Reply To Intrinzik

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">Originally Posted by Intrinzik
That's A LOT of plays! Good luck!
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now that i have a little more time i will explain the thinking behind this kind of betting. Really like Det,Cleve,Mets and Red Sox first game.

Instead of betting $300 or $400 on the game like some cappers, I break it up to minimize exposure. I will attempt to explain.

First of all when i choose a team it is never because i think they will win 2-0 or 3-1. i always think they will score 4 or more. So if i see a team run line less than 5 i will usually bet that.

if i bet $400 on the Mets ,I would be risking $532 to win that $400 on the moneyline

by doing it $200 -133 and $200 -1.5 +155
i am betting $466 to win $510
for that extra 1 run , i am risking $98 less with a chance to win $110 more.

also many times i am picking a result on the game based on the starting pitcher. today I am taking Oakland because i prefer their starter. by betting the first 5 innings I am taking the Oakland bullpen out of the equation.If they are in the game by the 5th inning, I am probably losing anyway.hope that sums my thoughts up:toast:
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