Bookie Buster Wednesday Service Plays, SDS Spreadsheets

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
Here are the links to the most recently updated Service Play Spreadsheet and Service Fade Spreadsheet:
 
Last edited:

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
We will need someone to volunteer to repost the service plays from Bookie Buster’s NBA Forum thread here today.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
I have a full afternoon of travel again today and I won’t be able to access a PC until just before game time today.
<o:p></o:p>
Thank you in advance to whoever steps up and reposts the service plays for everyone today.
<o:p></o:p>
And in case I don’t even get a chance to post my own plays today or comment before this evening’s game begin…..
<o:p></o:p>
BOL to ALL today
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Brandon Lang
15 Braves - 1 1/2 runs
15 Marlins
15 Jazz
5 R Sox - 1 1/2 runs
5 phillies
5 A's
5 Mets
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
LT Lock
Jazz
streak 1-0

Michael Cannon Money Train

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday's Plays..

20 Dime –

DEVIL RAYS (With Shields and Bedard as listed pitchers)
Take Tampa Bay for the road win tonight at Camden Yards.
James Shields gets the nod for the Devil Rays and this kid has been impressive so far this year. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA over his last three starts. In 23 1-3 innings over that span, Shields has struck out 29 batters while walking only four.
We’re getting him at a good price tonight because of his mound opponent, Erik Bedard. The Baltimore southpaw hasn’t been his usual reliable self so far this year. Bedard is 3-2 on the year, but sports a 5.63 ERA in seven starts and has served up seven homeruns in only 40 innings.
Tampa Bay has had success against left-handers so far this season, averaging just under seven runs per game.
Take the Devil Rays at a plus return as Shields out duels Bedard for the win


10 Dime –

JAZZ
Lay the points with Utah tonight in their Game 2 matchup with Golden State.
I like the Jazz to make a statement tonight before heading on the road for Game 3. They managed to outlast the Warriors in Game 1, but I think tonight is when they put it together for a full 48 minutes.
Utah has won three straight games and five out of six, going 5-0-1 ATS in the process. The Jazz have also won all four postseason games in Salt Lake City (3-0-1 ATS).
The home team has won all five matchups between these two this season. Also, the straight-up winner is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 series battles.
Take the Jazz and lay the points as they grab the 2-0 series lead with the win and cover.


5 Dime –

DODGERS (With Tomko and Willis as listed pitchers)
Take the Dodgers as the road dog for the win in Florida tonight.
Brett Tomko goes for the Bums and he’s winless on the season, but he has a great chance at registering win No.1 on the year tonight.
That’s because he’s 6-1 with a 3.00 ERA in nine career games against Florida.
The Marlins will send Dontrelle Willis to the hill and he’s managed to go 5-1 this year despite a 5.44 ERA.
The D-Train has struggled against the Dodgers in his career, going 1-4 with a 7.66 ERA in five games.
Take the Dodgers for the win at a plus return behind Tomko.

PIRATES (With Gorzelanny and Marquis as listed pitchers)
Let’s grab another road dog tonight with the Bucs.
Pittsburgh will start Tom Gorzelanny tonight and the young southpaw has been impressive so far this year. He leads the team with a 4-1 record and sports a nice 2.97 ERA.
We’re getting a nice return on a solid pitcher because Cubs starter Jason Marquis has pitched out of his mind so far this year. The former Cardinal is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA in six games. Last year Marquis had an ERA over six for the world champion Cardinals.
I think we’ll start to see a return to his old form and it wouldn’t surprise me if it were tonight. The Buccos have struggled offensively this year, but they do have some hitters with track records that are due to bust out, like last year’s batting champion Freddy Sanchez and offseason acquisition Adam LaRoche.
Take the Pirates at a nice positive return behind Gorzelanny.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Jim Feist
SDG Padres vs ATL Braves

Take "Under"

An interesting battle as old warriors (and former World Series teammates) Greg Maddux and John Smoltz battle. Atlanta is an excellent pitcher's park and it helps to have good control. Maddux is the master of great control, walking 5 in 36 innings this season. Smoltz still has control AND power, with 36 Ks in 45 innings. He has a 2.55 career ERA against the Padres, too. Look for both pitchers to be focused for this unique matchup and be at the top of their games.

Play the Padres/Braves under the total
======================================== =================
Karl Garrett

60 Utah Jazz
10 Arizona Diamondbacks
======================================== =============
Rob House

2,000,000 Baltimore Orioles
2,000,000 Oakland A's
2,000,000 Golden State Warriors
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Jimmy The Moose

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Florida Marlins May 9 2007 7:05PM

Prediction: Florida Marlins

Reason: Tomko is 0-3 on the season with a 4.40 ERA. The Dodgers are 3-8 in Tomko's last 11 starts. LA has lost 7 of Tomko's last 8 road starts. Willis is 5-1 on the season and the Marlins have won 6 of his 7 starts to date. In Willis's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record the Marlins are 6-1.

Play on the Marlins
======================================== ================
MATT RIVERS

For Wednesday take the A's in Kansas City.

Gil Meche is turning out to be a very solid signing by the Royals but he is still no Dan Haren and the A's are clearly the better of these two teams. Kansas City is not as bad as many think as DeJesus, Teahen, Sweeney and others are not terrible but they are ice cold and the visitors are still the better of these two clubs.
Haren has really been coming into his own and is becoming a bona fide ace right now. It's turning out that the Cardinals were the team who screwed up in that trade a few years ago even if it looked to be lopsided originally the other way with Mark Mulder going to the Redbirds.
Oakland has the better everything in this matchup tonight and that includes the bullpens where we get Justin Duscherer and Houston Street and they have mediocre relievers at the very best.
The Royals will win some games at home and this could be one of them as the A's are not world beaters but KC was destroyed at home by the Tigers and then was bombed last night by Oakland. Eric Chavez, Bobby Crosby and the A's are too cheap tonight to pass up, period!
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Karl Garrett

I was tempted to back the Devil Rays in this spot, as James Shields is having a decent season thus far at 3-0, but with last night's loss at Camden Yards, Tampa Bay is now 4-15 at Baltimore dating back to the 2005 season.
Baltimore has won 3 of the first 4 meetings this year, and they did rough up Shields in his April start against the Orioles, as the O's scored 5 runs over 6 innings.
Eric Bedard has been tough on Tampa, as he did beat them back in April to improve to 3-0 his last 4 starts against the Rays.
With Baltimore sporting a 28-13 record against their division rival since the 2005 season, I must lay the home wood and go with the Orioles to take care of business against the Devil Rays once again.
O's over the Rays tonight.

3♦ BALTIMORE
======================================== =================
Jim Fiest


(701) GST Warriors vs (702) UTH Jazz
Game Starts at May 09 2007 18:05 EST
Take (702) UTH Jazz
Inner Circle : The Warriors gave the Jazz all they could handle in game one of this series but came up short in the end, losing by four (right on the number). Now the Jazz come out a 3 to 3 1/2 point favorite. No big surprise there, except where this a regular season game the Jazz would likely be a six to eight point favorite. Oddsmaker definitely shading the road team here as they likely figure that's where the money will go. We like the home team again (as we pushed with the Jazz in game one). Jazz still the better team and just as hot as the Warriors are. Laying 3 1/2 is value considering what this line would normally be. We'll take the Jazz to go up 2-0 in this series before heading to Oakland.

