Here is what you would have made betting $100 on every team for every game.

CHOPTALK · May 7, 2007

If you risked $100 on every teams games for the entire season, this is what you would have made or lost. Starting from the best to worst.

WINNERS
BREWERS +$1100.00
INDIANS +$775.00
BOSTON +$770.00
TIGERS +$555.00
BRAVES +$435.00
DODGERS +$315.00
METS +$240.00
D-RAYS +$150.00
GIANTS +$150.00
MARINERS +$30.00
WHITESOX +$15.00
PADRES +$5.00
LOSERS
OAKLAND $-15.00
D-BACKS $-90.00
ANGELS $-135.00
PIRITES $-140.00
BALTIMORE -$200.00
TWINS -$255.00
FLORDIA -$270.00
ROCKIES -$340.00
REDS -$345.00
PHILLY -$500.00
CUBS -$505.00
NATS -$520.00
RANGERS -$550.00
ASTROS -$610.00
CARDS -$760.00
BLUEJAYS -$785.00
ROYALS -$925.00
YANKS -$965.00

Thats to win $100 on the favs, and risking $100 on the dogs on the closing number.

Sprinky · May 7, 2007

So how the hell are we supposed to win money wagering on this sport? :think2:

goodbadugly · May 7, 2007

HAVE YOU DONE THIS BEFORE? Will the trend pretty much continue???

CHOPTALK · May 7, 2007

Sprinky said:
So how the hell are we supposed to win money wagering on this sport? :think2:

pick your spots.

you have about a 40% chance of betting into value, not a 50/50 chance.

Most people think that you have a 50% chance of betting on the value side.

The truth is, only 40% of the sides have value. The other 60% is betting against value.

goodbadugly · May 7, 2007

Sprinky said:
So how the hell are we supposed to win money wagering on this sport? :think2:

by noticing the winners and picking them!

CHOPTALK · May 7, 2007

goodbadugly said:
HAVE YOU DONE THIS BEFORE? Will the trend pretty much continue???

NO.

The sportsbooks adjust as the year goes on.

If you have read my thread, I bet the BREWERS on my card almost every single day in the first month of the season, because my system correctly saw that the books were not giving the BREWERS the proper respect that they deserved.

The books are starting to adjust to the BREWERS now. The secret is now out.

I have rarely played on the BREWERS at all in the last 2 weeks.

Its a constant cat and mouse game.

goodbadugly · May 7, 2007

picking out a few teams that will win and are not the 'big' teams is really the key! or was up to now. now it starts all over again like you said. but the brewers is still good play ill say eventhough youll make somewhat less money now. CAUSE THEY WILL WIN GAMES!!!

CHOPTALK · May 7, 2007

Betting on baseball blindly is like betting on red and black on the roulette wheel.

It seems like you have a 50% chance, but you really dont.

There is not always a right side and a wrong side to every game.

Some games, both sides are the wrong side.

Sprinky · May 7, 2007

goodbadugly said:
by noticing the winners and picking them!

Yeah and good luck! :missingte :missingte :missingte

goodbadugly · May 7, 2007

Sprinky said:
Yeah and good luck! :missingte :missingte :missingte

dude thats whats really all about. just one has to notice the good team early. but people that understand baseball can do that!

CalvinTy · May 7, 2007

CHOPTALK said:
Betting on baseball blindly is like betting on red and black on the roulette wheel.

It seems like you have a 50% chance, but you really dont.

There is not always a right side and a wrong side to every game.

Some games, both sides are the wrong side.

I agree with that sentence 1,000% (no pun intended).

To add what Chop is talking about... sometimes there's a value in a -160 favorite because everything points that favorite to something closer to -200 if not over -200.

That'd be a better bet than:

Picking another favorite at -125 because it's a cheap line... doesn't matter if the favorite is on the road (more likely) or at home... because maybe the edge is anywhere between -120 to -130. That should be a pass for almost everyone.

P.S. Not implying anything related to tonight's game as there are some great road favorites tonight. I also don't believe in some philosophy of "never bet road favorites". That's a misleading line of thought. Sometimes you should bet home underdogs and sometimes you bet road favorites. It's all about your perceived EDGE on those games.

* CalvinTy

Sprinky · May 7, 2007

goodbadugly said:
dude thats whats really all about. just one has to notice the good team early. but people that understand baseball can do that!

