ATP Picks 5-6-07 (59-50-2) +$280

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Dont know whats worse, that horrible effort from my derby fav circular quay, going 1-4 on my picks yesterday or not posting the plays i actually made today, 4-0 with the braves over, brewers moneyline, redsox moneyline and a miracle at wrigley, will post the late game and hope i can make some ammends.

1. SF/PHILLY OVER 8 -105

I understand that Hamels is a total stud and this Lincecum is supposed to be a good one but based on past experiece between these two teams this is a low number. Looking over the last ten that these two teams have played together the total has been over 8 , 6 out of those times, landing on 8 three times and under 8 only once, when these teams come together the bats tend to come. Scores of 9-4, 6-2 and 9-7 look good for an over. This is not the easiest lineup for this rook to be facing first out of the gate and while I expect the giants to put of a fight the phills usually win when they score and they are 10-5 as favs this year while SF is 9-4 as dogs making this a hard play for either side. The giants have had a great track record this year on beating up on lefties. Both of these teams score 4-5 runs a game, if it happens tonight it goes over. The phills biggest problem this year has been striking out but the giants strike out the 2nd least batters, take a shot on this over.

210/200
 

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