(905) NY Mets vs (906) SF Giants
Game Starts at May 09 2007 12:35 EST
Take (905) NY Mets
Inner Circle
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Alex Smart

MLB for 05/09/2007

A's at Royals

Prediction: 'Under'

Dan Haren (3-2, 1.75 ERA), the Oakland A's starting hurler for this tilt against the Royals, has been a consistent force in his teams pitching rotation this season. The right-hander has recorded five quality starts in seven outings. RHP Gil Meche, the Royals' starter, has been equally staunch posting a 3-1 record along with a 2.23 ERA. With two top quality throwers on the hill, a low scoring affair looks to be on the agenda. Final notes and trends: Oakland is 12-2 'under' when playing against a team with a losing record this season. They've combined with those opponents for just 7.5 runs per game. Oakland is 15-3 'under' against right-handed starters this season with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 6.7 runs per game.

Play on the 'under'.
======================================== =================
Ben Burns

MLB for 05/09/2007

Phillies at Diamondbacks

Prediction: 'Under'

Randy Johnson listed as a home underdog versus Jamie Moyer? It's true! Moyer has been excellent for the Phillies posting a 2.85 ERA in six starts. Not surprisingly, five of those six games finished below the 'total'. Moyer, who pitched well (2.57 ERA) in his lone start versus Arizona (3-2 win back in 1998), hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his six starts. Johnson hasn't gotten off to nearly as strong a start. However, the 'Big Unit' has always fared well against Philadelphia (8-3, 2.15 ERA) and he should have a big game versus a Diamondback lineup which is hitting .229 and averaging a mere 3.7 runs when facing left-handed starters. The Phillies haven't hit left-handed starters well either, averaging 3.9 runs while hitting .251. Last night's low-scoring contest (3-2 win for Arizona) brought the 'under' to a profitable 7-1 in Arizona's last eight games.

Consider a play on the 'under'
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
John Ryan

Game: Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers May 9 2007 7:05PM

Prediction: Seattle Mariners

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle - I am a bit surprised at the size of this line, but once again the public only looks at what I call ?flash? numbers. Flash numbers are team record and starter record and ERA. Detroit is certainly a strong team with a 19-10 record, scoring an average 5.4 RPG, but allowing just 4.5 RPG, which is quite good. The past 7 games Detroit is a strong 7-0, batting 318, and scoring 6.3 RPG. This pace is just NOT sustainable and now they face a Seattle team that is not so bad themselves despite a 14-13 record. They have destroyed LH starters batting 318, with 10 HR, and scoring 6.3 RPG. Their bullpen has gotten the job done too sporting a 3.46 ERA on the season. They do allow a high number of walks, but they also induce a huge amount of groundballs that turns those walks into force outs and double plays. The bullpen has allowed just 2 HR in 41 innings in road games and just 5HR in 92 innings in all games reflecting their ability to keep the ball low in the strike zone. Looking at starter Robertson, he has not exactly done well against the current members of the Mariners in their respective careers allowing a whopping 299 BA. ROBERTSON?s team record is 6-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 8-18 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. BAEK is 6-0 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Seattle wins this one
======================================== =================
Steve Merrill

MLB Boston vs. Toronto

Take Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have an excellent chance at snapping their seven-game losing streak tonight as they fit a subset of my Underdog System. They are also facing a Red Sox squad that has been much weaker offensively away from home this year. Boston entered last night’s game at Toronto averaging just 3.9 runs per game and batting only .244 on the road this season. Highly touted Boston starter Daisuke Matsuzaka began the season strong, but he has struggled over his past three starts with an awful 8.50 ERA and 1.556 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched). Matsuzaka was particularly weak in his most recent outing last Thursday when he permitted seven runs and five walks in just five innings of work versus Seattle.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Bryan Leonard

Mariners at Tigers

After a tough series at NY, gaining a split, the Mariners head north to Detroit. This is their 7th straight road game. Seattle's Cha Seung Baek has been awful with a 7.53 ERA. Detroit lefty Nate Robertson is one of the most underappreciated pitchers in the AL. The guy is good, already with a 3-1 mark and a 2.48 ERA after throwing 209 innings with a 3.84 ERA for the AL Champs in 2006. The Tigers are finally hitting behind the big offseason acquisition, Gary Sheffield, with a 7-game win streak. Detroit has the superior defense and bullpen, too. Robertson has had great success against this Seattle team, with a 2.34 ERA in 42 innings.

