White Sox @ Angels
Play: White Sox +125
Intrinsic Value: -108
Consider Betting Price: +106
Comment:
The White Sox are really out of favor right now, as the public never wants anything to do with a team possessing dormant bats. Although regression was bound to happen for a few aging White Sox hitters that were overachieving the last couple of years, their lineup is a more potent than the one they have been displaying so far this season, and are being valued well below their potential. Colon has consistently been overvalued since returning to the rotation, and continues to carry a hefty price tag despite putting forth consecutively worse outings, including a poor outing last week against a struggling Royals lineup. Approaching 34 and coming off the type of injuries he has, pitching at a Cy Young level is more than likely a thing of the past. He has always been known to be a streaky pitcher, and appears to be on a downward trend right now. He is also not a pitcher that has been known to pitch more effectively at home. Although he is backed by a top tier bullpen, its backend is far more talented than the underbelly, a portion that may not be avoided factoring in Colon has averaged 91 pitches per start and the White Sox being one of the better lineups in working opponents pitch counts. The White Sox have been slightly more productive against right handed hitters, hitting on the road and during day games this year.
Despite starting the season off strong, including a no hit game, the public continues to back away from yet another finesse southpaw in Buerhle. Although I am not terribly high on him either, being a finesse rhythm pitcher, when his stuff is working, it can work for prolonged periods of time. In past years, Buerhle has been prone to allowing a lot of hits, but made up for it with his outstanding control and low walk total. His control is still there, however, he has been one of the harder pitchers to get his off of this year, allowing just 21 in over 30 innings of work. Being a corner pitcher that lacks overpowering stuff, he is also heavily dependent on the home plate umpire. Fortunately for him, he will be working with a generous strike zone. He has had past success against a few of the hitters in today’s lineup, and will be up against a lineup playing with a depleted outfield, as Mathews along with Anderson will be out for today’s game. The White Sox bullpen has been pitching well this year, and have a few arms that have dominated the Angels throughout their career.
Play: White Sox +125
Intrinsic Value: -108
Consider Betting Price: +106
Comment:
The White Sox are really out of favor right now, as the public never wants anything to do with a team possessing dormant bats. Although regression was bound to happen for a few aging White Sox hitters that were overachieving the last couple of years, their lineup is a more potent than the one they have been displaying so far this season, and are being valued well below their potential. Colon has consistently been overvalued since returning to the rotation, and continues to carry a hefty price tag despite putting forth consecutively worse outings, including a poor outing last week against a struggling Royals lineup. Approaching 34 and coming off the type of injuries he has, pitching at a Cy Young level is more than likely a thing of the past. He has always been known to be a streaky pitcher, and appears to be on a downward trend right now. He is also not a pitcher that has been known to pitch more effectively at home. Although he is backed by a top tier bullpen, its backend is far more talented than the underbelly, a portion that may not be avoided factoring in Colon has averaged 91 pitches per start and the White Sox being one of the better lineups in working opponents pitch counts. The White Sox have been slightly more productive against right handed hitters, hitting on the road and during day games this year.
Despite starting the season off strong, including a no hit game, the public continues to back away from yet another finesse southpaw in Buerhle. Although I am not terribly high on him either, being a finesse rhythm pitcher, when his stuff is working, it can work for prolonged periods of time. In past years, Buerhle has been prone to allowing a lot of hits, but made up for it with his outstanding control and low walk total. His control is still there, however, he has been one of the harder pitchers to get his off of this year, allowing just 21 in over 30 innings of work. Being a corner pitcher that lacks overpowering stuff, he is also heavily dependent on the home plate umpire. Fortunately for him, he will be working with a generous strike zone. He has had past success against a few of the hitters in today’s lineup, and will be up against a lineup playing with a depleted outfield, as Mathews along with Anderson will be out for today’s game. The White Sox bullpen has been pitching well this year, and have a few arms that have dominated the Angels throughout their career.
