Larry Ness' Getaway Day GOW (19-5 with 15* GOW plays since Opening Day!)
My 15* is on the Mil Brewers at 1:05 ET. The Cards continue to falter and the prices to go against them remain reasonable. That's the case again here in this final game of a three-game series in Milwaukee. The Brewers have won the first two games 7-1 and 12-2, yet even with Reyes (0-4. 5.73) on the mound against Capuano 4-0, 3.21), the price is not overly high. The Brewers enter this game having won 10 of their last 13, to move to 17-9 on the season, MLB's best record. They've won all five of Capuano's starts in 2007 and are 25-11 at home in his starts since the beginning of the 2005 season. Reyes has yet to win a start this year and in three starts vs the Brewers last year, allowed 15 hits and nine runs in 11 innings (3 starts), for an ERA of 7.76. The Cards were horrible against lefties in 2006 (lost over $2,500 at $100/game), including going 8-18 on the road vs left-handers. While the Cards have gone 4-3 vs lefties this year, note that they've averaged just 2.1 RPG in those seven contests. Getaway Day GOW 15* Mil Brewers.
JIM FEIST
(971) TOR Blue Jays
(972) CLE Indians
Take "(972) CLE Indians"
Josh Towers is leaving the starting rotation in favour of veteran Victor Zambrano. Zambrano has average stuff and faces a powerful Cleveland offense that is 4th in on-base percentage and second in walks. Toronto has major injury problems, with closer B.J. Ryan on the DL, along with catcher Gregg Zaun, starter Gustavo Chacin and outfielder Reed Johnson, while third baseman Troy Glaus just came off the list Saturday. Red hot Cleveland is 8-3 at home.
Play the Indians
Dave Cokin
(959) PHI Phillies
(960) ATL Braves
Take "(960) ATL Braves"
Freddy Garcia still hasn't found any consistent form coming off the injury that caused him to miss the start of the season. Chuck James has become very comfortable pitching at home for the Braves. Look for the host team to come away with the rubber match of this three game series with the win this evening."
AL McMORDIE
MLB Anaheim vs. Kansas City
Take Anaheim Angels
The Angels go for a 3 game sweep of the Royals tonight in Kansas City and there is no reason to think they won't get it. Because Angels righthanded starter Ervin Santana is not off to a good start this season, and because the Royals are going with their hot young lefty Jorge De La Rosa at home, the line is about even. But De La Rosa is very inexperienced, while Santana is a quality starter who will get it together, and perhaps most importantly, the Angels have been murdering lefthanders, batting a scorching .291 as a team against them. Not to mention the fact that the Angels have a much better bullpen than KC, highlighted by perhaps the best closer in baseball, Francisco "K-Rod" Rodriguez. Then add the fact that L.A. has absolutely owned the Royals of late (they are 40 - 15 in the last 55 meetings) and that KC's pitching is so banged up that they can hardly field a complete team and you have a nice situation. Take the Angels. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Michael Cannon Money Train
10 Dime –
INDIANS (With Zambrano and Westbrook as listed pitchers)
Take the Tribe tonight for the win at home over Toronto.
Victor Zambrano gets the start for the Blue Jays and I wonder how in the world this guy still collects a major league paycheck. He’s been garbage everywhere he’s pitched and I fully expect the Indians to tee-off on him tonight at the Jake.
Speaking of Jake, the Tribe will send Mr. Westbrook to the hill and he is showing signs of shaking out of his early season slump. He is 1-0, having allowed six earned runs over his last two starts spanning 13 1-3 innings.
While I expect Westbrook to continue his good streak, Zambrano is starting his first game of the year and he just won’t have the arm strength to go beyond five innings, if he even makes it that far.
Lay the juice and take the Tribe for the home win.
5 Dime –
DIAMONDBACKS (With Davis and Hendrickson as listed pitchers)
Take Arizona as a small road dog this afternoon over the Dodgers.
Doug Davis gets the nod for the Diamondbacks and he’s been perfect against the Dodgers in his career, going 2-0 without allowing an earned run through innings in two starts.
Mark Hendrickson has pitched well so far for LA, but it’s just a matter of time before the real Hendrickson emerges and shows his true colors.
That time is today.
Take the D-Backs as we’re getting the better pitcher with the better track record as at an underdog price.
BRAVES (With James as listed pitcher)
Lay the small juice with the Braves at home over the Phillies.
Philadelphia struggled to start the season but they’ve started to turn it around. Freddy Garcia gets the nod tonight for the Phillies and he’s one of their top of the rotation guys, but I like the Braves to get to him here tonight.
Chuck James gets the nod for Atlanta and the left-hander should be able to neutralize the Philly lineup tonight.
James is 14-6 in his career with a 3.87 ERA in 32 games. He’s also had success against Philly in his short career, going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in three games, including a win this year on April 5 when he pitched five innings allowing only one earned run.
Take the Braves as the slight home favorite for the win.
Bryan Leonard
Cards at Brewers
Everything is going wrong for the Cardinals. The offense is averaging just 3.4 runs per game, and they scored a single run in back to back games against the Cubs and Brewers. The tragedy this week losing reliever Josh Hancock is a terrible thing for the players to deal with while continuing to go to work each day. It?s not a good time for the slumping offense to face Milwaukee ace lefty Chris Capuano (4-0, 3.21 ERA).
PLAY THE BREWERS
Totals 4 U
Minnesota/tampa Bay Under 10 1/2
immy The Moose
Reds beat up on the Astros last night and have now won 3 straight. Lohse has pitched well this season. Over his last 3 starts his ERA is 2.14 and the Reds have won 2 of the 3 games. The Astros have dropped 9 of their last 10. Rodriguez is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA. The Astros have lost 3 of his 4 starts. The Reds are swinging the hotter bats and will take this one to even the season series at two a piece.
Play on the Reds
Trev Rogers
May 2, 2007
1. Cubs +113
2. Phillies +111
3. Angels -123
4. Chisox vs. Mariners Over 9
5. Twins vs. D-Rays Over 10
Larry Ness' 15* Blowout GOW-MLB (19-5 start with 15* GOW plays in MLB!)
My 15* play is on the SF Giants at 10:15 ET. The Giants entered last weekend on an eight-game losing streak but lost three consecutive one-run games to the D'backs. They've split the first two games of this series with the Rockies and will send Barry Zito to the mound in the rubber game. Zito started poorly in 2007 (8.18 ERA in his first two starts) but has allowed just three ERs in his last three starts (over 20.1 innings), for an ERA of 1.33. Jeff Francis, arguably Colorado's best pitcher these last two years (14-12 and 13-11), opened with two good starts this year but has been HAMMERED in his last three (all at home), allowing 33 hits and 17 ERs in 16.1 innings (9.37 ERA). That's not good news when one considers he's 3-4 with a 6.11 ERA in 10 career starts against the Giants, including 1-3 with a 8.89 ERA in five outings at AT&T Park. The Giants had some problems with lefties on the road LY (5-15) but went 10-6 vs lefties at home. So far in 2007, the Giants are 5-3 (plus-$245) when facing a left-handed starter. The Rockies are 5-9 on the road this year (.357), which is about 'right,' considering the team went 89-154 (.366) away from Coors the last three seasons. Blowout GOW 15* SF Giants
Proffit Plays
Triple Plays = 50-48 (Not Good)
Milwaukee
Cincinnati
NY Yankees
Daily Best Bets
YTD = 18-15
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 15-9
NY Mets
Houston
Boston
Minnesota
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Wed. Comps
Mike Carson-OVER Colorado
Winner Line-San Francisco
Computer Boys-Tigers
OTM-OVER San Francisco
Kevin Kennedy-White Six
Feiner-OVER Phillies
Gaston-Denver