PLAY THE TIGERS
======================================== ================
JIMMY BOYD

MLB San Diego vs. Atlanta

Take Atlanta Braves

1 Unit on Atlanta Braves -142 (listing Smoltz) Smoltzy is 26-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997, 26-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons, and 49-14 against the money line vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. Smoltz shuts down the poor hitting Padres tonight at home.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
396
Tokens
Ethan Law

912 CIN -1.5 (+160) vs 911 HOU

Analysis:
HOU: RHP Woody Williams (0-5, 5.49 ERA) vs. CIN: RHP Matt Belisle (3-1, 4.10 ERA)

Down 2-0 in their four-game series with the Astros, the Reds, who have lost six of their last seven games, need to win the next two games for a split. Their first attempt to get it will be on Wednesday night at Great American Ball Park. Matt Belisle will start for the Reds against Astros right-hander Woody Williams. Against the Rockies on Friday, Belisle allowed five earned runs and nine hits over six-plus innings. He got a no-decision when the Reds went on to lose, 6-5, in 11 innings. The right-hander walked two and struck out five and gave up his first home run of the season when Todd Helton connected for two-run shot in the first inning. However, prior to that one poor start, Belisle nearly threw a no-hitter and he has become on the games elite starting pitchers (+$210 this season). Although, the Astros are off to a strong start against their NL Central foe Cincinnati 5-1 (+465), we cannot discount the fact that the Reds dominated the season series last year (10-5, +$570), and they are sending right-hander Woody Williams to the mound and his struggles are even more compounded in this situational spot. Williams has a whopping 7.03 ERA in five starts at Great American Ball Park during his career. Williams also has never won at Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park. In fact, he's never received a decision there but the fact that hes allowed 25 earned runs just 32 innings has us betting the Reds with confidence tonight. Look for the Reds to bounce back in a big way tonight.

Verdict: Houston 3, Cincinnati 9
======================================== ================
Paul Leiner
Wednesday, May 9, 2007

Sport: Pro Baseball Pick
Game: Colorado/St Louis
Prediction: 5 Star Over 8.5 StL/Col
======================================== =================
Larry Ness' 15* AL Game of the Week (now 26-6 w/15* GOW plays in '07!)

My 15* play is on the Bal Orioles at 7:05 ET. The Orioles have lost five straight series (3-11 in games) but last night's 8-3 win over TB in the first game of this three-game series gives them a real chance to end their slide. The Orioles are 8-4 vs division opponents this year plus after winning two of three over the Devil Rays earlier TY, last night's win gives them NINE wins in their last 11 meetings with the perennial cellar-dwellers! Jamie Shields starts for Tampa tonight and he does bring a 3-0 (3.74 ERA) mark into the game but his worst start TY has come against these Orioles. Back on 4/16, he went 6.1 innings, allowing nine hits and five ERs. He's yet to get a decision in three career starts vs Baltimore but his ERA is 5.89 in the games, with TB losing all three. Note that as a rookie LY, Shields' ERA was 3.94 at home but 5.65 on the road. Also note that TB was a pathetic 20-61 on the road LY, including 8-18 vs lefties. Speaking of lefties, Erik Bedard goes for Baltimore tonight. His numbers have not been great TY, at 3-2 with a 5.63 ERa in seven starts, but Baltimore has won five of the seven games. Also note he beat the Devil Rays earlier TY and is 8-3 with a 3.19 ERA in 16 career appearances vs Tampa, with the Orioles going 11-4 in his 15 starts! AL Game of the Week 15* Bal Orioles.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,652
Tokens
MATT FARGO

MLB Los Angeles vs. Florida

Take Florida Marlins

Florida was the play on Tuesday and will be once again on Wednesday as there is some value in this number despite the recent struggles on Dontrelle Willis. Florida picked up a big win on Tuesday to snap a three-game skid and it will be going for just its third win in the last nine meetings in this series. The Dodgers are 2-3 on this current roadtrip and while they haven’t lost consecutive road games since the very first tow games of the season, they haven’t has Brett Tomko pitching in the 2nd game following a loss. Tomko has struggled with inconsistency since holding the Rockies to just one hit in six innings in his first outing this season. He has posted a 5.29 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his last three starts while losing all three outings including the last two on the road. He walked six in his last start and has a rough 5/10 strikeout/walk ratio on the road. He has had great success against the Marlins in the past, going 6-1 in nine career starts but hasn’t faced them since 2005. Willis is on the cusp of that top tier pitching class and with four consecutive non-quality starts to his credit, he is ready for a rebound. Despite the recent rough stretch, he is still 5-1 on the season with the Marlins going 6-1 in his seven starts on the year. The one big factor that is going his way has been run support as Florida has averaged 7.7 rpg in his seven starts including eight rpg in his last three outings. Willis is 40-18 with a 3.35 ERA in 74 career starts before the All-Star break. Florida is favored which might come as a surprise with Willis’ recent stat sheet but it should be and for good reason. Play on all National League favorites in the first half of the season with a money line of -110 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.55 to 1.65 on the season. This situation is 52-15 against the moneyline over the last five seasons with the average run differential being +1.7 rpg over those 67 games. Expect Willis to come out strong and give the Marlins another victory.

Play Florida Marlins 1 Unit
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,652
Tokens
DARK HORSE

MLB - San Francisco +135 over NY Mets

BIG TIME SPORTS

WEDNESDAY MAY 9th
BOSTON / TORONTO OVER 1

ARTHUR RALPH SPORTS

Arizona D'Backs



RAZOR SHARP

CHICAGO WHITE SOX (Danks) +135 over Minnesota



Paul Leiner
Wednesday, May 9, 2007

Sport: Pro Baseball Pick
Game: Colorado/St Louis
Prediction: 5 Star Over 8.5 StL/Col
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,652
Tokens
Brian James

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers (MLB)
May 9, 2007 1:05 PM EDT

Play: Money Line: -205 Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this match up against the Washington Nationals with an almost flip-flopped record. The Nationals are 9-23 while the Brew Crew is 22-10. Its no surprise the Brewers are favored so heavily and typically we would avoid a line like this for the simple fact that its is risking a lot to win a little. However, this match up poses much less of a risk than any other -200 favorite we have seen this season. On the mound for Milwaukee is Claudio Vargas who has a 0.75 home ERA and a 2.89 ERA in all starts this season. The Brewers batting at home has been stellar putting up 5.7 runs per game while the Nationals are suffering on the offensive side scoring only 2.9 runs per game. I expect a big blow out win for the Brewers and a possible shut out for Vargas.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,652
Tokens
Nick Jones

Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB)
May 9, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Money Line: 120 Tampa Bay Devil Rays
_________________



BIG AL MCMORDIE

Boston Red Sox (Matsusaka) over Toronto (Ohka)
_________________



MADDUX SPORTS

Chicago Cubs -155
_________________
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,652
Tokens
GUARANTEED CAPPERS LOCK CLUB
MLB
15* NY METS -140 (MAINE/MORRIS) LISTED
_________________



MIKEY SPORTS

MLB
5* NY Yankees
_________________


R&R TOTALS

MLB
San Diego/Atlanta UNDER
_________________



Billy Coleman




MLB
3* Giants under
3* Braves under
3* Orioles
_________________
 

Member
Joined
Nov 15, 2006
Messages
12,186
Tokens
No Way...you Earned It Send Me The Info!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sds Got It Yesterday
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,907
Messages
13,439,487
Members
99,345
Latest member
08winlink
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com