considering they were 10-1 to win the last series I would have to say no. Beating Dallas for them was a hell of a lot easier than beating the next teams they play.
They are playing great basketball right now, but even if they win this next series, either team they run into (Phoe or SA) gives them absolute fits. Phoe is the same team only better at virtually every position and they do EVERYTHING GSW does but better. SA is SA, too fundamental and won't be pushed around or change their style of play like Dallas did.
The Dallas series was lightning in a bottle IMO, perfect confluence of events for GSW to pull off the upset. I would love to see them get to the finals, but I don't see it happening since they have to run through Phoe or SA.
As far as Davis goes, for the difference in price it is worth it if you wanted to the route of GSW winning it all, but I think Jackson could also win it if GSW were to win it all. What is Jackson to win MVP? If you want to take a flyer on GSW to win it all, I think taking those two to win MVP would pay better than GSW at 10-1.
I have to think Jax is higher than Davis, so say he is 40-1. Instead of 100 to win 1000 on GSW, 50 on Davis and 50 on Jackson would pay either +1200 or +1950. I don't see anyone else winning MVP from that team if they win.
They are playing great basketball right now, but even if they win this next series, either team they run into (Phoe or SA) gives them absolute fits. Phoe is the same team only better at virtually every position and they do EVERYTHING GSW does but better. SA is SA, too fundamental and won't be pushed around or change their style of play like Dallas did.
The Dallas series was lightning in a bottle IMO, perfect confluence of events for GSW to pull off the upset. I would love to see them get to the finals, but I don't see it happening since they have to run through Phoe or SA.
As far as Davis goes, for the difference in price it is worth it if you wanted to the route of GSW winning it all, but I think Jackson could also win it if GSW were to win it all. What is Jackson to win MVP? If you want to take a flyer on GSW to win it all, I think taking those two to win MVP would pay better than GSW at 10-1.
I have to think Jax is higher than Davis, so say he is 40-1. Instead of 100 to win 1000 on GSW, 50 on Davis and 50 on Jackson would pay either +1200 or +1950. I don't see anyone else winning MVP from that team if they win.
I think Richardson is too up and down. he also doesn't play well on the road. Jackson just doesn't care and is a more seasoned playoff guy (he won a title w/ SA), he is also more well rounded (defense and rebounding) and look how he stepped up last night w/ Davis hurting. You could probably throw Richardson in too and still provide for a better payout with little more risk.
If Richardson is also 40-1
50 on Davis = +1150
50 on Jackson or Richardson = +1900
Risk = $150 instead of $100 for a $1000 payout.
However, I don't think there is any value as I don't see them getting past SA or Phoe.
If Richardson is also 40-1
50 on Davis = +1150
50 on Jackson or Richardson = +1900
Risk = $150 instead of $100 for a $1000 payout.
However, I don't think there is any value as I don't see them getting past SA or Phoe.
This is like betting the Lakers to win the championship last season had they advanced past the Suns, which was very likely had Odom grabbed that final rebound. Certainly no one would've been claiming Lakers would win the championship. Lakers matched up well with just one elite team and that just happened to be the Suns, just like GS matched up well with the Mavs. Doesn't mean they can get by Spurs or Suns as effortlessly as over the Mavs.
