I may add later.
Phillies @ Giants
Play: Giants -106
Intrinsic Value: -125
Consider Betting Price: -112
Comment:
What do you get when you put one of the most undervalued home pitchers in baseball up against a public favorite team being backed by an overachieving pitcher? Value. Although I have seen Lowry come with much more value in his home starts, he is still being priced below his worth. He has rebounded well from his injury plagued season of last year, and continues to put forth his best work at home, where he comes into today’s game with a 2.84 home ERA. He has been one of the best home pitchers in baseball over the last three years, as his career home ERA is 3.24, as the park compliments his fly ball pitching style. Most of Lowry’s success this year has been a product of being able to dominate left handed bats. Left handed hitters are batting just .107 against him, which does not bode well for the Phillies chances, as their most dangerous hitters bat from the left side. Lowry’s career numbers against the Phillies are inflated from one horrible road start against them. There is only one hitter in today’s lineup with at least ten at bats against him. He is a workhorse that could avoid a front end of a bullpen.
It is only a matter of time until Leiber reverts to the pitcher he is- very mediocre. His career is in a downward trend, making it only a matter of time until he comes back to earth. Last week may be a sign of things to come, as he really struggled with his control, walling seven batters. Not many pitchers last as long as he has while struggling so much against left handed hitters throughout his career, as they are batting .309 lifetime against him. This does not bode well for his chances, as the Giants may throw five left handed bats at him in this game. There are a few hitters that should be in today’s lineup that have dominated Leiber throughout his career. He is backed by a bullpen that has been overachieving all year, and now lacks an experienced closer with Gordon put on the DL.
Phillies @ Giants
Play: Giants -106
Intrinsic Value: -125
Consider Betting Price: -112
Comment:
What do you get when you put one of the most undervalued home pitchers in baseball up against a public favorite team being backed by an overachieving pitcher? Value. Although I have seen Lowry come with much more value in his home starts, he is still being priced below his worth. He has rebounded well from his injury plagued season of last year, and continues to put forth his best work at home, where he comes into today’s game with a 2.84 home ERA. He has been one of the best home pitchers in baseball over the last three years, as his career home ERA is 3.24, as the park compliments his fly ball pitching style. Most of Lowry’s success this year has been a product of being able to dominate left handed bats. Left handed hitters are batting just .107 against him, which does not bode well for the Phillies chances, as their most dangerous hitters bat from the left side. Lowry’s career numbers against the Phillies are inflated from one horrible road start against them. There is only one hitter in today’s lineup with at least ten at bats against him. He is a workhorse that could avoid a front end of a bullpen.
It is only a matter of time until Leiber reverts to the pitcher he is- very mediocre. His career is in a downward trend, making it only a matter of time until he comes back to earth. Last week may be a sign of things to come, as he really struggled with his control, walling seven batters. Not many pitchers last as long as he has while struggling so much against left handed hitters throughout his career, as they are batting .309 lifetime against him. This does not bode well for his chances, as the Giants may throw five left handed bats at him in this game. There are a few hitters that should be in today’s lineup that have dominated Leiber throughout his career. He is backed by a bullpen that has been overachieving all year, and now lacks an experienced closer with Gordon put on the DL.