Orioles @ Red Sox
Play: Orioles +222
Intrinsic Value: +151
Consider Betting Price: +181
Comment:
The Orioles defiantly have a greater chance of losing this game, but this price is simply too good to pass up. Traschel has really looked solid on the mound this season. He is locating his pitches well, making him hard to get hits off of. He seems to have improved his deficiency of being prone to the long ball, allowing just four all season, while he has really been eating up left handed hitters. Although he doesn’t have much of a history against this Red Sox team, what little history there is, it is good, as his only start against them, he pitched a complete game shutout while striking out eleven batters. He is backed by one of the most underrated bullpens in baseball which should force the Red Sox to get to a hot pitcher early if they want to put up a good amount of runs and avoid a solid back end of a bullpen.
Schilling has looked sharp this year, but is clearly overvalued in this match up. He has allowed more than a hit an inning in three of his last four starts, and more than likely will not be able to sustain his current numbers throughout the season. He has been not as effective throughout his career during day games, and is up against a lineup with a couple of hitters that have hit him well in the past. He put forth mediocre numbers against this Orioles team last year. The Orioles lineup seems to be coming along since the return of both Hernandez and Payton and have done damage in three of their last four games. At this price, I will take my chances with them.
Play: Orioles +222
Intrinsic Value: +151
Consider Betting Price: +181
Comment:
The Orioles defiantly have a greater chance of losing this game, but this price is simply too good to pass up. Traschel has really looked solid on the mound this season. He is locating his pitches well, making him hard to get hits off of. He seems to have improved his deficiency of being prone to the long ball, allowing just four all season, while he has really been eating up left handed hitters. Although he doesn’t have much of a history against this Red Sox team, what little history there is, it is good, as his only start against them, he pitched a complete game shutout while striking out eleven batters. He is backed by one of the most underrated bullpens in baseball which should force the Red Sox to get to a hot pitcher early if they want to put up a good amount of runs and avoid a solid back end of a bullpen.
Schilling has looked sharp this year, but is clearly overvalued in this match up. He has allowed more than a hit an inning in three of his last four starts, and more than likely will not be able to sustain his current numbers throughout the season. He has been not as effective throughout his career during day games, and is up against a lineup with a couple of hitters that have hit him well in the past. He put forth mediocre numbers against this Orioles team last year. The Orioles lineup seems to be coming along since the return of both Hernandez and Payton and have done damage in three of their last four games. At this price, I will take my chances with them.
arty:
