NP my friend. It seemed too good to be true and that's why I kept it to just a "semi-heavy" play.
Several reasons:
1) Cubs are throwing out Guzman who was on the team earlier in the year and got demoted to make room for Felix Pie. He was actually pitching very well when he was in the majors (0-0, 2.45 ERA, 7.1 IP, 8 H, 1 BB, 8 K) but then goes down to the minors and completely loses his confidence (0-2, 12.19, 10.1 IP, 14 H, 6 BB, 7 K). He did comeback and pitch well vs. the Nationals but that team is full of a bunch of players that can best be described as part-time workers that don't give two shits about the company they work for. The Phillies are starting to hit the ball very well and I really like them vs. Guzman.
2) # 1 was a small part of the reason why I love the Phillies, want more? Freddy Garcia career vs. the Cubs: 4-0, 0.60 ERA, 30 IP. As good of a bet as Roy Oswalt is vs. the Reds and Johan Santana is vs. the White Sox, Freddy Garcia vs. the Cubs, although rare, is a very favorable match.
3) Garcia during the day: 48-15, 3.49, he's 33 games over .500 during the day! The guy loves to pitch during the day so he can party it up at night.
There are a lot of other little indicators that are pointing at the Phillies in this game. It should be a very fun game to watch (hopefully fun as in if you have a lot invested in the Phillies, the completely blowout the Cubs so we don't have to sweat it out) and unfortunately it looks like I won't be able to watch it was my girl wants me to take her out this afternoon. When I'm getting updates during the game and she catches me, there will surely be some of this; :discuss: .
