yikes!), the Angels were a very strong road team last year. The offense actually scored 5.1 RPG on the road in '06, and not much has changed since then. Though it's been a slow start, the Angels have won 6 of their last 8 games, and I am confident they will right the ship on the road, starting tonight.<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\u003c/font\>\n\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cdiv style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan\>Good Luck\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/div\>",1]);//--></SCRIPT>


Good Luck
<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","\u003cspan class\u003dsg\>\n\u003cdiv style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>\u003cspan\>Chase\u003c/span\>\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/div\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003cp style\u003d\"margin:0in 0in 0pt\"\>\u003cspan style\u003d\"font-size:10pt\"\>\u003cspan\>\u003cfont face\u003d\"Times New Roman\"\>*\u003c/font\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/span\>\u003c/p\>\n\u003c/span\>",0]);D(["ce"]);//--></SCRIPT>
Chase
 

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