Brewers @ Mets
Play: Mets -114
Intrinsic Value: -131
Consider Betting Price: -117
Comment:
The public is really starting to fall in love with the Brewers, as they are even pounding them on the road against a public favorite in their own right. Although there is no denying that they have been playing quite impressively, prior to yesterdays win, all of their wins this month came from beating the Pirates, Cardinals and Nationals, arguably the three teams playing the worst baseball in the National League right now. Perez was actually pitching quite well in his last start prior to Green’s error that broke the inning right open. He is finally starting to pitch to his potential, and has allowed more than three earned runs in only one start this season. His strikeout rates are impressive while his control has improved, going three starts without walking a batter. He has always pitched much better at home and during day games, two situational variables working in his favor in this one. Although he doesn’t have the most impressive numbers against the Brewers, he accumulated those numbers when he was a much different pitcher. He had only faced them once last year as well, and dominated them in that start. He has had a lot of lifetime success against a few of their hitters in the limited at bats that he has faced them. Although the Brewers have been hitting the ball well this year, they are overachieving a bit and have not been that impressive on the road. Perez is backed by one of the better bullpens in the league.
Capuano has been solid this year is one of the better young southpaws in the league. However, he has not faced many talented lineups, and has not been as effective in his road starts throughout his career. This might be a spot in which he witnesses a bit of regression, as he faced a team that has given him problems in the past, on the road, and during day games where he has also not been as productive. The Mets have been absolutely killing left handed pitching this year, coming into today’s game with a team average of .345 against southpaws.
Play: Mets -114
Intrinsic Value: -131
Consider Betting Price: -117
Comment:
The public is really starting to fall in love with the Brewers, as they are even pounding them on the road against a public favorite in their own right. Although there is no denying that they have been playing quite impressively, prior to yesterdays win, all of their wins this month came from beating the Pirates, Cardinals and Nationals, arguably the three teams playing the worst baseball in the National League right now. Perez was actually pitching quite well in his last start prior to Green’s error that broke the inning right open. He is finally starting to pitch to his potential, and has allowed more than three earned runs in only one start this season. His strikeout rates are impressive while his control has improved, going three starts without walking a batter. He has always pitched much better at home and during day games, two situational variables working in his favor in this one. Although he doesn’t have the most impressive numbers against the Brewers, he accumulated those numbers when he was a much different pitcher. He had only faced them once last year as well, and dominated them in that start. He has had a lot of lifetime success against a few of their hitters in the limited at bats that he has faced them. Although the Brewers have been hitting the ball well this year, they are overachieving a bit and have not been that impressive on the road. Perez is backed by one of the better bullpens in the league.
Capuano has been solid this year is one of the better young southpaws in the league. However, he has not faced many talented lineups, and has not been as effective in his road starts throughout his career. This might be a spot in which he witnesses a bit of regression, as he faced a team that has given him problems in the past, on the road, and during day games where he has also not been as productive. The Mets have been absolutely killing left handed pitching this year, coming into today’s game with a team average of .345 against southpaws.