Since you claim to be one of the people who understands the game :missingte , and also one of the people that's able to notice the good teams early, keep me posted will ya? :missingte :missingte :missingte (Idiot; Ooops, just kiddin' man!)

By the way, I guess you weren't able to notice any good teams playing tonight as I didn't come across any of your plays. Yup, looks like we got ourselves a real winner here folks!

CHOPTALK · May 8, 2007

CalvinTy said:
I agree with that sentence 1,000% (no pun intended).

To add what Chop is talking about... sometimes there's a value in a -160 favorite because everything points that favorite to something closer to -200 if not over -200.

That'd be a better bet than:

Picking another favorite at -125 because it's a cheap line... doesn't matter if the favorite is on the road (more likely) or at home... because maybe the edge is anywhere between -120 to -130. That should be a pass for almost everyone.

P.S. Not implying anything related to tonight's game as there are some great road favorites tonight. I also don't believe in some philosophy of "never bet road favorites". That's a misleading line of thought. Sometimes you should bet home underdogs and sometimes you bet road favorites. It's all about your perceived EDGE on those games.

* CalvinTy

True that.

Its also not automatically a bad thing to bet -200 teams if the line has value.

I dont do it just because its an old habit to just not bet over -140 or so. But I admit that logic is flawed.

Value is value. If you bet a -200 and they should be -235 you got yourself a quality bet.

If you look at the chart above, K.C is 2nd to last which means if you would have laid the heavy chalk against them this season you would be way up for the season.

geauxhome · May 8, 2007

Chop,
care to take a stab at what team will have the value in the upcoming weeks? who will be the next brewers? i follow your threads but would like to follow this concept as it happens. thanks in advance

bigplayman41 · May 8, 2007

Guys, I know do this for a living, and do pretty well with it. Like me tell you my secreat i've used for the past few years that I've been out of baseball. I bet on who I think is going to win! It never fails I lose some, I win some, but in the end so far I've always ended up making a good bit of money.

CHOPTALK · May 8, 2007

geauxhome said:
Chop,
care to take a stab at what team will have the value in the upcoming weeks? who will be the next brewers? i follow your threads but would like to follow this concept as it happens. thanks in advance

I think the ANGELS have a chance to make a run later this season when they get alittle more healthy.

Never forget the great runs that OAKLAND always seems to make in JUNE.

I also feel like the GIANTS are going to start pulling away with NL WEST.

PokerNinja · May 8, 2007

hey chop, what about the BRAVES!!! seems that i can't win when i bet on them fools lately. bullpen sucks.

CHOPTALK · May 10, 2007

Poker Ninja said:
hey chop, what about the BRAVES!!! seems that i can't win when i bet on them fools lately. bullpen sucks.

You must be picking all the wrong spots. Braves have one of the best ROIs in the league.

PacMan_2006 · May 10, 2007

CHOPTALK said:
If you risked $100 on every teams games for the entire season, this is what you would have made or lost. Starting from the best to worst.

WINNERS
BREWERS +$1100.00
INDIANS +$775.00
BOSTON +$770.00
TIGERS +$555.00
BRAVES +$435.00
DODGERS +$315.00
METS +$240.00
D-RAYS +$150.00
GIANTS +$150.00
MARINERS +$30.00
WHITESOX +$15.00
PADRES +$5.00
LOSERS
OAKLAND $-15.00
D-BACKS $-90.00
ANGELS $-135.00
PIRITES $-140.00
BALTIMORE -$200.00
TWINS -$255.00
FLORDIA -$270.00
ROCKIES -$340.00
REDS -$345.00
PHILLY -$500.00
CUBS -$505.00
NATS -$520.00
RANGERS -$550.00
ASTROS -$610.00
CARDS -$760.00
BLUEJAYS -$785.00
ROYALS -$925.00
YANKS -$965.00

Thats to win $100 on the favs, and risking $100 on the dogs on the closing number.

Thanks for posting this information. :aktion033 How's about you updating the records every day/every other day? :thumbsup: This was one of many things that record/track but for a number of reasons weren't able to for some of the days and the results would be "off"/"flawed".

CHOPTALK · May 10, 2007

PacMan_2006 said:
Thanks for posting this information. :aktion033 How's about you updating the records every day/every other day? :thumbsup: This was one of many things that record/track but for a number of reasons weren't able to for some of the days and the results would be "off"/"flawed".

Go it the info from wager web.

Here is what you would have made betting $100 on every team for every game.

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