Money Lines:
Favorites: 88-44 for +26.79 units
Underdogs: 29-24 +13.05 units
Total: 87-50 for +39.84 units
Run Lines: 3-3 +0.88 units
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Well I hit the 40 unit mark last night by winning about 2 units on the night, and I'm extremely happy with my season so far. Still need a small bump to get to 40 units with my money line plays, but I'll get there today hopefully.
I actually played the Bluejays last night but forgot to post it. Since it wasn't posted I won't count it in my record, but wanted to discuss the game briefly. I've been picking good spots this year with the Sox, but I should have known better than to back the Jays last night considering how closely I follow the Sox and the AL East. Toronto is in a tailspin right now and the Sox are clearly in Halladay's head. I've talked about Wakefield's streakiness a few times this year, and he's clearly going strong in his current hot streak. Plus, the Sox are on fire in general, but especially on the road. Bad time to choose a second time to go against my Sox this year. For fun though, I looked up my record betting on Sox games and found that I'm 8-3 for +5.41 units. Not too shabby. But I'm 0 for 2 on plays against them this year (0-1 for record purposes). ANyway, I went 3-0 in 1.5 unit plays although I missed on the 2 unit play.
I'm going away this weekend, to Albany, NY of all places, so I won't be posting. I'm also considering taking a break from posting for a little bit due to serious work constraints and car issues, but I hope and think I can avoid doing that. My POS car blew out on me yesterday and I'm considering dumping it and getting a new one (or new to me at least) because it's probably a better investment than paying over a grand to fix it. This would require emptying a good amount of my online poker and sportsbook accounts. I'm considering leaving just a small amount in though. The problem is that this would leave me very short stacked (for lack of a better word) and I could bust quickly. Anyway, sorry to go on and on about nothing. On to today's plays.
Atlanta -103: This is the first, and possibly the last, time you'll catch me betting on Kyle Davies, who I've faded all year long. I just think it's absurd that the the first place Braves, who have more than held their own on the road, are even money in Pittsburgh against Zack Duke. Duke is not as good as he's looked in his last three starts. And considering how many hits he regularly gives up, he should have a lot of trouble with Atlanta's offense. Plus, Pittsburgh just hasn't played well at home this year.
Davies has been a regular fade for me all year, but I have no problem admitting he's not actually a +8 ERA pitcher. I no he won't blank the Pirates, but all he has to do is pitch better than Duke, which I think he can do. In a battle between 2 bad pitchers, I think we get a clear edge with Atlanta's offense. 1.03 units to win 1.
Milwaukee +120: The Mets can't be happy that they have to start this series with Sosa on the mound. While he looked solid in his first start this year against the D-Backs, he's never impressed me in the past and there is a reason he didn't make the team out of spring training. Now he has to one of the hottest teams in baseball and one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. Jeff Suppan has given up 14 ERs in 48 innings this year, and has allowed only 3 in his last 3 starts (22.2 IPs). He's had solid success against the Mets in the past, going 3-1 in 6 starts with a 2.27 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 BAA. In Shea Stadium, he's 1-0 in 3 starts with a 1.56 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .246 BAA. Aside from Lo Duca (who is 6 for 16), nobody on the Mets has had great success against him. Finally, the Mets have not been nearly as scary at home this year, going a mediocre 7-7. Can't resist the top team in baseball right now at this price. 1 unit to win 1.20.
Be back in a bit with more. BOL to everyone today.
Favorites: 88-44 for +26.79 units
Underdogs: 29-24 +13.05 units
Total: 87-50 for +39.84 units
Run Lines: 3-3 +0.88 units
___________________________________________________________
Well I hit the 40 unit mark last night by winning about 2 units on the night, and I'm extremely happy with my season so far. Still need a small bump to get to 40 units with my money line plays, but I'll get there today hopefully.
I actually played the Bluejays last night but forgot to post it. Since it wasn't posted I won't count it in my record, but wanted to discuss the game briefly. I've been picking good spots this year with the Sox, but I should have known better than to back the Jays last night considering how closely I follow the Sox and the AL East. Toronto is in a tailspin right now and the Sox are clearly in Halladay's head. I've talked about Wakefield's streakiness a few times this year, and he's clearly going strong in his current hot streak. Plus, the Sox are on fire in general, but especially on the road. Bad time to choose a second time to go against my Sox this year. For fun though, I looked up my record betting on Sox games and found that I'm 8-3 for +5.41 units. Not too shabby. But I'm 0 for 2 on plays against them this year (0-1 for record purposes). ANyway, I went 3-0 in 1.5 unit plays although I missed on the 2 unit play.
I'm going away this weekend, to Albany, NY of all places, so I won't be posting. I'm also considering taking a break from posting for a little bit due to serious work constraints and car issues, but I hope and think I can avoid doing that. My POS car blew out on me yesterday and I'm considering dumping it and getting a new one (or new to me at least) because it's probably a better investment than paying over a grand to fix it. This would require emptying a good amount of my online poker and sportsbook accounts. I'm considering leaving just a small amount in though. The problem is that this would leave me very short stacked (for lack of a better word) and I could bust quickly. Anyway, sorry to go on and on about nothing. On to today's plays.
Atlanta -103: This is the first, and possibly the last, time you'll catch me betting on Kyle Davies, who I've faded all year long. I just think it's absurd that the the first place Braves, who have more than held their own on the road, are even money in Pittsburgh against Zack Duke. Duke is not as good as he's looked in his last three starts. And considering how many hits he regularly gives up, he should have a lot of trouble with Atlanta's offense. Plus, Pittsburgh just hasn't played well at home this year.
Davies has been a regular fade for me all year, but I have no problem admitting he's not actually a +8 ERA pitcher. I no he won't blank the Pirates, but all he has to do is pitch better than Duke, which I think he can do. In a battle between 2 bad pitchers, I think we get a clear edge with Atlanta's offense. 1.03 units to win 1.
Milwaukee +120: The Mets can't be happy that they have to start this series with Sosa on the mound. While he looked solid in his first start this year against the D-Backs, he's never impressed me in the past and there is a reason he didn't make the team out of spring training. Now he has to one of the hottest teams in baseball and one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. Jeff Suppan has given up 14 ERs in 48 innings this year, and has allowed only 3 in his last 3 starts (22.2 IPs). He's had solid success against the Mets in the past, going 3-1 in 6 starts with a 2.27 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 BAA. In Shea Stadium, he's 1-0 in 3 starts with a 1.56 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .246 BAA. Aside from Lo Duca (who is 6 for 16), nobody on the Mets has had great success against him. Finally, the Mets have not been nearly as scary at home this year, going a mediocre 7-7. Can't resist the top team in baseball right now at this price. 1 unit to win 1.20.
Be back in a bit with more. BOL to everyone today.
