Jibba's Saturday MLB

Money Lines:

Favorites: 108-56 for +28.84 units
Underdogs: 34-31 for +11.81 units
Total: 130-83 for for +40.65 units

Run Lines: 4-4 for +1 unit

Parlays: 0-3 for -2.97 units

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Had a pretty nice night last night going 7-3 for a total of +4 units or so. Don't have much time this morning, which is pretty common for weekends these days.

Florida -119 (posted last night): Willis should have success against this Tampa offense. He's generally had a lot of run support and that should be the case, when the Marlins offense, which is suddenly heating up again, faces Jae Seo and his 7.26 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, and .345 BAA. 1.79 units to win 1.5.

Houston -145: Despite the big win yesterday, Texas is still one of the worst road teams in baseball. And they have Koronka making his season debut today. But there's a reason why he was bumped from the rotation this year and why he struggled in triple A. Houston hits lefties very well and should be able to knock him around a bit. And Wandy Rodriguez, as much as I faded him when he hadn't won a game in like 18 straight starts, has been solid at home this year, putting up a 2.52 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a .216 BAA. 1.45 units to win 1.

Chicago (NL) -118: After getting burned by the Cubs' late comeback yesterday, I'll jump on board with them today. They've got the better pitcher going, who happens to be nasty at home this year (3-1, 1.33 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, .170 BAA). They've also got the better offense which should be getting Lee back today, and which has hit Vazquez in the past (career 5.04 ERA and .283 BAA in 12 starts). 1.18 units to win 1.

NY Mets -122: Still fading the Yankees. Mets are a far better team this year and a sweep wouldn't surprise me in the least. Plus, the Mets are hot right now, having won 8 or 10, and so is Glavine, having won 3 straight. Glavine has had success against the Yankees in the past. Yanks send Rasner to the mound, and even if he's able to somewhat contain this offense for 5 innings, it will then be in the hands of a weak bullpen. 1.22 units to win 1.

Cleveland -166: This can be summed up by saying I'll ride the Indians at home until they lose. Price seems to low for a team that seems like they can't possibly lose at home, even after going down 4-1 early.

Be back in a bit to add, but it's looking like a lot of chalk for me today. BOL to everyone.

Good luck Jibba. Got the over in both the NY and Cleveland games.

Jibba, Buffet is on the Marlins. Any thoughts on KC with Meche, far better pitcher than the Rockies pitcher. Thax

Good luck Jibbs... likin the picks bro

Thanks DRays. Cleveland over looks solid as I don't really see Sowers shutting down the Reds, but certainly see the Tribe roughing up Belisle. Not so sure about the NY/NY game, but you'd know better than I would.

Lot on the card today, including a lot of chalk, but I like these games.

Philadelphia -145: Philly has been solid at home lately and Toronto is very weak on the road. Moyer shouldn't have a problem shutting down this offense, which at times looks like it has already given up. Philly has been winning the games they should be winning, having won 16 of their last 21 as a favorite. Conversely, the Jays have been losing games they should be losing, having lost 7 of their last 9 as dogs. 2.17 units to win 1.5.

Kansas City -106: Meche has yet to give up an earned run on the road this year and should be a bigger favorite against Buccholz. There aren't too many pitchers out there who I can honestly say the Royals will have success against, but he's one of them. Buccholz's ERA at home this year in 1 start and 4 total appearances is 11.88, and he's got a WHIP of 2.52 and a BAA of .463. Gotta give KC a little respect, even on the road, as they're playing solid baseball these days. 1.06 units to win 1.

San Fran +136: 1 unit to win 1.36.
Atlanta +266: 1 unit to win 2.66.

Big Hustla said:

Good luck Jibbs... likin the picks bro

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That's a good sign considering how you did yesterday. Really like the matchups today. BOL.

Detroit -1.5, +127: Right back to fading Reyes, especially on the road. Detroit is still angry about their road trip and will continue to put up runs on St. Louis. Robertson is also looking to bounce back strong after a couple of poor outings. He's generally been the only Tigers starter worth backing that has been undervalued this year (the others that are worth backing are certainly overvalued more often than not IMO). 1 unit to win 1.27.

GL today man, on ALL your plays except one... lol I think you know which one :thumbsup:

Ramonskee said:

GL today man, on ALL your plays except one... lol I think you know which one :thumbsup:

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LOL ... I'm staying out of any Cubs/Chi Sox talk. Your boys let me down yesterday, but are certainly playing better. Just think Marquis keeps it going a little longer before reverting. BOL today man.

Tailing you on Cleveland and Houston. Thoughts on the under in the Chicago matchup?

Jibba We`ll Sink Or Kill Em Together Today

My card is almost an exact mirror. I also like the Marlins & will play em, also on Tribe O. I played Tigers & Phils RL, cutting the juice. Have been doing very well using this method, some don`t like it but so far it`s worked for me. Course been lucky too, see BSox & Tx from a few days ago. That 6 run comeback by RSx was huge for me, SU & end of a 3 tmr. BOL to you pal.

Jibba just to let you know.... Derek Lee is most likely not going to be in the lineup today, i still like the cubs today too but in your write up you mentioned he should be back today and I dont think he is playing today...

DRays, not good at totals but I've seen one or two people on the over in that game.

Silver7,

Definitely a big day today. Hope we can nail 'em. Braves didn't work out, and I should have left that one as a half unit play as I had planned, but just couldn't resist that crazy line. Glad my Sox won though.

5 star,

Thought I had read he would be back today, but I'll defer to the Chicago native. Still think they have the better offense, at least right now, and the better starter going. Thanks and BOL.

yea like i thought Jibba Lee isnt playing today... Ward is starting at first base and he has been hitting well when he plays, lets hope he has a good day.. go cubs!

glty!